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South Florida at Pittsburgh (09/29/2011)

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Posted: #1

Away:  South Florida [3-1 ATS]
Home:  Pittsburgh [1-3 ATS]

Game Time: 8:00 PM
Stadium: Heinz Field

Recent Meetings:
11/20/10 - PITT 17 vs. SOFLA 10
10/24/09 - SOFLA 14 vs. PITT 41
10/02/08 - PITT 26 vs. SOFLA 21

Team Leaders:

South Florida:
Passing: B.J. Daniels (1071)
Rushing: Darrell Scott (349)
Receiving: Sterling Griffin (248)

Pittsburgh:
Passing: Tino Sunseri (823)
Rushing: Ray Graham (508)
Receiving: Devin Street (257)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

 
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Posted: #2
south florida -2. maybe someone can explain this line, because I can't. 
 
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Posted: #3
Sorry lordzud I can't explain it. I will bite and take the -2 as a gift as USF is by far the better team in ALL aspects of the. I thought the line would have been double digits

USF 34
PITT 20.
 
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Posted: #4
line is head scratcher...pitt has been melting down the past 2 wks. i hate tino...love bj daniels. small play on bulls
 
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Posted: #5

Maybe because the last 3 times these 2 met the panthers have won all 3 by an average score of 28 to 15.

 

 
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Posted: #6
I love South Florida -2 
 
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Posted: #7
USF has been good to me all year.. I'll take them again, especially under a FG.. Very very fishy line though
 
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Posted: #8
The send-out gave Pitt a lot of credit at home, especially after their 3 point loss to ND.

The thing is ND had several TO's in the red zone that skewed the score. Sou Fla should have no problem cruising in this match-up, expect the line to move to -4 by kickoff, get this one in early.
 
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Posted: #9
Early lean is with SFL.
 
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Posted: #10
Pitt got 2 turnovers against ND last week.. USF has a better offense and defense.. USF should be able to shut down Pitt's offense.. As long as USF's offense doesn't turnover the ball, they should be able to score..
 
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Posted: #11
Strange line so I'll stay away. So. Fla. should win but why is the line so low?
 
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Posted: #12
Wait for the total, should be around 44. Taking under.
 
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Posted: #13
The OU around 52
 
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Posted: #14
South Florida should have no problem winning and covering.
 
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Posted: #15
Pitt +3

I'll wait and see if I can get +3.5 or +4
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by josbran:

Strange line so I'll stay away. So. Fla. should win but why is the line so low?

Could be a numbers of things, first conference game being one of them, especially after last week where they should have rolled over UTEP with a larger margin.  USF being 0-3 against Pitt in the last 3 seasons.  

This is a big game for both teams.  I'm still on USF.
 
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Posted: #17
I have been told and have later confirmed with my own eyes the two instances when smart money is moving the line. Sunday a limited number of sharps are allowed to place bets in order to fine tune the books lines. This game jumped from -1.5 to -2.5 as soon as it opened. The other adjustment to watch is the changes at 5 Dimes at 10PM Friday, when their lines drop to a reduced rate of .05 rather than the industry standard of .10. Smart betters make their decisions to get the best odds possible so they often make their bets at 5Dimes at this time. Do not listen to any conspiracy theories about what is moving the line at other times, it could be square money, you never know. Don't believe me, you can watch the history of line movement and see for yourself.
 
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Posted: #18
Reason why I've started to put my plays in on Sunday, rather then later in the week.. I used to wait till Weds, Thur, Fri, and Sat.. Line movement can be a big indicator though.. Sometimes I'll hedge a bet if I see the line going in the opposite direction.. A perfect example is the Nevada/Texas Tech line this past week..
 
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Posted: #19
I'll pass on the Thursday night home doge here, SF should cover here!
 
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Posted: #20
UNDER
 
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Posted: #21
The Wynn opened at Pitt -3 then it got bet to USF -2.5.  Now it looks like guy's are buying back.   I got USF at -2.5, this is what I hate about grabbing early lines.   It's down to USF -1.5 in some places.   

I hope the public moves it up to 3.5 before kickoff so I can buy back.  It'll probably sit around 2 though 
 
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Posted: #22
USF
 
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Posted: #23
The line has some crazy movement.. At least it's not reverse line movement..
 
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Posted: #24
Oahuboy, how is this not RLM?  Line opened at +2.5 and down to 1.5 with heavy S. Florida action???  It's going the wrong way buddy.  This should be at -3 to -3.5. 
 
 
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Posted: #25

Quote Originally Posted by oahuboy808:

USF has been good to me all year.. I'll take them again, especially under a FG.. Very very fishy line though

They screwed me in the first half this past weekend...I hope they were saving it for this game as I will be on them again.

good luck bruddah!

Aloha

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