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Author: [College Football] Topic: Florida State at Auburn (01/06/2014)
wagerthis send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#26
Posted: 1/4/2014 1:54:44 AM
All I'm hearing is bla bla bla... how great the sec is. what happened to the great Alabama ,can you say Oklahoma . and how many points did Duke put on the Aggies and how many points did the Dukies put on the Noles? And what did the tigers just do to Ohio state which a week ago would be playing for the National title if it wasn't for Michigan State. oh yea a team that the Noles destroyed at Death valley. Georgia was beaten by Nebraska , Scarolina , Lsu , Missouri was all in fights.Ye Florida State may have gotten here on a weaker schedule, but Auburn has gotten here on luck , a tip pass , and a kick. no more miracles it ends. FSU National champs .....
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#27
Posted: 1/4/2014 1:59:42 AM
And what did the tigers just do to Ohio state which a week ago would be playing for the National title if it wasn't for Michigan State

My mistake should been a month ago....... boy time goes fast.
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#28
Posted: 1/4/2014 4:40:46 AM
Noles up to  -9  in some spots for da first time since Dec.15, 2013...
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#29
Posted: 1/4/2014 4:16:51 PM
hey wagerthis...I assume you gamble on sports, which means your two examples of why FSU will cover are idiotic.  bama has one goal... you think they cared about that bowl game...as for the Clemson OSU game, if you followed ncaaf, you knew that OSU were frauds...right....guess not
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#30
Posted: 1/4/2014 7:09:43 PM
Auburn ML!
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#31
Posted: 1/5/2014 7:04:02 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by trell1012:

Fsu all day


Its insight like this that keeps me coming back to covers.
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#32
Posted: 1/5/2014 12:28:46 PM

Who has Florida State played…  Who has Auburn played…  Answer:  The teams on their respective schedules!  IMHO who they played is irrelevant at this stage of the game…  Let’s look at this game from an analytical prospective Ladies and Gentlemen shall we…


FSU has a roster full of kids from the GREAT State of Florida…  Auburn has SEC talent…  85% of the kids starting for Florida State would start for Auburn so conversely only 15% of the kids in the starting lineup for Auburn would start at FSU.  FSU can beat you through the air and on the ground.  On the other hand, Auburn can beat you on the ground, but would struggle to beat mediocre squads through the air.  FSU has four receivers (three receivers and a tight end) and a signal caller that will play on Sundays.  Auburn has maybe one receiver (he got hurt at LSU – don’t know if he’s back) that will play on Sunday’s and a signal caller that will play on Sunday’s but NOT under center. 

 

The way this game should play out is FSU stacks the box with 8 (spy on Marshall) and go man to man with their five star corners.  On the other hand, Auburn front seven “ain’t” bad and could possibly contain FSU rushing attack, but the back end of their defense has zero chance going man to man with those four aforementioned FSU’s receivers that will play on Sunday’s.  So I figure if FSU can win the punt margin by +4 (force at least four more punts than they punt) the Tigers will have a tough time covering the number.  In addition, have we ever seen a National Championship game with a spread set this high…

 

My money says when Florida State do it…  They do it BIG!  Put me down for Florida State minus south of double digits AND Over the Total for a Dime apiece please.  Thanks! 

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#33
Posted: 1/5/2014 1:15:07 PM
If you are not taking the 9 points right now , then you should really take a good look at what you are betting . I could care less who Florida State played.. They could have played the Citidel for all I care, there defense already showed us they warrent a play against a team that likes magic tricks at the end of games ... yes they are fast and yes they can run ( Auburn) that is .. Watched Auburn when they played the TN Vols this year, and it was impressive... But I will take the 9 points and take a chance that Auburn will not be able to run all over the field in this game , and if they cant , now what??? You just bet a team that needs to run to win ,and you are laying 9 to a team with a very above average defense....Florida State for me .....
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#34
Posted: 1/5/2014 6:04:39 PM

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#35
Posted: 1/5/2014 6:11:24 PM
Winston will make plays after the play breaks down....Auburn will rush for 1/2 their average....
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#36
Posted: 1/5/2014 7:56:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Knoxpoker:

If you are not taking the 9 points right now , then you should really take a good look at what you are betting . I could care less who Florida State played.. They could have played the Citidel for all I care, there defense already showed us they warrent a play against a team that likes magic tricks at the end of games ... yes they are fast and yes they can run ( Auburn) that is .. Watched Auburn when they played the TN Vols this year, and it was impressive... But I will take the 9 points and take a chance that Auburn will not be able to run all over the field in this game , and if they cant , now what??? You just bet a team that needs to run to win ,and you are laying 9 to a team with a very above average defense....Florida State for me .....


Your taking the 9 pts but you are betting FSU.
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#37
Posted: 1/5/2014 8:29:40 PM
Fla.St a much more rounded team on both sides of the ball.
They run and throw the ball with a balanced attack,whereas Auburn
are one dimensional with running the ball,which they do very well,but
I just don't see them running with success against this Florida St.
defense,which is awesome against the run.
It has been a magical(and lucky) season for the Auburn Tigers,but I
look for it to end in tomorrow's National Championship game.
Look for a blowout win,and a end to the SEC Championship run.
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#38
Posted: 1/5/2014 8:35:46 PM

Auburn 19

Florida ST 52

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#39
Posted: 1/5/2014 9:54:16 PM
First time post here...this is an interesting matchup...as both teams have consistently covered their own respective spreads...with a month to prepare each other...i think both teams will know their opponents strengths and weaknesses...i think Auburn will run run run and dominate time of possession here...and when FSU has the ball will score a couple quick ones...but in the end AUBURN comes out on top...AUBURN wins AUBURN wins...xoxoxoxo Son of 100 Maniax xoxoxoxox
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#40
Posted: 1/5/2014 10:51:04 PM
Some spots dealing FSU  -10  1/2!  This one could tap out at THIRTEEN...
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#41
Posted: 1/5/2014 10:56:47 PM
I hear circus music while I read some of these posts...Bananas 
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#42
Posted: 1/6/2014 2:04:29 AM

Auburn    +10

Why ? Simple. They can score.

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#43
Posted: 1/6/2014 3:38:12 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by geotrader:

Everyone keeps talking about Auburn's running game.  When they fall behind by 14 and have to start passing, that running game will become mute.  

FSU -8.5 under 67

How do you know AUB will fall behind by 14?  You are trying to convince yourself that FSU will win.  No one has been able to stop AUB running game so this looks more like a shoot out.  TD for TD.

In fact everyone is talking about how unstoppable FSU is but there is games where Winston struggled and AUB has a better D than people think.  FSU may fall behind by 14 and if they cannot stop AUB running game then we will find out how good FSU is.  We have also seen Fisher make some poor decisions in big games.  AUB will be a good test.

I see this game being a shoot out and getting more than 8 AUB is the right side.  I can see the last team to get the ball and score win the game.  I also see this being a high scoring game.  

AUB +8 and OVER 68


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#44
Posted: 1/6/2014 7:07:28 AM
I love dis game go over 68
I think its goin be a shootout
I can't bet against neither side both been covering all year. But I did do small parlay with Knicks 2half, Nuggets ml ,fsu ml and over 68 last night. Now I'm goin do st8 bet on the over
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#45
Posted: 1/6/2014 7:22:56 AM
Under 68 for the game
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#46
Posted: 1/6/2014 8:11:31 AM
Going with Auburn, posted earlier but have not laid my bet as of yet. Will wait now until closer to game time and see if I can't get another point.  
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#47
Posted: 1/6/2014 9:02:09 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Macallanlover:

Heard an interesting stat this week, the number 1 defense for FSU has not given up a rushing TD all year.  Haven't checked it but that is impressive even if you do play in the ACC.  Someone will usually break a long run or run a short yardage TD in at the end of the drive.  Clemson had two good running backs and a mobile QB so call me impressed.  Not saying they will shut out AU's offensive running game, but they could limit It enough to force Marshall to pass, and that isn't a strong point for them.


not true

they gave up 4 rushing td's to be exact

Duke
NC State (2)
Clemson


under 68 for me


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#48
Posted: 1/6/2014 9:38:38 AM
Past 7 Championship games with an SEC team highest total is 62 and the SEC team wins.  I'm on the under and Auburn.
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#49
Posted: 1/6/2014 10:28:27 AM
Auburn 28 FSU 35

Bet Auburn +10
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#50
Posted: 1/6/2014 10:31:15 AM
This is what most of us forget. The last time these two teams played was four weeks ago.  If you don't play every week you lose the sharpness and make little mistakes.  Auburn as a dog will cover the 10 points and it will go under only because the defense will prevail in this last National championship game being played under this system.  Looking forward to a play off next year.  TAKE AUBURN +10 AND THE UNDER!! 
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