Espn night game gets teams pumped, home field advantage, revenge shutout.. I like a straddle here again like last night althought the sack on Sch cost me juice some last night:
Espn night game gets teams pumped, home field advantage, revenge shutout.. I like a straddle here again like last night althought the sack on Sch cost me juice some last night:
Ok here we go and I'll list the reasons why I prefer S. Florida to cover this spread tomorrow.
1. Tom Savage played for Dodd last week. Meaning he's still questionable and maybe not 100% even if he does play. 2. Both savage and Dodd have bad TD/INT ratios. Dodd 5/3 & Savage 2/3. That's horrible if they can't stop S. Florida from scoring early and often. They'll have to drop the run and focus mainly on passing . S. Florida's QB isn't the best either with his 6/10 ratio but I'm thinking they'll be a little better at home and in the spotlight as the only game of the day on TV. Also 6 were to Florida & Syracuse. 3. Rutgers got stomped by Pitt on the road and they got the cheap TD at the end when Pitt was blowing them away already so don't let the 21pts fool you. It should've been 14. 4. If you read the stats, it seems that Rutgers is a horrendous road team this year even though they only played 2 games so far. The first they were favored by 14.5 and they barely pulled out the win by 5 pts. The other was with Pitt in which they got stomped. They allow HUGE passing and rushing yardage to home teams even when they were favored against FLINT. 5. Their road 3rd down conversions are a joke. 15% at FLINT and 25% at Pitt. They'll never score if that's the case. 6. Rutgers is 1-6 ATS & S. Fla isn't the best but much better sitting at 3-4 but definitely better than 1-6. 7. I like this report about the team, "The Scarlet Knights allow the most sacks per game of any team in the
country, and opposing defenses are going to keep challenging the
offensive line until it rises to the challenge or until Rutgers runs out
of quarterbacks."
Even though S. Florida may not get a blowout win, they have a much better chance of at least scoring 17-24 pts and keeping Rutgers from really scoring at all since their QBs don't seem to be a main concern thus forcing them to become one dimensional and which Rugters is 98th ranked in the nation in running the ball against S. Florida's 36th ranked run defense.
Nothing is looking good for Rutgers this week, also they had to deal with the team mate's parlaying injury which he is still suffering from.
They only plus for Rutgers, they had 10 days off before coming into this game. Hopefully that will help them with something.
Ok here we go and I'll list the reasons why I prefer S. Florida to cover this spread tomorrow.
1. Tom Savage played for Dodd last week. Meaning he's still questionable and maybe not 100% even if he does play. 2. Both savage and Dodd have bad TD/INT ratios. Dodd 5/3 & Savage 2/3. That's horrible if they can't stop S. Florida from scoring early and often. They'll have to drop the run and focus mainly on passing . S. Florida's QB isn't the best either with his 6/10 ratio but I'm thinking they'll be a little better at home and in the spotlight as the only game of the day on TV. Also 6 were to Florida & Syracuse. 3. Rutgers got stomped by Pitt on the road and they got the cheap TD at the end when Pitt was blowing them away already so don't let the 21pts fool you. It should've been 14. 4. If you read the stats, it seems that Rutgers is a horrendous road team this year even though they only played 2 games so far. The first they were favored by 14.5 and they barely pulled out the win by 5 pts. The other was with Pitt in which they got stomped. They allow HUGE passing and rushing yardage to home teams even when they were favored against FLINT. 5. Their road 3rd down conversions are a joke. 15% at FLINT and 25% at Pitt. They'll never score if that's the case. 6. Rutgers is 1-6 ATS & S. Fla isn't the best but much better sitting at 3-4 but definitely better than 1-6. 7. I like this report about the team, "The Scarlet Knights allow the most sacks per game of any team in the
country, and opposing defenses are going to keep challenging the
offensive line until it rises to the challenge or until Rutgers runs out
of quarterbacks."
Even though S. Florida may not get a blowout win, they have a much better chance of at least scoring 17-24 pts and keeping Rutgers from really scoring at all since their QBs don't seem to be a main concern thus forcing them to become one dimensional and which Rugters is 98th ranked in the nation in running the ball against S. Florida's 36th ranked run defense.
Nothing is looking good for Rutgers this week, also they had to deal with the team mate's parlaying injury which he is still suffering from.
They only plus for Rutgers, they had 10 days off before coming into this game. Hopefully that will help them with something.
Rutgers defense is a lot better than Cinci's. Their best player is fully healthy after the bye. Everyone seems to forget how awful South Florida was prior to last week. I'm on the points. Might do a teaser as well. I like yours Oahu, might do something similar.
Rutgers defense is a lot better than Cinci's. Their best player is fully healthy after the bye. Everyone seems to forget how awful South Florida was prior to last week. I'm on the points. Might do a teaser as well. I like yours Oahu, might do something similar.
Hey gang. New to the boards but certainly not new to the world of gambling. I enjoy reading the chats on here so decided to hop on board.
Whenever the lines seem a bit too large its probably that way for a reason. See (SD -6.5 in NFL, and Iowa - 6.5 in CFB this week). Usually Vegas has the number there for a reason. 10 is a key number and 11 is a somewhat dead number so if you like USF hop on board before it gets to 11. I can see a 27-10 USF win.
Hey gang. New to the boards but certainly not new to the world of gambling. I enjoy reading the chats on here so decided to hop on board.
Whenever the lines seem a bit too large its probably that way for a reason. See (SD -6.5 in NFL, and Iowa - 6.5 in CFB this week). Usually Vegas has the number there for a reason. 10 is a key number and 11 is a somewhat dead number so if you like USF hop on board before it gets to 11. I can see a 27-10 USF win.
Seems too easy to take Rutgers here. USF's offense just doesn't seem good enough to cover 10.5. The line movement is throwing me off though, action is pretty much even everywhere, but line has moved from 9.5 to 10.5 suggesting they want more Rutgers action. Taking USF -10.5. GL
Seems too easy to take Rutgers here. USF's offense just doesn't seem good enough to cover 10.5. The line movement is throwing me off though, action is pretty much even everywhere, but line has moved from 9.5 to 10.5 suggesting they want more Rutgers action. Taking USF -10.5. GL
Been a long-time visitor of this forum and decided to register so I can post questions to you experts. I only started watching/betting on football a year ago and been getting paid for the last 4 weeks using my own research and this forum.
Enough said about that! With the points that Ark St got over Mid Ten today, I'm leaning toward S. Florida. I totally thought Ark St. and Mid Tenn were two very even teams but home does have advantage. I like the stats Xyberz gave and I always thought a team's Defense is always stronger when they're at home because of the crowd. Ark St's defense was a little impressive today.
Hilarious you would base any game off of two college teams playing on a Tuesday night. both rutgers and so. florida suck and with the exception of usf getting blown out by west virginia, neither team has played a quality opponent. big east football is a disgrace, bring on their basketball teams.
rutgers at 1-6 ATS the spread this year....small play, USF -10 1/2
Been a long-time visitor of this forum and decided to register so I can post questions to you experts. I only started watching/betting on football a year ago and been getting paid for the last 4 weeks using my own research and this forum.
Enough said about that! With the points that Ark St got over Mid Ten today, I'm leaning toward S. Florida. I totally thought Ark St. and Mid Tenn were two very even teams but home does have advantage. I like the stats Xyberz gave and I always thought a team's Defense is always stronger when they're at home because of the crowd. Ark St's defense was a little impressive today.
Hilarious you would base any game off of two college teams playing on a Tuesday night. both rutgers and so. florida suck and with the exception of usf getting blown out by west virginia, neither team has played a quality opponent. big east football is a disgrace, bring on their basketball teams.
rutgers at 1-6 ATS the spread this year....small play, USF -10 1/2
a month ago i probably would have been on the under for this game, but right now i'm leaning over. Dodd seems to have injected some life into the RU offense, and i'm sure both teams will have a few tricks up their sleeves to push this over.
Can't stop lauging where did you find that avaitar PLEASE TELL, big homer fan he sure looks happy LOL.
a month ago i probably would have been on the under for this game, but right now i'm leaning over. Dodd seems to have injected some life into the RU offense, and i'm sure both teams will have a few tricks up their sleeves to push this over.
Can't stop lauging where did you find that avaitar PLEASE TELL, big homer fan he sure looks happy LOL.
I look forward to seeing what some of your takes are my friend. As for this game, I think the over looks good right now.......just a gut reaction. GL to you my man and we'll see you out here on the threads! [/Quote]
Irish....nothing wrong with a good solid "gut reaction"......many times I'll take the gut over what others refer to as "solid handicapping" anyday.....don't have one on this game but 10 seems like a lot for SFL to give away....
I look forward to seeing what some of your takes are my friend. As for this game, I think the over looks good right now.......just a gut reaction. GL to you my man and we'll see you out here on the threads! [/Quote]
Irish....nothing wrong with a good solid "gut reaction"......many times I'll take the gut over what others refer to as "solid handicapping" anyday.....don't have one on this game but 10 seems like a lot for SFL to give away....
The South Florida Bulls have been tough to read this year as they haven't done anything consistently poorly or well from one week to the next. Last we saw of the Bulls they were putting on an offensive show at Cincinnati, before that, they couldn't score into double digits against Syracuse, which team shows up for this one? A lot was expected of QB B.J. Daniels this season and he hasn't always delivered as he has seemed confused at times not being able to decide to run or pas resulting in some forced passes which haven't always worked out so well for him. On the season Daniels has completed 58.9 percent of his passes for 1,089 yards with six touchdowns and 10 interceptions while rushing for 225 yards and four touchdowns. Moise Plancher has seen the bulk of the action in the backfield carrying for 363 yards and four touchdowns. USF's leading receiver is Dontavia Bogan who has 27 receptions for 414 yards and two touchdowns but the entire receiving corps has dropped plenty of passes. As the team continues to adjust to coach Skip Holtz, they have seemed out of sync at times but they are coming off of their best effort of the season. The defense has allowed more than 20 points just twice all season. South Florida is averaging 25.9 points and 323.7 yards per game and the Bulls defense is allowing 18.6 points and 342 yards per game.
Greg Schiano's Rutgers team doesn't look like some of the better Rutgers teams has had over the past few years but somehow Schiano has been able to stay the course and keep the Scarlett over .500 and in position to go to a bowl game. QB has been unsettled at Rutgers as Tom Savage started the season there and was replaced by Chas Dodd but after an ineffective performace where he was injured, Dodd was replaced last game in Pittsburgh and he remains questionable for this one. Mohamed Sanu is the most electrifying player on the Rutgers offense as he lines up everywhere including QB and in the backfield as well as his regular position of receiver. Sanu has run for 286 yards and four touchdowns and he has caught 33 balls for 341 yards and two touchdowns. Rutgers' defense is coming off of their worst outing of the year allowing 41 points, only their second time allowing more than 20 points all season. For the season Rutgers offense is averaging 21.1 points and 299.6 yards while the defense has allowed 19 points and 324 yards.
South Florida is 5-2 against the spread as a home favorite of 10.5 or more points, 6-16 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five games following a cover. Rutgers is 6-1 against the spread in their last seven road games against a team with a winning home record, 1-6 against the spread in their last seven overall, and 18-7-1 in their last 26 games as a road underdog. The underdog has covered in four of the last five meetings of these two.
What we have here are two inconsistent offenses and two defenses who have been pretty solid which usually makes for a low scoring game. While South Florida opened up the offense last game against Cincinnati, it was a far cry from what we have become accustomed to when watching USF. At Rutgers, the QB issues have made it tough to move the ball and Schiano may not have the personnel he has had to work with in the past but he's one of the best defensive minds in the game. If the Big East was hoping to showcase exciting football, this won't be the place for them to do it as the play here us the under which is set at 42.
The South Florida Bulls have been tough to read this year as they haven't done anything consistently poorly or well from one week to the next. Last we saw of the Bulls they were putting on an offensive show at Cincinnati, before that, they couldn't score into double digits against Syracuse, which team shows up for this one? A lot was expected of QB B.J. Daniels this season and he hasn't always delivered as he has seemed confused at times not being able to decide to run or pas resulting in some forced passes which haven't always worked out so well for him. On the season Daniels has completed 58.9 percent of his passes for 1,089 yards with six touchdowns and 10 interceptions while rushing for 225 yards and four touchdowns. Moise Plancher has seen the bulk of the action in the backfield carrying for 363 yards and four touchdowns. USF's leading receiver is Dontavia Bogan who has 27 receptions for 414 yards and two touchdowns but the entire receiving corps has dropped plenty of passes. As the team continues to adjust to coach Skip Holtz, they have seemed out of sync at times but they are coming off of their best effort of the season. The defense has allowed more than 20 points just twice all season. South Florida is averaging 25.9 points and 323.7 yards per game and the Bulls defense is allowing 18.6 points and 342 yards per game.
Greg Schiano's Rutgers team doesn't look like some of the better Rutgers teams has had over the past few years but somehow Schiano has been able to stay the course and keep the Scarlett over .500 and in position to go to a bowl game. QB has been unsettled at Rutgers as Tom Savage started the season there and was replaced by Chas Dodd but after an ineffective performace where he was injured, Dodd was replaced last game in Pittsburgh and he remains questionable for this one. Mohamed Sanu is the most electrifying player on the Rutgers offense as he lines up everywhere including QB and in the backfield as well as his regular position of receiver. Sanu has run for 286 yards and four touchdowns and he has caught 33 balls for 341 yards and two touchdowns. Rutgers' defense is coming off of their worst outing of the year allowing 41 points, only their second time allowing more than 20 points all season. For the season Rutgers offense is averaging 21.1 points and 299.6 yards while the defense has allowed 19 points and 324 yards.
South Florida is 5-2 against the spread as a home favorite of 10.5 or more points, 6-16 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five games following a cover. Rutgers is 6-1 against the spread in their last seven road games against a team with a winning home record, 1-6 against the spread in their last seven overall, and 18-7-1 in their last 26 games as a road underdog. The underdog has covered in four of the last five meetings of these two.
What we have here are two inconsistent offenses and two defenses who have been pretty solid which usually makes for a low scoring game. While South Florida opened up the offense last game against Cincinnati, it was a far cry from what we have become accustomed to when watching USF. At Rutgers, the QB issues have made it tough to move the ball and Schiano may not have the personnel he has had to work with in the past but he's one of the best defensive minds in the game. If the Big East was hoping to showcase exciting football, this won't be the place for them to do it as the play here us the under which is set at 42.
Ok. I'm convinced. Changed my mind to Rut with points for small bet. OU @ 42.5 is too low for college even though it make sense. Small bet on RUT so I can enjoy watching the game tonight.
Ok. I'm convinced. Changed my mind to Rut with points for small bet. OU @ 42.5 is too low for college even though it make sense. Small bet on RUT so I can enjoy watching the game tonight.
well line back down to 10, public money is coming in large on rutgers.
I am going to watch closely to see if it looks like a drop to 9.5 is in order.
this total is too low for me to go under and these offenses are too inconsistent for me to play the over. No play on the total. Probably just USF for me.
well line back down to 10, public money is coming in large on rutgers.
I am going to watch closely to see if it looks like a drop to 9.5 is in order.
this total is too low for me to go under and these offenses are too inconsistent for me to play the over. No play on the total. Probably just USF for me.
i have been looking at doing a tease for this game with a twist....rutgers +16 over 39.....usf-4 over 39..... straight bet under 43......say i wager 1 unit(unit=$100) on each bet (no juice on 6pt. teaser...local book)....its true i am basically risking losing 2 of the 3 bets so worstcase is i lose $110 for the straight bet and push or win both on teasers but best case scenario is i hit both teasers and the under bet(only 4 pt. middle)....and yes it would be best just to place straight bet,which i normally do but was just curious what the thought of forum was on this....be honest if it is terrible idea:if i have missed figured:say so,all comments and opinions welcome as always GL
i have been looking at doing a tease for this game with a twist....rutgers +16 over 39.....usf-4 over 39..... straight bet under 43......say i wager 1 unit(unit=$100) on each bet (no juice on 6pt. teaser...local book)....its true i am basically risking losing 2 of the 3 bets so worstcase is i lose $110 for the straight bet and push or win both on teasers but best case scenario is i hit both teasers and the under bet(only 4 pt. middle)....and yes it would be best just to place straight bet,which i normally do but was just curious what the thought of forum was on this....be honest if it is terrible idea:if i have missed figured:say so,all comments and opinions welcome as always GL
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