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[Pro Football] Topic: Indianapolis at Jacksonville (11/08/2012) |
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Sammy_Ace |
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#101 Posted: 11/8/2012 6:21:07 PM Luck is going to be one of the great ones, but he's still a rookie playing on the road during a short work week. Lets ot forget that even the hall of famer Peyton Manning was 3-13 his rookie year.
Plus the Jags haven't won a home game yet this entire season and we are in week 10!!! This game will probably the last nationally televised game the Jags play and I think they will be up to the task tonight.
The wise guys make some money back tonight. Jags pull off the upset! |
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DJNY |
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#102 Posted: 11/8/2012 6:24:52 PM |
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pokerpunk |
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#103 Posted: 11/8/2012 6:26:21 PM  |
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omb1 |
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#104 Posted: 11/8/2012 6:36:15 PM Reply to phil5121 "Yes, Alabama versus the Jacksonville Jags would be a competitive football game"...
You, sir, are on drugs. Jags might be one of the worst in the NFL (KC?) but would win by 40+ over Bama. Average quality of athlete between the NCAA and NFL is enormous.
Regardless of that point, JAX is averaging 8.5 ppg at home this year and are eating an average of 31.5 ppg at home this year. They are 0-4 SU and ATS at home.
Add to that Indy's road offense (16.3 ppg) and road defense (29.6ppg) and here's what you have: two teams with inflated game total expectations. Indy's average loss is by 16.3 and the Jags lose by an average of 15.2. These teams have 10 losses between them, many of which are high-scoring blowouts by superior (in the moment, this is the NFL) opponents. Jacksonville alone has played five 2011 playoff teams in eight games so far.
So- the big play for me is the UNDER 42.5. Given that it is also same-season divisional revenge for the Colts, I'll take IND -3 for slightly less. Possible parlay or AR...
UNDER 1000 / COLTS 500
100 Parlay UNDER & COLTS for 1285
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FleshGordun |
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#105 Posted: 11/8/2012 6:39:07 PM |
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SIMADMAN |
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#106 Posted: 11/8/2012 7:36:01 PM |
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wackycracker |
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#107 Posted: 11/8/2012 7:45:53 PM |
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DJNY |
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#108 Posted: 11/8/2012 7:57:16 PM Under 43 - 1 unit Jags +9.5 / Under 49 - 1 unit
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unchoop15 |
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#109 Posted: 11/8/2012 8:08:21 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Sammy_Ace: I'm taking the Jags tonight. Emotion can sometimes be your own worst enemy on the football field and cause the football equivalent of a hangover. Take a look at the Ravens who won on a Monday night when inspired by the loss of Torrey Smith's brother. They almost lost the following week to the Browns. Take a look at the Colts who beat the Packers when they first found out their coach had cancer. They got humiliated by the Jets the following week, allowing Shonn Greene to have a monster game. Luck is going to be one of the great ones, but he's still a rookie playing on the road during a short work week. Lets ot forget that even the hall of famer Peyton Manning was 3-13 his rookie year.
Plus the Jags haven't won a home game yet this entire season and we are in week 10!!! This game will probably the last nationally televised game the Jags play and I think they will be up to the task tonight.
The wise guys make some money back tonight. Jags pull off the upset!
Great writeup and I agree. This is not at home in their dome and colts shouldnt be favored by this much over anyone on the road. |
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JohnnyDimes |
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#110 Posted: 11/8/2012 8:11:14 PM ATTENTION PUNTERS!!
My sources in FLA tell me the reverse trap is in effect, For every 100 public gamblers out there, there's one that does equal volume as the other 100 combined. A.K.A. Whale/sharp/degen..... Las Vegas had their worst week in years last week because every favourite won. Also every square won i.e. saints, bears, broncos, ravens, lions, bucks, seahawks etc. Few weeks back when the 4-0 and cards were in St.Louis, the square plau was arizona so all the sharps cleaned house and the squares scratched their temples...different story tonight, Vegas knows every sharp will jump with heavy money on JAX thinkoin there's a trap. A 5-3 team should kill a 1-7 team on paper and with the line movement, millions of dollars are being poured on the Jags. From the east coast to offshore accounts. Don't be fooled, take Indy large. The reverse trap is in. Squares will win millions while the pro's will lose billions! gotta love the nfl. Organized crime will always have their paws on nig business. Enjoy the game |
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JohnnyDimes |
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#111 Posted: 11/8/2012 8:13:08 PM I mean BIG business..... Indy wins 20-16 |
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THE_PUNISHER |
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#112 Posted: 11/8/2012 8:14:02 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by 2datrack628:
You have to be insane if you seriously think Jax wins this game. Colts are hungry right now. Jags just got beat up by Detroit! If you dislike Indy then save your money and do not bet! Either take Indy or stay out don't put money up on what many consider the worst team in the NFL. but Jags dont have to win, Just cover. +3.5 looks good to me. Both are professional ball clubs right?
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ttplaya |
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#113 Posted: 11/8/2012 8:28:31 PM
Are you Colts a better team on paper and in the stat sheet? YEP
Does that team always win? Nope
As another poster stated emotion is a big factor. I think you saw that last week with the Jags dismal performance (lost v. Oak week before after leading for much of the game)
I am playing the Jags and under. |
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DJNY |
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#114 Posted: 11/8/2012 9:31:09 PM  |
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W8LIFTER |
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#115 Posted: 11/8/2012 10:06:56 PM  |
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DJNY |
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#116 Posted: 11/8/2012 10:11:02 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by W8LIFTER: Jacksonville Jaguars +1/2... 2nd half
They don't look good at all... but good luck my friend!  |
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Sammy_Ace |
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#117 Posted: 11/8/2012 10:32:18 PM  |
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DJNY |
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#118 Posted: 11/8/2012 10:33:25 PM  |
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Buddhabud |
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#119 Posted: 11/8/2012 11:00:25 PM  I told you so! |
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Sammy_Ace |
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#120 Posted: 11/8/2012 11:02:57 PM |
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SIMADMAN |
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#121 Posted: 11/8/2012 11:05:59 PM i agree mr johnnydimes |
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DJNY |
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#122 Posted: 11/8/2012 11:12:28 PM |
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DJNY |
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#123 Posted: 11/8/2012 11:14:06 PM |
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DJNY |
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#124 Posted: 11/8/2012 11:15:28 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by DJNY:
23-17 COLTS
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DJNY |
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#125 Posted: 11/8/2012 11:35:28 PM  |
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