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Houston at Central Florida (11/14/2009)

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Posted: #1

Away:  Houston [6-2 ATS]
Home:  Central Florida [6-2 ATS]

Game Time: 12:00 PM
Stadium: Bright House Networks Stadium

Recent Meetings:
10/28/06 - CENFL 31 vs. HOU 51
11/05/05 - HOU 29 vs. CENFL 31

Team Leaders:

Houston:
Passing: Case Keenum (3815)
Rushing: Bryce Beall (597)
Receiving: James Cleveland (853)

Central Florida:
Passing: Brett Hodges (1558)
Rushing: Brynn Harvey (679)
Receiving: A.J. Guyton (431)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

 
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Posted: #2
Houston and the over for the rest of the yr
 
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Posted: #3
Houston has trouble defending against a balanced team, especially a passing team. They also suck playing away from home. But I think they can at least stop UCF often enough to get a huge lead. But this line is low and shady. They should be at least a 21pt favorite, to balanced out the bets. Unless the linesmaker feel that Houston will have trouble defending against UCF's runs. UCF is a run-dominant team. 3/4 of their plays, are runs.

I'm not sure if I have the balls to jump on another "sucka" bet
 
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Posted: #4

there is no way in hell houston should be favored by 21...I believe there could be some value here.  but, uh, as demonstrated in tulsa and utep games, plays poor D.   in addition, ucf got a beat down by texas (though they did cover cause texas coasted through the game).   uh is focussed so much on the ok st win.  the bottom line is, ok st. was that good when they played (and still is not that great).  

uh may cover in this game, but they are going to be in for a battle.  

 

Quote Originally Posted by Warblade:

Houston has trouble defending against a balanced team, especially a passing team. They also suck playing away from home. But I think they can at least stop UCF often enough to get a huge lead. But this line is low and shady. They should be at least a 21pt favorite, to balanced out the bets. Unless the linesmaker feel that Houston will have trouble defending against UCF's runs. UCF is a run-dominant team. 3/4 of their plays, are runs.

I'm not sure if I have the balls to jump on another "sucka" bet

LonghornHoosier
 
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Posted: #5
LonghornHoosier, I don't believe Houston should be favored by 21, I think the line should be at -21, to even out bets.

Houston only struggle against a team who have a passing game. UCF does not. Hopefully we can take advantage of this.
 
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Posted: #6
UH ml/ovr
 
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Posted: #7
HOUSTON
 
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Posted: #8

2 aspects come into play here:

UH offense vs a UCF below average secondary

UCF good run game vs bad UH run defense

I think it comes down to redzone efficiency and the ability to score td's.  Im a UH homer, but i think the score will be tight.  Either UCF+5 or UH ml. 

 

 
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Posted: #9

Houston # 1 pass offense vs C Fla. # 114 pass defense  enough said !

 
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Posted: #10

Man! Houston really made my balls burst last weekend...had them marked as a loss only to see in the ESPN ticker that they actually won by a game winning field goal....

Anyway although they made my balls burst I still like them here.

 
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Posted: #11
Look, this is another Vegas mind trick. They know they are going to rip them to shreds, but they put the line low to throw off the public.

It works sometimes. Take Houston they had their big loss of the year they HAVE to play great from here on out.
 
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Posted: #12
I like the over... Houston can pour on the points... there defense if not the best so UCF should be able to put some points on the board... 

Houston - 49

UFC - 20
 
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Posted: #13
I dont see UH scoring 49 pts, this UCF defense is good. They held texas to only 21 pts after 3 qtrs.  I see a 34-31 type of game going either way.  Conference games are always tight in any league.  I think Keenum pulls another miracle, therefore im taking UH mlH
 
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Posted: #14
Central Fl. just had TX.  I think this must take something out of them.  I'm on Houston.
 
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Posted: #15
Houston
 
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Posted: #16
I'm all over Houston to cover this one with ease...
 
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Posted: #17

Houston might bust my balls again in this one but if it's for a cover ats again then I won't mind...

Houston final -5

Aloha and good luck to all

 
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Posted: #18
UNDER 65
 
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Posted: #19
UNDER 65
 
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Posted: #20
too much over thinking - Houston to win by at least 10 and cover
 
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Posted: #21
Houston-5 (3 units)
 
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Posted: #22
Early lean is Houston, but im worried after last week
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by bigdaddyhpd:

Houston might bust my balls again in this one but if it's for a cover ats again then I won't mind...

Houston final -5

Aloha and good luck to all

Big Daddy - send me some Island Magic today.  I've been following your picks for a few years now.  I really like 3 games this week (Temple, Houston and BYU) and you are on all 3.  Lord know I/we need some WINS !!!!!

 
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Posted: #24
Central Florida
 
 
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Posted: #25
This is a gift from the VEGAS gods!   HOU
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