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Author: [College Football] Topic: Boise State at Fresno State (09/20/2013)
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#26
Posted: 9/20/2013 12:27:53 PM
OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER
OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER
OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER
OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER
OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER
OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER
OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER
OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER
OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER
OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER
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holtnt
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#27
Posted: 9/20/2013 12:34:06 PM

The Broncos have the name recognition and the football pedigree yet they are getting the chalk.  The line opened at three (3) and the public parked the majority of its cash on the Broncos…  Now the Wise Men in Vegas are welcoming even more Boise State cash by moving the line from three (3) to four (4)…  Huh…

 

Put me down for Fresno State at the house minus the chalk for three (3) C-Notes please.  Thanks! 

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#28
Posted: 9/20/2013 12:56:37 PM
boise +4 for 5 large.
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#29
Posted: 9/20/2013 1:04:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sjon412:

not the same boise team of the past three years...34-30 fresno...so it all depends where you get this line

I got them locked at + 4 
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PAPADON
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#30
Posted: 9/20/2013 1:14:04 PM

Boise St won 20 to 10 at the blue turf.  Boise had a good running game vs FSU's passing.  Last week Boise had a hard time stopping AF's option and did not cover the spread.

Taking Fresno -4

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#31
Posted: 9/20/2013 1:17:30 PM
boise st+7(-170)
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jo14014
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#32
Posted: 9/20/2013 1:29:51 PM

broncos 24

bull dogs 34

 

 

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#33
Posted: 9/20/2013 1:50:27 PM
No none has mentioned Fresno got a bye week due to flood in Col. How in the eff does it flood in mountains? Helllllo. Fresno and ov for medium!
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#34
Posted: 9/20/2013 2:28:35 PM
you all liar ....don't even know how to predict the score. just shut up and watch this game
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#35
Posted: 9/20/2013 2:48:38 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by SURFNTURF808:

I'm not into stats. I watch games and call it as I see it. When I say they can't stop the run, i'm saying Boise st usually does a lot better in all aspects of their defense and I don't see their defense being close to Boise standards.  A slow offense, with a young d and a very hostel hungry Fresno team... Fresno covers, and crushes your teaser. Cry to me later...

Watch and learn son...lol

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#36
Posted: 9/20/2013 2:58:11 PM
Under the poins.
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#37
Posted: 9/20/2013 3:12:10 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by micka466:


I don't have any amazing stats like these 2 guys (thank God.)  Honestly if it wasn't the only football game on that day, I would most likely find a better candidate to drop a bet on.  That being said, I will go small on Boise because I haven't seen anything from Fresno's defense that shows me they can slow them down

Ya, b/c ur analysis is just so wise, right? Clown...

Yea, I didn't give much of an analysis.  It was more just a personal observation.  And since we are only in week 4 of NCAAF, that observation might not be worth anything.  Hell, it wouldn't be the first time I was wrong. 

If you have some "analysis," "stats" or just a gut feeling, please share.  I was a bit harsh on Surf.  He was stating a personal observation and not really an analysis or stat.  I stand by my comment on the 11/11 going to the favorite.  To me it is worthless information when one team was the favorite 91% of the time.  If it had been one team was the favorite like 6 or 7 out of 11 times, might have been useful.  Stats are great, but a lot are misleading. 

GL with your picks 
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#38
Posted: 9/20/2013 4:08:04 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Compass:

Favorites are 11-0 ATS in this series.  Bulldogs cover.

This is simply not true. In 2009, Boise St was a 7 point dog, and won the game.It wasn't even close. In fact , the last 7 meetings, Boise is a perfect 7-0 ATS.  Obviously, the favorite in the majority of games was NOT the Bulldogs. Granted this is not the same Boise team.  When Fresno has no struggle against Rutgers, put up less than spectacular stats against D-1 Cal Poly, prep for a game against Colorado which was flooded out, they might just not be ready for prime time.  And if that wasn't bad enough,  their weakness (offensive line) is going up against Boise's strength which is their defensive line. Couple that with the fact I'm getting 3.5 to 4 points-then it's really hard to make a case for a Fresno cover in this spot.

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#39
Posted: 9/20/2013 4:08:20 PM
Dogs +4 & U68 1/2
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SURFNTURF808
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#40
Posted: 9/20/2013 4:16:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by holtnt:

The Broncos have the name recognition and the football pedigree yet they are getting the chalk.  The line opened at three (3) and the public parked the majority of its cash on the Broncos…  Now the Wise Men in Vegas are welcoming even more Boise State cash by moving the line from three (3) to four (4)…  Huh…

 

Put me down for Fresno State at the house minus the chalk for three (3) C-Notes please.  Thanks! 

 

we are on the same page here. just like Clemson last night. But like Dr.dog said.. they basically just came off a bye game and had this one circled for years!!! last chance for carr and he makes it count... no homer...

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#41
Posted: 9/20/2013 4:33:20 PM
You want to know how offenses perform, look at 3rd down conversion %. 
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#42
Posted: 9/20/2013 4:34:17 PM
I agree Boise is not the Boise we're use to,but with two games under they're belt and the fact that FSU are perinial money burner's,my money is on BSU +4.
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#43
Posted: 9/20/2013 4:38:13 PM
Oh yeah,unschedule byes can mean.........RUST!!
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#44
Posted: 9/20/2013 4:38:43 PM
Boise on the road is a money machine in the first half.. Going with Boise half and game.. Don't trust Fresno's pass defense to hold up against Southwick.. Boise's run defense is shakey, but Fresno doesn't run the ball well anyways..

Good luck
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#45
Posted: 9/20/2013 4:45:20 PM
I locked in Fresno St. Team Total over 18.5 first half.

BOL All.
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#46
Posted: 9/20/2013 4:50:57 PM
Fresno will score points in this game and boise just isnt the offensive juggernaut they've been in previous years...can they keep fresno st O off the field?  I dont think so im thinking Fresno is the play here at home
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#47
Posted: 9/20/2013 4:54:40 PM
Let's get this  Boy808. I have Boise + 4. 
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#48
Posted: 9/20/2013 5:54:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SURFNTURF808:

Fresno st. -3. Better qb, wanna talk about defense? This is not the Boise of old. They have 3 freshman starters on defense and can't stop the run. Fresno finally gets its chance! 
Surf you are right on about Boise's defense, they can't stop the run. Hey T-bone in the first place the Bronco's have played 3 games not 2. In those 3 games Boise has given up 188 rushing yds to Air Force, 152 to Tenn. Martin, and 268 to Washington. That's an average of 202.7 rushing yds per game against 1 decent team , 1 not so decent team and a D-2 school. The problem is they don't stop the pass either and Fresno's defense is no better. Two good offenses, two weak defenses, a rivalry game. Don't see a clear cut side in this one but give me the over. Over 68.5. GLTA!     
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#49
Posted: 9/20/2013 6:34:33 PM
Take Fresno Boise st ain't the same.
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#50
Posted: 9/20/2013 7:01:39 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by vue21849:

BOISE STATE  + 3.5


Vue + fade= 
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