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Author: [College Football] Topic: Ball State at Northern Illinois (11/13/2013)
SURFNTURF808
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#26
Posted: 11/13/2013 11:01:00 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by themyth:

This line is inflated as Vegas knows NIU is a ranked team and at home, so the public will be siding with them (almost 70% are taking NIU !) Fact : NIU has not covered the last 4 home games vs. Ball St., actually losing 2 outright as huge favorites. Beware here as this is a good matchup game for Ball St. and is for first place in their division. NIU and Lynch are a really good team, but I'm taking the points here. I see this as a very tight, down to the wire, game with Ball St. winning outright and not as high scoring as some think. There will be tough going in the red zone for both teams, resulting in more FG's than TD's. I've been betting football for 55 years and seen so many games, just like this one, where both teams play a bit more conservative and tighter than normal. Strictly my opinion, good luck to all.  THE Myth

Nice write up, I agree with you... This is like the Houston and central Florida game last week to me. High power offense in a defensive game
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#27
Posted: 11/13/2013 11:02:58 AM
Ball st. for the win.
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#28
Posted: 11/13/2013 11:10:58 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by themyth:

This line is inflated as Vegas knows NIU is a ranked team and at home, so the public will be siding with them (almost 70% are taking NIU !) Fact : NIU has not covered the last 4 home games vs. Ball St., actually losing 2 outright as huge favorites. Beware here as this is a good matchup game for Ball St. and is for first place in their division. NIU and Lynch are a really good team, but I'm taking the points here. I see this as a very tight, down to the wire, game with Ball St. winning outright and not as high scoring as some think. There will be tough going in the red zone for both teams, resulting in more FG's than TD's. I've been betting football for 55 years and seen so many games, just like this one, where both teams play a bit more conservative and tighter than normal. Strictly my opinion, good luck to all.  THE Myth


I agreed. This NIU team is NOT Baylor team nor ORE DUCK team. NIU is running the ball most of the time and BALL ST Def is not bad, there won't be a flying ball tonight...
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#29
Posted: 11/13/2013 12:05:28 PM
N Illinois ranks 115 in passing defense at home...don't kid yourself, points WILL be scored...but I also agree that down the stretch, the tempo should slow down..Ball St and under for me
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#30
Posted: 11/13/2013 12:17:21 PM
good luck with the under play you'll be praying for fgs all night and it ain't happening.
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#31
Posted: 11/13/2013 12:49:16 PM
A lot of talk about the wind in tonight's game.... However it's slightly irrelevant considering the type of passing attack Ball State is equipped with; short passes relying on YAC from their receivers. 

NIU has a very weak passing defense and could find themselves in a hole early. That's not to say Lynch isn't capable of making plays, but Ball State has a much tougher defense....

I understand NIU is nationally ranked but I feel that too much is being placed on them due to their recent success and national coverage over the last few years (Lynch in the Heisman race, Florida State in the bowl game).

This game is much closer than 7.5. I'll wait and take Ball State with more than 8 by game time. Leaning over and BS ML as well...

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#32
Posted: 11/13/2013 1:18:02 PM
my spread just shot up to -9.5.  if this keeps up, i might see taking Ball State having serious value.
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#33
Posted: 11/13/2013 1:38:01 PM
Line just jumped from 7 to 9.  Some heavy action flying in.  Is it to late to take NIU????????
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#34
Posted: 11/13/2013 1:43:15 PM
the more i think about it, the more i keep talking myself into taking NIU.
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#35
Posted: 11/13/2013 1:53:36 PM
Dont be scurred lil buddies. That line spike is trying  to sucker you into taking suck my balls st, sorry irish..gonna remind you of toledo game...eyyyyyyyy.Kenny Powers says you got struck the f out!!!!
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#36
Posted: 11/13/2013 2:04:08 PM
They are now predicting a wind from the SSW of 15MPH during game time. I have a buddy who is going to partying right outside the stadium and I'm going to attempt to call him and get the lowdown an hour before kick off and report back here. We do not trust the weather reports here in Chicagoland (Dekalb is 60 miles away) I would not trust what some internet weather report says 8 hours before game time. But it could be the reason for the line jump.  
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#37
Posted: 11/13/2013 2:13:46 PM
over under isn't moving, so I don't think this line move is because of the weather. lots of sharp betters pound the home team on weekdays. lots of square betters pound the weekday games late cuz they are stupid action junkies like I was yesterday. so who knows. I hope I can give you a drunk guy at the game weather report before kick off. 
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#38
Posted: 11/13/2013 2:26:49 PM
Ball to cover
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#39
Posted: 11/13/2013 3:16:20 PM
NIU by double digits. They will score on both sides of the ball.
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#40
Posted: 11/13/2013 3:19:49 PM
Im gonna play bookie and go with Ball St. +9 
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#41
Posted: 11/13/2013 3:25:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DrDogs:

Zud is my gangsta. I'm the mfkin DOC and I approve of this message!! N Illarizzle and ov for the large. Ask me again and ill knock you down John Brown style. I didn't go to capping school for 4 yrs to become a nurse practitioner! In the doctor son!!!!
lol now that's intensity!   
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#42
Posted: 11/13/2013 3:56:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by lordzud:

over under isn't moving, so I don't think this line move is because of the weather. lots of sharp betters pound the home team on weekdays. lots of square betters pound the weekday games late cuz they are stupid action junkies like I was yesterday. so who knows. I hope I can give you a drunk guy at the game weather report before kick off. 

LMAO  The MAC is wack  fuch Buff Toledo Ohio and yea Ball less St. Got this at 6 1/2  sharps squares, knew this line goes off.  Stuff happens but have to take the more VET team in there house.  I was thinking tease with Buff couldnt drink yhe kool-aidso i put em with UCLA too
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#43
Posted: 11/13/2013 3:58:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by lordzud:

over under isn't moving, so I don't think this line move is because of the weather. lots of sharp betters pound the home team on weekdays. lots of square betters pound the weekday games late cuz they are stupid action junkies like I was yesterday. so who knows. I hope I can give you a drunk guy at the game weather report before kick off. 


Much appreciated,thanks you. 
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#44
Posted: 11/13/2013 4:06:57 PM
BOL  all. Grab the 9!  This is going to be a good game. I see NIU going in last quarter for a win that doesn't cover.  

Hopefully I can wait it to till it becomes 10
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#45
Posted: 11/13/2013 4:11:29 PM
DONT BE SUPRISED THIS ISH GO UND BUT I LIKE N.ILL 31
                                                                                B.ST 22
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#46
Posted: 11/13/2013 4:17:34 PM
over the total 71.5 flies over LOL
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#47
Posted: 11/13/2013 5:05:37 PM

Everone is nuts about the over because these two teams roll up 30... 40... 50 points a game.  But against some bad teams.  My experience says that when two good teams play, scores tend to tighten up.    Give me...

UNDER 73

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#48
Posted: 11/13/2013 5:18:24 PM
Wind won't be a factor tonight. Weather station in Dekalb says there is little to no wind at 4:20. All I'm going to get from the drunk guy at the game is HUSKIES! WOOOOOOO GIMME ANNUDDER.
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#49
Posted: 11/13/2013 5:26:26 PM
I THINK 72.5 UNDER .......NORTHEN ILLINOIS WINNNER -7.5
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#50
Posted: 11/13/2013 5:38:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by themyth:

This line is inflated as Vegas knows NIU is a ranked team and at home, so the public will be siding with them (almost 70% are taking NIU !) Fact : NIU has not covered the last 4 home games vs. Ball St., actually losing 2 outright as huge favorites. Beware here as this is a good matchup game for Ball St. and is for first place in their division. NIU and Lynch are a really good team, but I'm taking the points here. I see this as a very tight, down to the wire, game with Ball St. winning outright and not as high scoring as some think. There will be tough going in the red zone for both teams, resulting in more FG's than TD's. I've been betting football for 55 years and seen so many games, just like this one, where both teams play a bit more conservative and tighter than normal. Strictly my opinion, good luck to all.  THE Myth

 I agree nice write up! This will be closer than most think..Ball.st shows up and I think its up to 9 rt now !!
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