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Author: [College Football] Topic: Cincinnati at Louisville (11/14/2008)
jdawg07 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#26
Posted: 11/14/2008 2:14:05 AM
Sagarin NCAA football ratings
 
 
31  Cincinnati   78.36      ( sched strngth 63)
 
86  Louisville    67.48      ( sched strngth 103)
 
 
cinn shld be an 8 pt fav acrd to this
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#27
Posted: 11/14/2008 2:17:23 AM
accuscore was 3-0 in coll ftbl wed nt...glta
 
http://accuscore.com/option,com_acc_ncaaf_game_preview/tab,stats/Itemid,212/game_id,537/
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#28
Posted: 11/14/2008 2:29:04 AM

Athletic/Talent Advantage

During the Oklahoma-Cincinnati game, an ABC announcer said an NFL scout was on hand looking at least 10 Bearcat players. 

This is an athletic team with a defense that starts 10 seniors.

The Bearcats have two game-changers in receivers Dominick Goodman and Marshwan Gilyard, who have combined for 12 touchdowns this season.

Gilyard is also extremely dangerous on kick-off returns, as both Oklahoma and West Virginia have found out.

Cincinnati hung with Oklahoma in the fist half, until Grutza was knocked out.

Injuries

This will be Louisville’s second game without top receiver Scott Long, who tore his ACL during an Oct. 28 practice.
No other major injuries

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#29
Posted: 11/14/2008 3:34:01 AM
last week, favs covered all weekdays 1st half, this week dogs have covered so far, just follow the trend.

BOL
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#30
Posted: 11/14/2008 3:37:11 AM
I am too drunk to think right now but I feel like Cinci -4 right now. I just place a bet on them.. Cinci and the under  47 it is .. BOL guys
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#31
Posted: 11/14/2008 3:40:58 AM

Scouting The Defense:  

Cincinnati’s defense has found its swagger in recent weeks.

The Bearcats held WVU to just 98 yards rushing, becoming the first team since Virginia Tech in 2001 to limit the Mountaineers to fewer than 100 yards.

The Bearcats also sacked Pat White four times, giving them 13 sacks in the past five games after having just four in the first three games this season.

Cincinnati ranks third in the Big East in rushing defense.anytime a team is one dimentional  (as west virginia is)the defense is suppose to key on the run.that stat is useless!! cincy has a great eam yes but i never go against a home dawg! easy pick here louisville+4

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#32
Posted: 11/14/2008 5:57:13 AM
Cincy -4 (but will probably win by 7 to 10)
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#33
Posted: 11/14/2008 9:07:09 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by richardtonsj:

last week, favs covered all weekdays 1st half, this week dogs have covered so far, just follow the trend.

BOL

UNLV busted that trend last night...

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#34
Posted: 11/14/2008 9:11:50 AM

Louisville seems like the obvious play here but if you recall Louisville beat Cinci in Cinci last year. Cinci has a lot of seniors on this team and they want revenge before ending their college careers. Cinci had a nice lead in the WV game and gave it up only to comeback and win in OT...This should be a great game...early lean on CINCI!

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#35
Posted: 11/14/2008 9:18:04 AM
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#36
Posted: 11/14/2008 10:02:38 AM
i dont like either team but i will pick lou 2nite ,just for the green
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#37
Posted: 11/14/2008 10:26:32 AM
I've gotta go with Louisville just because Vegas wants you to pick Cinci.
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#38
Posted: 11/14/2008 10:44:40 AM
Early lean on Louisville in this one and maybe under.
 
Cincy looks like the obvious play tonight looking at past few games and with revenge on their minds but Lou. home after two road losses step up on national TV and get the cover. This is a clasic home dog that looks like they should get beat and then actually win the game. If Lou. can control the game with their running attack and Cantwell and company can limit the mistakes they should stay within the number. I will wait till game time and see what the weather has in store for this game, liking the under though.
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#39
Posted: 11/14/2008 11:08:03 AM
As of right now weather looks the same as it did in last nights pro game (70% chance of rain and it didn't rain at all during the game), raining all around the area but not in Louisville. Still early but I think both defenses will show up tonight and it will be low scoring.
 
Some stats:
  • Favorite is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
  • Bearcats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
  • Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings
  •  

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    #40
    Posted: 11/14/2008 11:16:41 AM

    I spy another bullshit line I'll take the Ville vere.  Line should be 7 considering how the ville has played.  The big wr's come to play tonight...  4th string qb takes a terd in the big game...

     

    Go home dogs

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    WinsNow999
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    #41
    Posted: 11/14/2008 11:17:46 AM
    QUOTE Originally Posted by mbanglaw:

    I've gotta go with Louisville just because Vegas wants you to pick Cinci.

    What is your coin pick today?. I really need winner here...down Big!

    Pike is my man here;  I have made some cash from the guy latley.. I just decide...

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    #42
    Posted: 11/14/2008 11:28:00 AM
    QUOTE Originally Posted by Fpronk:

    UNLV busted that trend last night...



    Wyoming covered 1st half...so far this week, dogs haved covered 1st half, including the pro game. 
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    #43
    Posted: 11/14/2008 11:28:34 AM
    Home dog + weekday game = Louiville cover
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    mbanglaw send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Logans |
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    #44
    Posted: 11/14/2008 11:34:48 AM
    QUOTE Originally Posted by WinsNow999:

    What is your coin pick today?. I really need winner here...down Big!

    Pike is my man here;  I have made some cash from the guy latley.. I just decide...


    WinsNow - Good point: I hadn't done the flip - the penny flip landed Heads - Therefore, LOUISVILLE +4.
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    #45
    Posted: 11/14/2008 11:35:15 AM
    Not sure if it's home dog tonight but so far dog has been covering 1st half and that's what I've been playing mostly, 1st half.  Playing dog for the game isn't bad also because if they're covering 1st half, then there is a good chance they might cover the game, except for last night with UNLV.

    BOL tonight!
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    #46
    Posted: 11/14/2008 11:42:04 AM
    QUOTE

    Originally Posted by richardtonsj:



    Wyoming covered 1st half...so far this week, dogs haved covered 1st half, including the pro game. 

    Yes, good point...

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    WinsNow999
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    #47
    Posted: 11/14/2008 11:44:51 AM
    QUOTE

    Originally Posted by mbanglaw:

    WinsNow - Good point: I hadn't done the flip - the penny flip landed Heads - Therefore, LOUISVILLE +4.

    Thanks..BangLaw...but still confused tho.....

    Head is normally presenting Favorite; and Tail is normally indicating the Underdog team. More

    Your coin turned to HEAD , but you picked DOG

    I like your style of fliping

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    #48
    Posted: 11/14/2008 11:48:40 AM
    WinsNow - no regardless of favorite/dog, my coin flip methodology is home team heads.  That's the way I do it.
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    #49
    Posted: 11/14/2008 11:50:56 AM
    lean cinci

    but how many times can a home dog bite ya in a year.......?
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    #50
    Posted: 11/14/2008 11:58:55 AM
    QUOTE Originally Posted by richardtonsj:



    Wyoming covered 1st half...so far this week, dogs haved covered 1st half, including the pro game. 

    YOU HAVE A GREAT AVATAR BUT...
    if you keep betting trends like that I will give you my number and I wont charge you a vig!!!
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