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Author: [Nascar] Topic: Bristol
stats1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#1
Posted: 3/12/2013 10:22:53 AM
books r a little slow getting there #s up this week after that pounding they took with kenseth winning on his bday!!   i am thinking the favorites 4 sprint cup will b brad and kyle if i can get either at 6-1 or better i will play 4 sure trying to figure out how my other 2 drivers will b bowyer and harvick r usually good there but lately they have found trouble early...  might go with jr and gordon depending on odds if i can get carl at 15-1 or better i will play that..        n the n.wide  i dont c how the winner doesn't come from brad,kyle, or harvick but the favorite will probably open at +250  thegreek has posted there match up"s   just don't have prices next to them yet they appear to have a match up with hornish favored over sadler if that is the case i will b HAMMERING sadler over hornish at bristol!!!     hope the rain stays away this weekend and bol 2 all
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#2
Posted: 3/12/2013 12:39:38 PM
Just throwing this out there...Kenseth has 6 consecutive top 10's at Bristol.  Over the last 8 years, Gordon averages the most points earned of any driver there.

Looks like Jr., Hamlin and Bowyer struggle a little at this track.

Sleeper in the matchups could be Burton.  He has the ability to run up front...not sure if they set the car up better here than the other tracks, but he's got a decent record here. 
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#3
Posted: 3/12/2013 1:03:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

Just throwing this out there...Kenseth has 6 consecutive top 10's at Bristol.  Over the last 8 years, Gordon averages the most points earned of any driver there.

Looks like Jr., Hamlin and Bowyer struggle a little at this track.

Sleeper in the matchups could be Burton.  He has the ability to run up front...not sure if they set the car up better here than the other tracks, but he's got a decent record here. 

Same stable as your sleeper but different driver. I'll be watching to see if Menard shows up in any matchups with some value. He's got a pretty decent track record here, and he's coming off a top 10 at LVMS. 

Worth a flyer if somebody screws up his odds... Vickers finished 4th and 5th here last year. This will be his first weekend in the #55 this year.

I like Hamlin this week depending on what his opening odds will be. He's the most recent winner here (but who knows how the track will respond to the constant reconfigurations). JJ, Kyle, Brad will all be favorites, but I think I like the #11 before seeing the cars hit the track. 
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#4
Posted: 3/12/2013 3:29:35 PM

hope you have no tires...

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#5
Posted: 3/12/2013 7:21:51 PM

BIG Play you look@ 5 DRIVERS Friends!  Kyle Busch, Denny Hamlin, JJ, JR, and Clint Bowyer.............GL

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#6
Posted: 3/12/2013 9:11:58 PM
Looks like Kyle and Kes are 7-1 each.  Solid value for two guys who own Bristol these days.
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#7
Posted: 3/12/2013 10:00:36 PM
Stats got a feeling Harvick shows up this weekend @ Thunder Valley, but hard not to play bad brad & Kyle @ Bristol  Weather forecast not looking good for the race
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#8
Posted: 3/12/2013 10:39:47 PM

dimes finally posted there #'s      few early plays 4 me 2 win

brad/kyle 7.5-1  carl/jeff 14-1  feel carl and jeff have great value at that # no match up's yet for me didn't like anything dimes posted but i have seen a carl-kahne -110 and if they paste and copy that later n the week that will b an auto play!!!           few plays also n the n.wide brad/kyle 3.5-1  harvick 5.5-1  will b shocked if 1 of those 3 dont win   1 early match up i hammered early sadler-hornish even   bol 2 all

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#9
Posted: 3/12/2013 10:46:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kouz:

Stats got a feeling Harvick shows up this weekend @ Thunder Valley, but hard not to play bad brad & Kyle @ Bristol  Weather forecast not looking good for the race
  n.wide race might b a sat. night race...    sunday is 40% hopefully rain stays away and they get the race n at least bristol has lights and it is a short track...   u heading over??  i am not going 2 make it flying out 2 vegas on the 20th for opening round of march madness but i am going to fontana going 2  make the 3hr. drive over early sunday morn. for the race..  
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#10
Posted: 3/12/2013 11:12:09 PM
2 added plays for sprint cup got Better lines then I thought I was going to...  Carl- Kahne +115   Gordon-Kahne +120  hope Kahne smacks the wall early!!! 
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#11
Posted: 3/13/2013 12:59:44 AM
Another added play this match up looks very weird to me  
Hamlin-Kurt +120  no more match up's for me at Bristol have 3 and I am sticking with those...
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#12
Posted: 3/13/2013 8:04:13 AM
I went small this week. Bristol is always my worst track betting over the years. Almost as much a crapshoot as Daytona (even though that didn't turn out bad this year lol)

Kyle Busch $500 at 7-1

Brad Kesolowski $300 at 7-1

Those are th only two I'm taking this week.

Best of luck Stats!
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#13
Posted: 3/13/2013 11:41:35 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by stats1:

Another added play this match up looks very weird to me  
Hamlin-Kurt +120  no more match up's for me at Bristol have 3 and I am sticking with those...


Name value alone, it does look weird.  However, Kurt runs really well here.  He actually averages a slightly better finish here than Denny does if you take away last years results when he was driving a cardboard box.
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#14
Posted: 3/13/2013 12:28:00 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by alangrrbs:



Name value alone, it does look weird.  However, Kurt runs really well here.  He actually averages a slightly better finish here than Denny does if you take away last years results when he was driving a cardboard box.
  kurt's car has been NO where as good as i thought it would b so far this year thought he would b getting top 10's weekly it wouldnt surprise me if his car doesn't make it thru the 500 laps sunday the way he drives   i will play this match up every week just out of equipment they r in!!!
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#15
Posted: 3/13/2013 2:24:38 PM
Absolutely, play it every week if they offer it!!!  I'd lay 1/4 of my bankroll every week, and count the money at the end of the year...lol.

I'd love to see any Danica matchups, and play against her.  Thought she was bad last week...can't imagine her trying to keep up on this track.  I'm sure it'd be a lot of juice, but it would probably be worth it.
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#16
Posted: 3/13/2013 6:49:42 PM
  at sin city, should be some wild opening rounds in the Big Dance, give em he'll in the sport books bro.  Got to work out of town next week, actually thinking of using up some comps I've built up @ fly out for the sweet sixteen weekend!  Not sure yet on Bristol, probably wait til Friday & see what there saying about the weather.
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#17
Posted: 3/13/2013 9:29:55 PM
weather has gotten a lot better fri. and sun. look great  sat still looks a little iffy...   i think they will get everything in this weekend...
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#18
Posted: 3/14/2013 10:17:26 AM
Denny is my favorite to win pre-qualifying, and I really doubt Kurt Busch finishes this race without putting it into the wall a couple times. We've seen how fast he can be at places where driver skill is more important than the car (Phoenix), but he always tries to grab for that last little bit that's out of reach and hurts his team. I missed the more favorable odds, but putting (to win) 2u on Hamlin -115 over the #78.

I'm also putting 1u on Menard -110 over Ambrose. Ambrose is certainly capable of railing off a 7-8th place finish on this track, but the #9 camp has just been trailing behind the #43 camp in speed all year it seems. Menard is going to finish 8-13 if he keeps his nose clean, which he does a fairly good job at.  

Was hoping the #11 would open at 11 or 12:1. There's just too many guys you could make a case for at this track to win that I don't see any value up there. Edwards seems like the best to me at +1100.
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#19
Posted: 3/15/2013 10:24:10 AM
denny went to -160 then they pulled the match up   let em keep putting up these stupid #'s and we will keep  in the mouth!!!!
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#20
Posted: 3/15/2013 10:25:28 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

Absolutely, play it every week if they offer it!!!  I'd lay 1/4 of my bankroll every week, and count the money at the end of the year...lol.

I'd love to see any Danica matchups, and play against her.  Thought she was bad last week...can't imagine her trying to keep up on this track.  I'm sure it'd be a lot of juice, but it would probably be worth it.
   might get a danica match up against speed,blaney,or wise this week...
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#21
Posted: 3/15/2013 1:27:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by stats1:

Another added play this match up looks very weird to me  
Hamlin-Kurt +120  no more match up's for me at Bristol have 3 and I am sticking with those...

They actually had Denny +120 v Kurt?  WOW. Sorry I missed it.
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#22
Posted: 3/15/2013 1:29:23 PM
Kyle, Brad, and Denny all looking fast. You're sitting pretty buying early. Wish I did.

 

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#23
Posted: 3/15/2013 1:31:26 PM
Keselowski wants to win a pole bad this year after missing the Unlimited. I say there is a very good chance he does it today.
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#24
Posted: 3/15/2013 1:35:53 PM
Yeah Stats, I agree with Clepto. I think we are looking good with Kyle and Kesolowski so far. Damn those cars looked fast! I like te new car. Didn't have the best first 2 races but last one was really good and this one looks to pick up where it left off. They were shattering the track record. Hope it doesn't get raised out or I might have to call off Monday lol.
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#25
Posted: 3/15/2013 1:58:05 PM
All u guys who bought kyle and brad early, bravo   Be around 4-1 sunday.  I know its early but any 3 of the gibbs cars or brad ftw. Brad is straight flying. If they all get their cars good on the bottom tho and then later in the race the high line becomes faster could see someone like truex steal it from them.
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