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[Nascar] Topic: Kansas Race Weekend Plays |
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madshooter72 |
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#1 Posted: 6/1/2011 10:01:18 AM Qualifying Matchups
Reutti over Truex +100 .50 unit
Edwards over Biffle +120 .50 unit
Kyle over Gordon +150 .50 unit
Ragan over Menard -105 .50 unit
Love these plays, 2 of them I believe are line mistakes, other 2 are value plays. Reutii has out q'd Truex 2 out of 3 this yr on cookie cutters, while also out qing Truex last 2 at Kansas.
Ragan has 1 bad Q run this year (42) with a 1st and an 8th on cookies, but looking further into the numbers, Ragan had the 2nd fastest car that day during practice and simply spun out coming onto the backstretch, simply an unusual qualifying mistake. I know Menard has out Q'd Ragan last 2 races here, but think momemtum is on Davids side right now.
Edwards Q runs on cookies this year are 3rd, 2nd, and 3rd...and I am getting him at Plus odds, can't pass that up with the way he is running right now.
Kyle getting 1 1/2 to 1 odds on out Qing Jeff who he has 2 out of 3 this year, and coming off a bad Q run and bad race run....I will take those odds all day, way too much value to pass on. |
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madshooter72 |
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#2 Posted: 6/1/2011 11:50:07 AM Locked In Value Plays
Ragan @ +3800 .04 unit
Ambrose @ +5300 .04 unit
Reutti @ +6500 .04 unit
AJ @ +6500 .04 unit |
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vegasdennis |
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#3 Posted: 6/1/2011 1:19:49 PM  GL Shooter
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madshooter72 |
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#4 Posted: 6/1/2011 3:59:33 PM ADDED
Biff @ +975 .12 unit
Ragan @ +4100 .03 unit (.07 units total) |
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captjohn67 |
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#5 Posted: 6/1/2011 4:57:08 PM |
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stats1 |
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#6 Posted: 6/1/2011 5:38:08 PM  i think jimmy has some value this week @ 8-1 and should beat denny....
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madshooter72 |
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#7 Posted: 6/2/2011 4:29:59 PM Field to win in Nationwide @ +550 .13 unit
Like Joey who is running the 20 car this week, last 3 races at Chicago have been won by a JGR car....maybe the 2nd week in a row we see the Field win a nationwide race. |
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madshooter72 |
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#8 Posted: 6/2/2011 6:03:02 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by madshooter72:
Field to win in Nationwide @ +550 .13 unit
Like Joey who is running the 20 car this week, last 3 races at Chicago have been won by a JGR car....maybe the 2nd week in a row we see the Field win a nationwide race.
DO NOT PLAY THIS
Gibbs pulled the 20 car from the field for this weekend, so you have no one running as the field that has any chance in the world to win this. Pissed about this, this line will go up alot more now. Only going to have a 42 car field also.  |
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madshooter72 |
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#9 Posted: 6/2/2011 6:04:23 PM Joe Gibbs Racing on Wednesday morning withdrew its No. 20 Toyota entry from Saturday's STP 300 at Chicagoland Speedway, despite that car's 15-point lead in the Nationwide Series owners' points.
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madshooter72 |
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#10 Posted: 6/2/2011 6:05:11 PM  |
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vegasdennis |
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#11 Posted: 6/2/2011 6:13:43 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by madshooter72: Joe Gibbs Racing on Wednesday morning withdrew its No. 20 Toyota entry from Saturday's STP 300 at Chicagoland Speedway, despite that car's 15-point lead in the Nationwide Series owners' points.
Odd they pulled car out completely
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madshooter72 |
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#12 Posted: 6/2/2011 6:30:12 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by vegasdennis:
Odd they pulled car out completely
exactly , makes no sense at all. I have to contact dimes back , trying to get it voided. They said they couldn't confirm it yet...I will let you know how I make out. It is bullshit if they don't, line will be 3 to 4 times those odds, only reason they were that low was because of Joey. |
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Looselugs |
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#13 Posted: 6/2/2011 6:43:30 PM
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Looselugs |
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#14 Posted: 6/2/2011 6:58:59 PM 
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madshooter72 |
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#15 Posted: 6/2/2011 8:14:29 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Looselugs:
shooter, you have a ton of work on this weekends races . thanks for all you do here. your work is much appreciated. and as always gl.
appreciate the kind words, had some extra time the last few weeks, so I have been putting a little more time into capping and it has been paying off thus far. GL this weekend. |
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madshooter72 |
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#16 Posted: 6/4/2011 1:11:53 PM
Bodine over Horny +130 .50 unit
Sauter over Horny +120 .50 unit
Whitt over Peters parlay with Chavez Jr. +140 .50 unit
Bodine to win @ +850 .10 unit
Dillion to win @ +1100 .05 unit
Whitt to win @ +2200 .05 unit
gonna see about parlaying Kyle or Clint or both with some heavy chalk in Boxing, MMA and Baseball if it presents itself...Hope we see someone other than Clint or Kyle in V lane today, getting sick and tired of seeing Cup guys win in Trucks already. GL
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vegasdennis |
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#17 Posted: 6/4/2011 1:25:31 PM
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madshooter72 |
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#18 Posted: 6/4/2011 1:27:44 PM
Kyle parlay with multiple chalk .10 to win 1 unit
Clint parlay with multiple chalk . 10 to win 1 unit
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CheeseAndSteak |
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#19 Posted: 6/4/2011 1:58:01 PM |
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madshooter72 |
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#20 Posted: 6/4/2011 2:35:20 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by madshooter72: Qualifying Matchups
Reutti over Truex +100 .50 unit 
Edwards over Biffle +120 .50 unit 
Kyle over Gordon +150 .50 unit
Ragan over Menard -105 .50 unit
split the Q matchups, picked up about .34 units on the matchups.
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Goggles-Pisano |
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#21 Posted: 6/4/2011 4:04:20 PM |
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madshooter72 |
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#22 Posted: 6/4/2011 4:25:57 PM
Bayne @ +1600
Sadler @ +1800
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madshooter72 |
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#23 Posted: 6/4/2011 6:32:28 PM
Sadler over Almirola -110 1 unit
Reed over Almirola +100 1 unit
Sadler to win @ +1800 ..06 units
Bayne to win @ +1600 .06 units
Field to win @ +550 .13 units
Dimes wouldn't cancel out the Field bet, even though Joey was pulled from the race, bushleague if you ask me...only reason it was that low was because of him and the fact that JGR had won the last 3 races here. I hope someone in the Field wins just for the fact that they wouldn't void it, if it was a line mistake, you can bet your behind it would have been voided.
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stats1 |
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#24 Posted: 6/4/2011 6:38:02 PM
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madshooter72 |
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#25 Posted: 6/4/2011 6:50:10 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by stats1: nice truck race maybe steve wallace will win his 1st race ever for u
thanks stats, got a better chance of it snowing the race out tonight before Wallace ever wins a race.
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