Louisville at Cincinnati (12/05/2013)

Forum: College Football Page 1 of 3  1 2 3  
Author: [College Football] Topic: Louisville at Cincinnati (12/05/2013)
Covers PM Covers
Joined: Jul 2002
Posts: 61
 
Covers
Participation Meter
Covers Referee
Posted: 12/1/2013 4:42:42 AM

Away:  Louisville [4-7 ATS]
Home:  Cincinnati [6-5 ATS]

Game Time: 7:30 PM
Stadium: Nippert Stadium

Recent Meetings:
10/26/12 - CIN 31 vs. LOU 34
10/15/11 - LOU 16 vs. CIN 25
10/15/10 - CIN 35 vs. LOU 27

Team Leaders:

Louisville:
Passing: Teddy Bridgewater (3268)
Rushing: Dominique Brown (704)
Receiving: Damian Copeland (655)

Cincinnati:
Passing: Brendon Kay (2799)
Rushing: Hosey Williams (575)
Receiving: Anthony McClung (811)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

imaxfli PM imaxfli
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 352
 
imaxfli
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/1/2013 7:22:33 PM
Wow..look at the schedules these teams played ...rather pathetic....take the dog!
kcchief1970 PM kcchief1970
Joined: May 2006
Posts: 207
 
kcchief1970
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/2/2013 1:03:19 AM
On first look...is the wrong team favored?
TheBrazilian PM TheBrazilian
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 7
 
TheBrazilian
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/2/2013 7:24:22 AM
Cincinnati is playing at home and is coming from 2 straight games with 400+ passing yards but is playing against the Louisville the 2°defense against the pass. 
In the other hand Louisville on their last 3 games scored only 3 touchdowns and 1 INT.

Louisville 
Teddy Bridgewater had 25 touchdowns only 7 playing on road.

Brandon Kay has been sacked only 9 times, Bridgewater was sacked 19.

Louisville 38.0 sacks Cincinnati 32.

Cincinnati Bearcats D-Line is a factor.. they are good and big.
TheBrazilian PM TheBrazilian
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 7
 
TheBrazilian
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/2/2013 7:24:25 AM
Cincinnati is playing at home and is coming from 2 straight games with 400+ passing yards but is playing against the Louisville the 2°defense against the pass. 
In the other hand Louisville on their last 3 games scored only 3 touchdowns and 1 INT.

Louisville 
Teddy Bridgewater had 25 touchdowns only 7 playing on road.

Brandon Kay has been sacked only 9 times, Bridgewater was sacked 19.

Louisville 38.0 sacks Cincinnati 32.

Cincinnati Bearcats D-Line is a factor.. they are good and big.
SportsPredictor PM SportsPredictor
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 688
 
SportsPredictor
Participation Meter
Rookie
Posted: 12/3/2013 3:38:15 AM
Cincinnati + 3.5 Over Louisville!

Cincinnati now 6-0 looking for seven straight...and a possible BCS Bowl.  Cincy QB Kay (2790 YP and 22 TD) more than capable of trading points against QB Bridgewater (now only 22 ppg. his last two games!)

Cincinnati's powerful OL and defence (giving up only 3 yards per carry) can hold Louisville's offence...and win game outright!

Cincy has power at home...5-0!

Cincinnati 4-0 as home underdog since 2007!

Louisville 1-6 vs. spread in its last 7 games!

Louisville now 1-4 vs. spread last 5 meetings with Cincinnati!

Cincinnati  + 3.5 Over Louisville!  Three Unit Play!  

GLTA
                             
safebet_USA PM safebet_USA
Joined: Sep 2013
Posts: 22
 
safebet_USA
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/3/2013 7:56:51 AM
Cincinnati +3.5 @ Home they will be pumped up and it should be a close game so i would take the points and the home dog.
TheBrazilian PM TheBrazilian
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 7
 
TheBrazilian
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/3/2013 8:06:23 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SportsPredictor:

Cincinnati + 3.5 Over Louisville!

Cincinnati now 6-0 looking for seven straight...and a possible BCS Bowl.  Cincy QB Kay (2790 YP and 22 TD) more than capable of trading points against QB Bridgewater (now only 22 ppg. his last two games!)

Cincinnati's powerful OL and defence (giving up only 3 yards per carry) can hold Louisville's offence...and win game outright!

Cincy has power at home...5-0!

Cincinnati 4-0 as home underdog since 2007!

Louisville 1-6 vs. spread in its last 7 games!

Louisville now 1-4 vs. spread last 5 meetings with Cincinnati!

Cincinnati  + 3.5 Over Louisville!  Three Unit Play!  

GLTA
                             
Why do not go with Cincinnati ML? i am not convinced with Louisville offense. 

(and if i bore some of you guys i'm sorry my english isn't good.)
Maximus002 PM Maximus002
Joined: Oct 2013
Posts: 36
 
Maximus002
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/3/2013 7:35:34 PM
I dont know about selecting a the team line but I love the UNDER here bc this will be a defensive battle. 2 weeks to prepare for one another and not to mention its an 80% chance of rain all day. 

20-24 kind of score 

10pt UNDER teaser
Louis/Cincy U 61.5
NIU/Bowling U 68.5
Mich St/ OSU U 61
Ongdia888 PM Ongdia888
Joined: Oct 2013
Posts: 68
 
Ongdia888
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/4/2013 12:56:47 AM

ALL IN Louisville---- I faded them the last 3 games because I believed that they didn't want to cover.  two weeks ago, I said that I would take Houston +10.  now the situation is different because of a 4-pt margin, and they should be playing more seriously. 

 

noheahawaii PM noheahawaii
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 99
 
noheahawaii
Participation Meter
Banned
Posted: 12/4/2013 1:26:58 AM
Louville out with a BANG...BRIDGE WATER SHOWS HE BELONGS IN THE NFL..
SportsPredictor PM SportsPredictor
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 688
 
SportsPredictor
Participation Meter
Rookie
Posted: 12/4/2013 1:45:15 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SportsPredictor:

Cincinnati + 3.5 Over Louisville!

Originally Posted by TheBrazilian]
Why do not go with Cincinnati ML? i am not convinced with Louisville offense. 

(and if i bore some of you guys i'm sorry my english isn't good.)


That's a great question, TheBrazilian, and not easy to answer.  I'll try to be brief.  We'll say that the bet will be $100 on Cincinnati...$110 to win $100 with the "juice".  And I get 3.5 Points.

However, if I DID bet the Morning Line on Cincy, I would put up $110 to get back $155...winning $45 more going with the "Morning Line".

But there's a problem!  Cincinnati would HAVE to win the game "outright", because I would have no points!  But what if Cincinnati DOES NOT win the game "outright"?

What if they lose the game by 2 or 3 points?  That means I would lose the $110 because I was trying to win an extra $45.  But by taking the + 3.5 points, I would still win the $100 because they covered the spread...only losing by 2 or 3 points.

Everyone has their way of wagering.  But for me, that's why the Morning Line tends to "scare me."  I'll win a little less, but the + 3.5 points is well worth the added "insurance" just in case they lose the  game, but cover the + 3.5 points.  Hope this helps, and best of luck with all of your bets TheBrazilian...

                                         
albertcarr2k PM albertcarr2k
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 10
 
albertcarr2k
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/4/2013 5:18:33 AM
For a minute I was wondering WTf is a morning line.
Posted using a mobile device.
TheBrazilian PM TheBrazilian
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 7
 
TheBrazilian
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/4/2013 5:58:47 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SportsPredictor:



That's a great question, TheBrazilian, and not easy to answer.  I'll try to be brief.  We'll say that the bet will be $100 on Cincinnati...$110 to win $100 with the "juice".  And I get 3.5 Points.

However, if I DID bet the Morning Line on Cincy, I would put up $110 to get back $155...winning $45 more going with the "Morning Line".

But there's a problem!  Cincinnati would HAVE to win the game "outright", because I would have no points!  But what if Cincinnati DOES NOT win the game "outright"?

What if they lose the game by 2 or 3 points?  That means I would lose the $110 because I was trying to win an extra $45.  But by taking the + 3.5 points, I would still win the $100 because they covered the spread...only losing by 2 or 3 points.

Everyone has their way of wagering.  But for me, that's why the Morning Line tends to "scare me."  I'll win a little less, but the + 3.5 points is well worth the added "insurance" just in case they lose the  game, but cover the + 3.5 points.  Hope this helps, and best of luck with all of your bets TheBrazilian...

                                         
SportsPredictor man you're 100 right thank you for help me to open my eyes. Where you from man? much love :)
TheBrazilian PM TheBrazilian
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 7
 
TheBrazilian
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/4/2013 6:01:38 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Ongdia888:

ALL IN Louisville---- I faded them the last 3 games because I believed that they didn't want to cover.  two weeks ago, I said that I would take Houston +10.  now the situation is different because of a 4-pt margin, and they should be playing more seriously. 


WTFact: Cincinnati has more yards in total offense than Louisville. 
Maximus002 PM Maximus002
Joined: Oct 2013
Posts: 36
 
Maximus002
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/4/2013 10:37:01 AM
This game screams OVER but not so fast the line is low for u to take the over. This will be an under game. The last time NIU had this low of an O/U was against CMU and yep it hit UNDER 59. Bowling green is a time of possession team and very solid against the run, they dominated the line of scrimmage against Buff. I did this last time with the MAC taking the OVER, look at the games where the competition of the 2 playing teams were similar. Don't let the NIU/Ball State game OVER fool you neither, 21 points was scored in the last five minutes. Yeah I was happy that it hit but the chances of how that hit is not likely that's why The under happen in the Toledo game same over/under as the Ball State game. THIS GAME MAY BE IN THE 50S BUT NOT BEYOND 58.5

31-21 or 31-24
johnnytoobad PM johnnytoobad
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 18
 
johnnytoobad
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/4/2013 11:11:49 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by albertcarr2k:

For a minute I was wondering WTf is a morning line.

I'm still wondering. I'm more familiar with the mourning line. That's the one after the game right???
Ongdia888 PM Ongdia888
Joined: Oct 2013
Posts: 68
 
Ongdia888
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/4/2013 2:20:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TheBrazilian:

WTFact: Cincinnati has more yards in total offense than Louisville. 

Monday nite..... Seahawks + under BIG.  where are the FACTS in that???? you can argue that Saints suck on road, but getting 6.5 at game time... many fell for it.

UHQB PM UHQB
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 2845
 
UHQB
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 12/4/2013 4:07:44 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by noheahawaii:

Louville out with a BANG...BRIDGE WATER SHOWS HE BELONGS IN THE NFL..

Brada..... you must be a Munoz fan or a bookie for his brother. Louisville are Pretenders and Bridgewater has trouble with good D's. Cincy smokes here and they ain't smokin Maui Gold !

Bevowins PM Bevowins
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 152
 
Bevowins
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/4/2013 8:05:50 PM
I am waiting for Vue's pick. 
mak104 PM mak104
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 182
 
mak104
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/4/2013 9:05:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Bevowins:

I am waiting for Vue's pick. 


He usually takes the dog.
TheGambler76 PM TheGambler76
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 70
 
TheGambler76
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/4/2013 10:42:49 PM

Cincy and Under in this game.

I like the Under more.  Lou team moves the ball very slow, may not be able to move the ball at all in this game because Cindy has good D.  TeddyB is wayyyyyy overrated. 

Under for a straight bet

Under +Cindy for a parlay

should Cindy lost, the under should cover the bet and worst thing is break even. Or ....   BOL

SportsPredictor PM SportsPredictor
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 688
 
SportsPredictor
Participation Meter
Rookie
Posted: 12/5/2013 12:01:06 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by johnnytoobad:


I'm still wondering. I'm more familiar with the mourning line. That's the one after the game right???


Mistake in my above post!  Meant to say MONEY LINE, not Morning Line!

                                     

GLTA                         


SportsPredictor PM SportsPredictor
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 688
 
SportsPredictor
Participation Meter
Rookie
Posted: 12/5/2013 12:15:05 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TheBrazilian:

SportsPredictor man you're 100 right thank you for help me to open my eyes. Where you from man? much love :)

Only to happy to help you out, TheBrazilian.   

I'm from Boston, Massachusetts.  But, after Sunday's game, I'm giving up on betting the New England Patriots!  I'm suspicious about them not covering points!

Good Luck this Week!                   


mjm1012 PM mjm1012
Joined: Feb 2005
Posts: 24808
 
mjm1012
Participation Meter
Hall of Fame
Posted: 12/5/2013 2:38:14 AM

GL

LOVE THE UNDER

Forum: College Football Page 1 of 3  1 2 3  
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.