Danica Patrick Prop - Need your insight

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Author: [Nascar] Topic: Danica Patrick Prop - Need your insight
sportzguy123 PM sportzguy123
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Posted: 2/26/2012 12:56:14 PM

The Over / Under on finishing position is 17.5. 

Does anyone here think Danica will finish in 1st - 17th position?  I'm leaning on her finishing in 18th or worst

The reason I'm asking is my book is offering Danica higher then 17.5 position at  2.62 to 1

Also,

 

joboarder PM joboarder
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Posted: 2/26/2012 1:00:28 PM
Only thing I see is the 2 prior weekend races with a lot of front runners not finishing after several green white checkers...could be the case today...go from 22 to 12 finishing position on final lap but pass no one  
PennStateMan077 PM PennStateMan077
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Posted: 2/26/2012 1:04:27 PM
Take higher I'd give her about 5% chance to stay in the top 17
sportzguy123 PM sportzguy123
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Posted: 2/26/2012 1:05:52 PM
I bet higher for $300 bucks.  Now its a waiting game to see if this race is postponed due to rain.  Thanks for your insight
MENACE PM MENACE
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Posted: 2/26/2012 1:20:13 PM
She will not finish top 17
clepto PM clepto
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Posted: 2/26/2012 3:17:04 PM
25.5 -145 OVER at 5Dimes. What book is offering that line? OVER is the play, with that much of a discrepancy I would say bet the FARM on principle but my head tells me to tread wisely.

stats1 PM stats1
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Posted: 2/26/2012 5:44:55 PM
bet the kids college fund on that play!!!!
themaceo PM themaceo
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Posted: 2/26/2012 6:48:10 PM
Holy garbage ! I took the OVER 25.5 on 5Dimes....that line makes me nautious !
themaceo PM themaceo
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Posted: 2/26/2012 6:51:13 PM
I don't know what the drivers are really thinking but Kyle Petty has made it clear that he is sick of hearing about her already. DW told her she is already the face of NASCAR and hasn't ran a lap. I tend to think that the drivers will not be kind to her and will not race with her.
sportzguy123 PM sportzguy123
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Posted: 2/26/2012 7:30:10 PM

Here is my wager.  Since the race was to start ealier today the bet is not on the board anymore but I'm hopping they post it again before tomorrow's start

Bet Confirmation  - JA07662370I  - Internet   Time of bet:  02/26/2012 12:59:45 Print
Selections
No. Selections Event Event Date E/W Terms Odds Result
1 Higher than position 17.5 Daytona 500 - Danica Patrick
(Finishing Position)
02/26/2012 None 2.62 To Run
Risk:  300.00   To Win:  487.50   Returns:   
Total Risk: 300.00   Total Returns:  0.00

clepto PM clepto
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Posted: 2/26/2012 7:36:44 PM
WTF??? You can't be serious??? They offered + $$$ at OVER 17.5 ??? I don't believe it, WHAT BOOK???
madshooter72 PM madshooter72
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Posted: 2/26/2012 7:55:05 PM
wow, you could hedge that at dimes with under 25 at plus money and lock in a profit easily and have a shot at the middle. WOW
clepto PM clepto
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Posted: 2/26/2012 8:01:49 PM
Exactly. $487 off $300 at that line??? He still hasn't answered book question. I don't believe it, sorry.
Posted using a mobile device.
joboarder PM joboarder
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Posted: 2/26/2012 8:38:17 PM
300 pays 187   where do you see + money ......
joboarder PM joboarder
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Posted: 2/26/2012 8:40:50 PM
300 bet pays 487.....minus 300 bet = 187 profit   how long have you guys been doing this ?
sportzguy123 PM sportzguy123
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Posted: 2/26/2012 8:44:18 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by clepto:

Exactly. $487 off $300 at that line??? He still hasn't answered book question. I don't believe it, sorry.

I'm not sure I understand your comment?  The max I could bet was $300.  They capped the Prop wager limit for all Nascar wagers.  Oh and I have no reason to lie about my book but I'm trying to avoid a flood of wagers on this should they repost the wager tomorrow.  I'd like ad to my wager now that I know this is an amazing line. 

sportzguy123 PM sportzguy123
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Posted: 2/26/2012 8:46:29 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by joboarder:

300 bet pays 487.....minus 300 bet = 187 profit   how long have you guys been doing this ?

The way the book shows the payout is the winning amount ... not total payout

For this reason $300 pays $487.50 = $878.50

sportzguy123 PM sportzguy123
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Posted: 2/26/2012 8:48:29 PM

Here is an example from today to show you how they calculate it

Selections
No. Selections Event Event Date E/W Terms Odds Result
1 PIT Penguins to score 4th goal CLB Bluejackets @ PIT Penguins
(Next Goal)
02/26/2012 None 1.75 Won
Risk:  200.00   To Win:  150.00   Returns:  350.00  
Total Risk: 200.00   Total Returns:  350.00

joboarder PM joboarder
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Posted: 2/26/2012 9:00:43 PM
then your book dont know how to do math then...something is not right with this entire conversation...not saying anybody is lying just something aint right...numbers dont jive...and if you win it they wont honor it...bad line 
sportzguy123 PM sportzguy123
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Posted: 2/26/2012 9:04:50 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by joboarder:

then your book dont know how to do math then...something is not right with this entire conversation...not saying anybody is lying just something aint right...numbers dont jive...and if you win it they wont honor it...bad line 

I agree the line is a bad line ( based on what I've seen so far ).  But I used the "live chat" feature before placing the wager to confirm all was good.  I'll be honest, I'm not a Nascar guy which is why I posted the question 1 hour before the races scheduled start this morning.  At that time I had no idea if it was a good wager and which side to hit.

clepto PM clepto
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Posted: 2/26/2012 9:13:58 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by joboarder:

then your book dont know how to do math then...something is not right with this entire conversation...not saying anybody is lying just something aint right...numbers dont jive...and if you win it they wont honor it...bad line 

I already had that thought process bro. What's the book???

clepto PM clepto
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Posted: 2/26/2012 9:14:28 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by joboarder:

300 bet pays 487.....minus 300 bet = 187 profit   how long have you guys been doing this ?

 

Longer then you. STFU!!!

joboarder PM joboarder
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Posted: 2/26/2012 9:14:57 PM
hopefully you get it tomorrow...i cant I live in the USA
clepto PM clepto
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Posted: 2/26/2012 9:16:14 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sportzguy123:

I'm not sure I understand your comment?  The max I could bet was $300.  They capped the Prop wager limit for all Nascar wagers.  Oh and I have no reason to lie about my book but I'm trying to avoid a flood of wagers on this should they repost the wager tomorrow.  I'd like ad to my wager now that I know this is an amazing line. 

BOOK???

joboarder PM joboarder
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Posted: 2/26/2012 9:17:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by clepto:

 

Longer then you. STFU!!!


so you cant see from hitting PRINT on his post that it is BET365 ?  think much ?...you STFU 
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