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Author: [Pro Football] Topic: Baltimore at San Diego (11/25/2012)
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#1
Posted: 11/20/2012 12:36:05 AM

Away:  Baltimore [4-5-1 ATS]
Home:  San Diego [5-5 ATS]

Game Time: 4:05 PM
Stadium: Qualcomm Stadium

Recent Meetings:
N/A

Team Leaders:

Baltimore:
Passing: Joe Flacco (2495)
Rushing: Ray Rice (697)
Receiving: Anquan Boldin (627)

San Diego:
Passing: Philip Rivers (2461)
Rushing: Ryan Mathews (522)
Receiving: Malcom Floyd (639)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

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#2
Posted: 11/21/2012 1:15:42 AM
san diego will win outright bank on it
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#3
Posted: 11/21/2012 10:30:23 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nathanapt6:

san diego will win outright bank on it
And this optimistic view is based on what exactly?
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#4
Posted: 11/21/2012 3:49:46 PM

Where I go to bet it has Ravens -.5. With a spread like that I will go with the team that has won 7 of 8 over the team that has lost 5 of 6. Phillip Rivers has been terrible as of late & I expect him to keep up the trend. Norvember has been skipped this year for the Bolts

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#5
Posted: 11/21/2012 6:57:16 PM
Ravens suck on the road, and Rivers just plain sucks......no pick
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#6
Posted: 11/21/2012 9:30:25 PM
Ravens offense looked bad bad bad against Pittsburgh. I say San Diego out scores Baltimore and wins this one!
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#7
Posted: 11/22/2012 1:49:52 PM
San diego will continue to show how bad they are, and Ravens will show how good they can be this week.

Bal 28 Sd 20
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#8
Posted: 11/22/2012 2:25:22 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by toddwins:

Ravens suck on the road, and Rivers just plain sucks......no pick

I agree with all of that, and I almost said "no pick" myself

But

A "No Big Ben" Steelers squeaker, the Texans, another squeaker against the Cowboys at home, the Eagles, and a No-T.D. performance against the friggin' Chiefs!!!

A decent defense exposes Flacco and this Ravens team for the slightly below average offense that they are - and that's one thing the Chargers have on their side. The Ravens have been riding they're defensive performance for too long, too many years now, "Elite" Flacco showing almost no signs of improvement (actually regressing) and now guys are starting to get banged up and show their wear and tear even earlier in the season. Look, how easily could they have been sitting at 6-4 or even 5-5 right now!

Also, Baltimore absolutely stinks on the road - and they're traveling about as far as they can go for this one. And coming off a skin-of-their-teeth hard fought "victory" in Pittsburgh?

Gotta think the oddsmakers got this one right - Ravens look like the no brainer at first glance, until you actually sit down and analyze it.....

Bolts -1

or, Rivers throws 4 picks on Sunday and the camera makes a long pan on Norv's stony pock-marked face as the Ravens take a final game ending knee and win by a score of 12-10................

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#9
Posted: 11/22/2012 3:03:50 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by JinnRikki:

And this optimistic view is based on what exactly?

I'm guessing that it's based on him being a doosh. 

This Chargers team is scary.  And what I mean by that is that it lacks leadership and Norv Turner is a joke.  Speaking of jokes, has anyone studied the play of Philip Rivers this year?  That loser needs to go grab a beer with Mark Cantchez and call it a career.

I'll take the playoff-bound Ravens in a revenge game vs. a team in turmoil whose coach will lose his job after this season.

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#10
Posted: 11/22/2012 9:34:42 PM
F. I. S. H. Y. 

No way I would be laying anything on the ravens with a line like that. It'd be chargers or nothing. GL
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#11
Posted: 11/23/2012 5:28:21 AM
Chargers +1
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#12
Posted: 11/23/2012 9:16:10 AM
Don't have any long analysis for this game, but the line is begging the public to take Baltimore.  My wise guy friends couldn't stop talking about how much they loved the Chargers here.  They've actually been pretty solid in their picks before. But I'm staying away from this one.
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#13
Posted: 11/23/2012 12:11:29 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Sammy_Ace:

Don't have any long analysis for this game, but the line is begging the public to take Baltimore.  My wise guy friends couldn't stop talking about how much they loved the Chargers here.  They've actually been pretty solid in their picks before. But I'm staying away from this one.

 

 

  LOLOLOLOL the bullshit people say on this site. Go watch Casino again dude. This place is awesome!!!!

 

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#14
Posted: 11/23/2012 2:48:47 PM
  ENOUGH SAID......
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#15
Posted: 11/23/2012 7:02:27 PM
QUOTE
Originally Posted by CalifDreamin:

 

 

  LOLOLOLOL the bullshit people say on this site. Go watch Casino again dude. This place is awesome!!!!

 

 

I am not the real Sam Rothstein, nor have I ever worked at the Tangiers. Lol. Lets just say the guys I was referring to are very big bankrolls and bet a couple games a week with size. I wanted to figure out this line, and I really dug in to find some angles to support a play on the turnover prone, suspect Chargers.  And I got a solid angle!!
The Steelers have such a physical offensive and defensive line that I think teams are worn down after playing them.  I looked at how teams fared the following week after playing the Steelers.  See below:

Denver LOST to Atlanta
Jets WON vs Miami in overtime
Oakland LOST to Denver
Philly LOST to Detroit
Titans WON vs Bills (but had extra time to recover bc it was Thur night game)
Cincy LOST to Denver
Skins LOST to Carolina
Gmen LOST to Cincy
KC LOST TO Cincy

So after playing this physical Steeler team, teams are 2-7 the following week!!  Being outscored by an average of 28-20. The only teams that won the following week were the Jets (who won in overtime) and the Titans, who beat the Bills by 1 point (if you remember correctly, the Titans actually played the Steelers on Thursday night so they had a couple extra days to recover.

I can now support a play on San Diego.  



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#16
Posted: 11/24/2012 5:10:10 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Sammy_Ace:

 

I am not the real Sam Rothstein, nor have I ever worked at the Tangiers. Lol. Lets just say the guys I was referring to are very big bankrolls and bet a couple games a week with size. I wanted to figure out this line, and I really dug in to find some angles to support a play on the turnover prone, suspect Chargers.  And I got a solid angle!!
The Steelers have such a physical offensive and defensive line that I think teams are worn down after playing them.  I looked at how teams fared the following week after playing the Steelers.  See below:

Denver LOST to Atlanta
Jets WON vs Miami in overtime
Oakland LOST to Denver
Philly LOST to Detroit
Titans WON vs Bills (but had extra time to recover bc it was Thur night game)
Cincy LOST to Denver
Skins LOST to Carolina
Gmen LOST to Cincy
KC LOST TO Cincy

So after playing this physical Steeler team, teams are 2-7 the following week!!  Being outscored by an average of 28-20. The only teams that won the following week were the Jets (who won in overtime) and the Titans, who beat the Bills by 1 point (if you remember correctly, the Titans actually played the Steelers on Thursday night so they had a couple extra days to recover.

I can now support a play on San Diego.  




Sorry to butt in here, but I never doubted you. With a picture like the one you have...I'm sure you know some wise guys! Lol keep up the good work though. You're one of the only people here that seems like you try to help others win. Most people are here for their egos or to share worthless picks (and for what reason people share their contradicting picks with no analysis I'll never know...)
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#17
Posted: 11/24/2012 5:16:21 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Sammy_Ace:

 

I am not the real Sam Rothstein, nor have I ever worked at the Tangiers. Lol.

See below:

Denver LOST to Atlanta
Jets WON vs Miami in overtime
Oakland LOST to Denver
Philly LOST to Detroit
Titans WON vs Bills (but had extra time to recover bc it was Thur night game)
Cincy LOST to Denver
Skins LOST to Carolina
Gmen LOST to Cincy
KC LOST TO Cincy

So after playing this physical Steeler team, teams are 2-7 the following week!!  Being outscored by an average of 28-20.

I can now support a play on San Diego.  


Good research, Ace.  Convinced me. Besides, Flacco is due to go into choke-mode, it's been awhile.

Boltz +1
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#18
Posted: 11/24/2012 10:05:26 PM

san diego will win the game based on when the game is over come back and post the final for me im not a chargers fan but am this week san diego wins without needing the points

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#19
Posted: 11/24/2012 11:14:54 PM
Baltimore will win so good luck to you all
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#20
Posted: 11/25/2012 12:03:07 AM
Sold on Sammy. That last sun nite game had hits. Sdiego for the large
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#21
Posted: 11/25/2012 12:52:18 AM
River will throw at least 2 picks against the raven.
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#22
Posted: 11/25/2012 1:02:13 AM
Wouldn't be shocked if he did! His horseteeth are good for at least one
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#23
Posted: 11/25/2012 3:00:16 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Sammy_Ace:

 

I am not the real Sam Rothstein, nor have I ever worked at the Tangiers. Lol. Lets just say the guys I was referring to are very big bankrolls and bet a couple games a week with size. I wanted to figure out this line, and I really dug in to find some angles to support a play on the turnover prone, suspect Chargers.  And I got a solid angle!!
The Steelers have such a physical offensive and defensive line that I think teams are worn down after playing them.  I looked at how teams fared the following week after playing the Steelers.  See below:

Denver LOST to Atlanta
Jets WON vs Miami in overtime
Oakland LOST to Denver
Philly LOST to Detroit
Titans WON vs Bills (but had extra time to recover bc it was Thur night game)
Cincy LOST to Denver
Skins LOST to Carolina
Gmen LOST to Cincy
KC LOST TO Cincy

So after playing this physical Steeler team, teams are 2-7 the following week!!  Being outscored by an average of 28-20. The only teams that won the following week were the Jets (who won in overtime) and the Titans, who beat the Bills by 1 point (if you remember correctly, the Titans actually played the Steelers on Thursday night so they had a couple extra days to recover.

I can now support a play on San Diego.  




just my 2 cents, I didnt bother to do any research but in the games I highlighted I believe all the teams that lost were SU and ATS underdogs anyways so while it looks like you have unearthed a trend where teams lose SU off of games vs Pittsburgh....one could just as easily argue that those teams were all underdogs anyways and were going to lose anyways so I'm not so sure this is as strong of an angle as it may appear
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#24
Posted: 11/25/2012 4:18:08 AM
Vegas is begging people to take Baltimore. Trap game, San Diego wins this in a shootout! 38-31. Ravens D is washed
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#25
Posted: 11/25/2012 5:04:27 AM

Under

YTD: 65-46-1 (58.5%)

[College on Saturday went 9-4 (69.2%)]

GL to all!

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