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Author: [College Football] Topic: Nevada at Arizona (12/15/2012)
pacesetterpicks
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#26
Posted: 12/13/2012 2:15:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Coloneljim:

I agree Irish, Zona scores in the 50"s or more.

Arizona - 53                                      Nevada - 31

Wildcats -9.5                              over 75

That tough schedule the Wildcats play have them primed and ready to ' (9 teams on their schedule are bowling this year). Wolfpack after that tough season ending loss to Boise will have a tough time rebounding vs a superior Wildcat team.. Arizona gets thr pac-12 off to a strong start. It's been awhile since the Wildcats had a bowl victory.2008 vs BYU.

Arizona - Over

 

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#27
Posted: 12/14/2012 6:17:41 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DrDogs:

Lets go bowling son. Remember overs and dogs are largggge during bowl time, especially before the for reels bowls that dont sound like the joe diffey hairgel guncleaner.net bowl!!!!!!
 

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#28
Posted: 12/14/2012 10:58:23 AM
Yeah the 76 looks high, but when ya do the math the avg O/U for these teams over the last 10 comes out to be 75.8...
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#29
Posted: 12/14/2012 5:39:30 PM
Look.....I understand their are two sides to every story....every arguement......every game!!!!  I like plenty of dogs in the bowls this year.  But, when your defense is as helpless as Nevada's and you're matched up against a team that has proven to be able to score on good Ds!!!!........I gotta go with the fav here to kick things off! 
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#30
Posted: 12/14/2012 6:33:15 PM

Nevada + 9 Over Arizona!

Nevada is the second leg of our 4-Team parlay posted yesterday with Cincinnati over Philidelphia; Nevada, Toledo and Ball State.

True, Arizona has power, with the combination of QB Matt Scott and nation-leading runner Ka'Deem Carey.  But hidden "weakness" of Arizona attack can be seen in the "Away-Away" statistics.  And New Mexico Bowl will be decided on a "neutral field", without Arizona's 3-1 home field advantage last 6 games.

Nevada now 4-1 straight up "away from home" last 5 road games!  But Arizona now 1-3 straight up "away from home" its last 4 road games!

And "on the road", Nevada holds an 18 point advantage on defense (30 ppg. allowed to Arizona's 48)!  And Nevada also holds a 19 point advantage on offense (40 ppg. to Arizona's 23)!

Must take points on this one, and attempt to hold back RB Ka'Deem Carey, with no less than 1757 rushing yards!  And Nevada has nation's second-leading RB Jefferson!

Will have faith in Nevada's mobile QB Cody Fajardo (2580 YDs, 981 Yards Rushing and 17 TDs) to team up with rising star RB Stefphon Jefferson (1703 YR), match any and all points put up by QB Scott and RB Carey, score all-important early points and cover the 9 point spread.

Nevada plus 9-10 vs. Arizona!

Will buy +10 points in case of a push, go light with Nevada and Toledo, and use profits to go large on Ball State next Friday night!

BOL to ALL                               

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#31
Posted: 12/15/2012 1:45:49 AM
The 110th ranked strength of schedule(nevada) facing off vs. the 10th ranked strength of schedule (arizona), so all your stats are completely useless sports predictor, i doubt arizona would have anywhere close to those same stats if they played as weak of a schedule as nevada did. 

Arizona should beat this team in the neighborhood of 55-35, i don't possibly see how nevada, a team which gave up 37 to unlv (yes unlv) can stop arizona from doing whatever they want whenever they want to on offense. 

Motivation is my only question, but i believe the skill position players on offense for arizona should be fairly motivated to kick the ever living garbage out of this terrible nevada defense and put up ps3 type numbers. Im laying  the chalk in this one. 
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#32
Posted: 12/15/2012 5:07:05 AM
Arizona should win by at least 14 points.  They played PAC 12 football.  Nevada played Glorified WAC.
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#33
Posted: 12/15/2012 5:59:45 AM
Gonna play a 13PT teaser on these 2 Saturday games so it makes it interesting to watch.

Arizona
Arizona Under
Utah St
Utah St Over

Not going big, just a average size bet.  Liking NFL better this week. 

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#34
Posted: 12/15/2012 6:22:07 AM
just teased Nevada with Utah St....feeling good about those lines better.
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#35
Posted: 12/15/2012 6:29:49 AM
Nevada, UNDER is a LOCK
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#36
Posted: 12/15/2012 7:24:15 AM
Zona -9.5 son. Nevada is garbage. Zona ain't much better. But I got nothing else to spend money on today.
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#37
Posted: 12/15/2012 8:25:25 AM
Took a small parlay also on the same plays as my teaser:

Arizona
Arizona Under
Utah St
Utah St Over

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#38
Posted: 12/15/2012 8:45:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mikem9:

I CANT STAND SCOTT ARIZONA'S QB.HES 120 POUNDS SOAKING WET AND IF IT WASNT FOR ZONAS BIG RECIEVERS{TALL} HE REALLY BE BAD.I NEVER PLAY OVERS CAUSE YOU NEVER KNOW IF A QB OR HB WILL GET HURT AND CHANGE THE WHOLE GAME.BUT AFTER WATCHING ARIZONA PLAY A FEW TIMES THIS YEAR PEOPLE FORGET ZONA HAS A 1700 YARD RUNNING BACK.NEVADA D IS AWFUL.THIS IS ONE EXCEPTION I WILL MAKE .OVER MAYBE EVEN OVER 100 PTS

Yea good point, you don't ever play overs because you don't know what's going to happen, or who is going to get injured.  That makes a lot of sense.  But playing a side is a whole different story right.   this guy  
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#39
Posted: 12/15/2012 9:41:57 AM
Carey should have a big game vs this terrible Nevada rush D... Probably a similar stat line to the game vs colorado this year....
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#40
Posted: 12/15/2012 9:42:42 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by degengambler34:

The 110th ranked strength of schedule(nevada) facing off vs. the 10th ranked strength of schedule (arizona), so all your stats are completely useless sports predictor, i doubt arizona would have anywhere close to those same stats if they played as weak of a schedule as nevada did. 

Arizona should beat this team in the neighborhood of 55-35, i don't possibly see how nevada, a team which gave up 37 to unlv (yes unlv) can stop arizona from doing whatever they want whenever they want to on offense. 

Motivation is my only question, but i believe the skill position players on offense for arizona should be fairly motivated to kick the ever living garbage out of this terrible nevada defense and put up ps3 type numbers. Im laying  the chalk in this one. 

SoS TY degengambler34 I know you can't go by SoS to pick every winner but this is enough of a difference for me. Game will be about the top two runners and finish close to the total I think and will come down to the team that can score 'multiple' TD per quarter.

ARZ 48-34

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#41
Posted: 12/15/2012 10:17:53 AM
Both of these squads are motivated especially the QBs w personal goals. Both teams can score w the best of them and have balanced attacks. Although the spotlight is on the QBs both teams have talented backs w game changing capabilities. All that being said, I think this cones down to coaching and preparation. Call me a square all you want, but I'm taking the cats and I'm going medium bet on it. Good luck to everyone this bowl season. Get that sh$t

Zona -8.5 (2 units)
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#42
Posted: 12/15/2012 10:44:26 AM

GOD LOVE THE BOWL SEASON!!

Over hits a lot in these early bowls.  Teams that haven't played each other and  don't have a month to prepare (like the later bowls).  These opening Saturday games are 9-3 over in the last four years.  And both these teams score and have no D.

OVER 79 (I can't believe I just said that)

If  you're a little scared of such a big number: no opening Saturday game in the last four years has gone under in both halfs.  Bet over in the first half and chase in the 2nd if it doesn't hit .

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#43
Posted: 12/15/2012 11:07:42 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mikem9:

.NEVADA D IS AWFUL.THIS IS ONE EXCEPTION I WILL MAKE .OVER MAYBE EVEN OVER 100 PTS
You picked "Under 76.5" in the NCAAF contest.
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#44
Posted: 12/15/2012 11:51:51 AM

Holy shnikies!!!!    My book has it at 80.5 now for the overThe herd mentality is driving this number ya'll!!!  If everyone is jumping the over here.....I gotta say one of these teams has a shot of not showing up for this game.....I'll take the low here and take my chances.......I still think this is a classic cover/under game for the fav.  41-27 in the kinda game I believe we are looking at here.  GL to everyone!!!!

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#45
Posted: 12/15/2012 12:19:34 PM
OVER 79! 
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#46
Posted: 12/15/2012 12:43:07 PM
like the under!!!
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#47
Posted: 12/15/2012 12:51:03 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Barberman:

just teased Nevada with Utah St....feeling good about those lines better.
    I was all ready to do the same , but just flipped over to Zona - 2 '  & Toledo + 16 '   GL , we could both still win
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#48
Posted: 12/15/2012 12:52:49 PM
Nevada +8.5

 
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#49
Posted: 12/15/2012 12:58:16 PM
UNDER THE 80
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#50
Posted: 12/15/2012 1:01:57 PM
1h under 41
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