Posted: 11/15/2012 3:45:19 PM
Let's face it... There are better games to wager on than this one... but for the sake of arguement let's look at recent games... The Bengals put up the following points vs... 31 vs Giants, 23 vs Denver, 17 vs Steelers and 24 vs Browns. Those teams have potential on defense and Cincy faired decently.
The Chiefs put up the following points vs... 13 vs Steelers, 13 vs Chargers, 16 vs Raiders, 10 vs Tampa Bay.
Both teams have been awful on "D" but it's obvious that Cincy has the most potential on the attack when compared to KC.
Even in KC's ONLY win of the season they only put up 27 pts vs the Saints and that was because of SIX field goals by Succup (kicker-KC).
Cincys kicker has 25 x-tra pts to only 12 for Succup... So who do you think will most likely score more TD's...???
As for FG's... Cincy has 15 this season while KC has 18... The Chiefs offense is awful when compared to Cincy and many other teams for that matter.
Cincy has 28 sacks, 7 INT's, 8 recovered fumbles and one score on a kick return... while KC has 15 sacks, 6 INT's, 5 recovered fumbles, 1 safety and 1 score on defense.
Cincy has allowed 213 pts on "D" and KC has allowed 232 on "D"... Like I said... They are both terrible when it comes to defense but Cincy can cause more pressure which is the main ingredient to forcing Cassel to chuck up the ball for an INT or lose a fumble to the Bengals.
Dalton (in 9 games) has 2329 passing yards, 18 TD's, 11 INT's, 75 yards rushing, 1 rushing TD and 1 fumble lost.... Cassel (in 8 games) has 1703 passing yards, 6 TD's passing, 12 INT's, 145 rushing yards, 1 rush TD and 7 fumbles lost.
KC does not allow alot of yards through the air BUT they have given up 18 passing TD to only 12 for Cincy... The Bengals have allowed 10 rushing TD's to only 5 by KC.
Give/Take Aways... Cincy is a -2 while KC is a NFL worst -20... The 2nd worst in the NFL is Philly's turnover machine but even as bad as they have been they are a distant -11 which is far less than KC.
It's clear that KC will have to run the ball with success and keep Cincy from doing what they did to the Giants last week when Dalton had 4 passing TD's vs the G-Men.
If the Bengals can score 28 points then I think that will be enough to get the win here. I'll trust Dalton air attack and Cincy's pass rush and bet against Cassel throwing with Charles rushing.
I think that the Bengals get the win and cover with a 31-20 victory.
Yes the Chiefs did play a "good" game vs the Steelers this past Monday night BUT remember that after a tough fought 9-6 loss to the Ravens in week 5... KC followed that game up by losing 37-20 at home to the Chargers. the Bengals have 2 solid road wins so far this season... 38-31 at the Skins and a 27-10 win at the Jags... I think Cincy gets its 3rd roadie "W" this week.
Bengals-3 and Over-43