Posted: 12/14/2012 6:33:15 PM
Nevada + 9 Over Arizona!
Nevada is the second leg of our 4-Team parlay posted yesterday with Cincinnati over Philidelphia; Nevada, Toledo and Ball State.
True, Arizona has power, with the combination of QB Matt Scott and nation-leading runner Ka'Deem Carey. But hidden "weakness" of Arizona attack can be seen in the "Away-Away" statistics. And New Mexico Bowl will be decided on a "neutral field", without Arizona's 3-1 home field advantage last 6 games.
Nevada now 4-1 straight up "away from home" last 5 road games! But Arizona now 1-3 straight up "away from home" its last 4 road games!
And "on the road", Nevada holds an 18 point advantage on defense (30 ppg. allowed to Arizona's 48)! And Nevada also holds a 19 point advantage on offense (40 ppg. to Arizona's 23)!
Must take points on this one, and attempt to hold back RB Ka'Deem Carey, with no less than 1757 rushing yards! And Nevada has nation's second-leading RB Jefferson!
Will have faith in Nevada's mobile QB Cody Fajardo (2580 YDs, 981 Yards Rushing and 17 TDs) to team up with rising star RB Stefphon Jefferson (1703 YR), match any and all points put up by QB Scott and RB Carey, score all-important early points and cover the 9 point spread.
Nevada plus 9-10 vs. Arizona!
Will buy +10 points in case of a push, go light with Nevada and Toledo, and use profits to go large on Ball State next Friday night!
BOL to ALL