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Author: [College Football] Topic: Texas A&M at Oklahoma (01/04/2013)
drknow
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#76
Posted: 1/4/2013 6:31:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by yamutha:

Haven't been on this site in years.  I took Oregon last night due to nothing more than instinct.  I'm a chess player and one of the major factors in improving your game is to understand "pattern recognition."  (This is also true of most things in life, but especially when it comes to analysis.)

Anyway, "gut" and instinct are about unconscious recognition of familiar scenarios.  My brain tells me to take A & M, but my gut tells me the smarter play is on Oklahoma.  Bob Stoops has a boatload of experience and I like that they are the dogs.  This is a "situational" play for me.  Oklahoma's losses this year were pretty damn close.  I'll even predict an upset.

Just giving some food for thought.  But generally, when the numbers heavily lean in favor of a team and the line doesn't reflect it, I always question the "give-me" play.

I'm putting a dime on Oklahoma and a nickel on the moneyline.  If I lose, I can live with it as I feel I made the smart play.  On the other hand, if Oklahoma loses, I hope they get blown out so I don't have to sweat it out with false hope.

But for all the experienced ones on this board, and there are tons, I think what I say rings true.  Whether it pans out or not, in the long run, I'm on the right side of 50-50 more times than not.  Hope this helps.  Ultimately, it can't just be about numbers or we'd all be millionaires.

   

Amen. 

Chess is one of the tools that has helped my capping.

I rarely post but your analysis was concise and touched my sense of intuition. 

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W8LIFTER
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#77
Posted: 1/4/2013 6:33:14 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by holtnt:



That’s what I wanted to hear!  Let’s get this “thang” Cat Daddy! 



 
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#78
Posted: 1/4/2013 6:36:53 PM
Macallan not sure if you know this or not but the cotton bowl is not a BCS game. Unless I missed the change?
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#79
Posted: 1/4/2013 6:40:28 PM
texas will get em
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#80
Posted: 1/4/2013 6:43:50 PM
Combato wrong again. Usually I bet on the team with most speed. (Speed kills) Both teams are fast and well coached, The reason I am taking A&M, the mobility of the QB. All the history of the meeting of the teams is no good. This is not the consevative  teams of Slocum with great defense but no offense. Small bet on Aggies. Gigem 
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#81
Posted: 1/4/2013 7:01:15 PM

Going with my boy w8 in this one..

Oklahoma +3.5

Under 73

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#82
Posted: 1/4/2013 7:12:39 PM
Texas A&M 
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#83
Posted: 1/4/2013 7:24:16 PM
Texas A&M  10 beersssssssssssssss
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combato
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#84
Posted: 1/4/2013 7:40:39 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by djuengoe]   After all the regular, tedious handicapping that I put in to all games, I just have to go with my first gut instinct here. The  Aggies are gonna school 'em. This is 'Not Your Daddy's' Texas A&M, as the old adage goes. Just over thought the Oregon/K St game and cost myself (when my initial gut feeling was Ducks all the way). Not going to do it again. Aggies went into 'Bama and beat them in their house. Anyone who follows college football knows what an accomplishment that was. Now Okie and their soft defense with their fancy pants, dandy QB is going to hang with Johnny Football and his troop of warriors. Good luck with that !!

Aggies - 3.5 for the large

Aggies ML -170 for the very,very large

  Combato, just have to ask where you got your info about any early money going on Okie. I watched it all over Vegas go from -3.5 to -5 or more on Dec 3rd when it opened. Just curious.

BOL to all !!

Sports Insights shows line moves from opener to close.  Mid week move started and moved line from TAMU -5 to TAMU -3.5.
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#85
Posted: 1/4/2013 7:41:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by micka466:


HAAAAAAAAA! Tell me about it, him and his "score predictor", all he can do to come back at me is make fun of my avatar, he tries to claim last wk he's 9-3, that's funny, b/c I know of 5 game alone I've faded him on. He's horrible at pickin games. He had MISS ST over NW, ya that was real close. LOL!


Hey, bet against me please,. I love it when squares like you don't like my picks.  Money in the bank Poser
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combato
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#86
Posted: 1/4/2013 7:43:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by combato:



Hey, bet against me please,. I love it when squares like you don't like my picks.  Money in the bank Poser


As I said before Tough Guy, just post your picks so we can fade you.  Otherwise, you are just a troll and everyone here knows it.  So who do you like tough guy? Post 'em or Pose.
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#87
Posted: 1/4/2013 7:45:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by combato:



As I said before Tough Guy, just post your picks so we can fade you.  Otherwise, you are just a troll and everyone here knows it.  So who do you like tough guy? Post 'em or Pose.


Yeah,that avatar is hilarious.  Clearly a you are a guy with serious compensation issues.  MMA fighter my a....
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combato
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#88
Posted: 1/4/2013 7:46:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Prowler1:

Combato wrong again. Usually I bet on the team with most speed. (Speed kills) Both teams are fast and well coached, The reason I am taking A&M, the mobility of the QB. All the history of the meeting of the teams is no good. This is not the consevative  teams of Slocum with great defense but no offense. Small bet on Aggies. Gigem 


darn you
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#89
Posted: 1/4/2013 7:46:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by combato:



Hey, bet against me please,. I love it when squares like you don't like my picks.  Money in the bank Poser

YA I DID ON YOUR LAST STUPID WRITE UP ON MISS ST VS NW, REMEMBER U WENT ON ABOUT THE PUBLIC ALL OVER NW. REAL CLOSE MORON. STICK TO SOMETHING UR GOOD AT...NOTHING. NOTICE IM NOT THE ONLY ONE SAYING UR WRONG """""AGAIN"""""  TOUGH GIRL.
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#90
Posted: 1/4/2013 7:48:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by micka466:


YA I DID ON YOUR LAST STUPID WRITE UP ON MISS ST VS NW, REMEMBER U WENT ON ABOUT THE PUBLIC ALL OVER NW. REAL CLOSE MORON. STICK TO SOMETHING UR GOOD AT...NOTHING. NOTICE IM NOT THE ONLY ONE SAYING UR WRONG """""AGAIN"""""  TOUGH GIRL.


Just post 'em loser
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#91
Posted: 1/4/2013 7:48:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by combato:



Yeah,that avatar is hilarious.  Clearly a you are a guy with serious compensation issues.  MMA fighter my a....

Not as hillarious as your's oh wait...u don't have one, u f'n pencil. Hey didn't I knock you out last wk? Ya I did...lol!
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#92
Posted: 1/4/2013 7:49:41 PM
Ou Qb & Coach vs. A&M Qb & Coach 

A&M all the way!!

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#93
Posted: 1/4/2013 7:54:29 PM

I asked combato to put his picks against mine in the Oregon/Kstate official game forum last night....

Still haven't heard from ya combato.... I thought I knew nothing about football and as you put it "the betting game" Mr. "score indicator"?

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#94
Posted: 1/4/2013 8:06:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GordoPockets:

I asked combato to put his picks against mine in the Oregon/Kstate official game forum last night....

Still haven't heard from ya combato.... I thought I knew nothing about football and as you put it "the betting game" Mr. "score indicator"?


HAAAAAA! Guy is such an attention female w/ the way he does his write ups, "Score Indicator" tells me, HAAAAAAAAA, what are u some sort of f'n robot? I'd bet u GordoPockets that this beeeeaach was the one I was throwing the dirty towels at in the change room after I sacked the qb. Panzy.
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#95
Posted: 1/4/2013 8:06:24 PM
Texas A&M -3
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#96
Posted: 1/4/2013 8:07:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mciaglia:

Ou Qb & Coach vs. A&M Qb & Coach 

A&M all the way!!

I'll take the experienced duo over the Freshman without an offensive coordinator...

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#97
Posted: 1/4/2013 8:15:16 PM
A&M
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combato
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#98
Posted: 1/4/2013 9:15:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GordoPockets:

Glad to see someone had noticed... Check out my post on the Oregon/KState feed #100. It was a very childish thing to do but I challanged him to see who makes better picks... still no answer. I wouldn't have said anything, but I don't being personally attacked for giving an informed opinion... Where ya at combato???



Right here - you guys don't seem to get that this a game of long term success. Anything can happen over a short period of time from winning 8 or losing 8 in a row.  The absurdity of calling someone out because they missed a game or two really shows a lack of understanding of how to play this game.  Short term results are meaningless.  If you wanna call me out, then let's make it over 50 games or so, not just short term fluctuations. I wonder how many of you here are really bettors or just guys that post your square opinions.  Even blind pigs find acorns at times ( that means even squares have winning streaks. They just have fewer of them than sharps)
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#99
Posted: 1/4/2013 9:35:25 PM
Refs are on Oklahoma.. A lot of calls going their way so far in the first half..

Nice to be on their side!!
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#100
Posted: 1/4/2013 10:04:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by oahuboy808:

Refs are on Oklahoma.. A lot of calls going their way so far in the first half..

Nice to be on their side!!

Do not think for one minute the refs aren't riding the W8train too, bro!  
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