standard rule is that speed plays better on a wet track. Lionheart and smart jones ran 1-2 all the way around. MTB closed on the rail last year like a train. I think its more about saving ground. The horse who I think will run big is Noble's promise at a price. He is a smaller horse who should skim over the slop because churchill is a deep track. Some of the bigger horses dig in pretty deep when it gets wet depending on the conditions. Noble's promise comes from a sire who has put out 111 starters on an offtrack winning at a 29% clip. They have been in the money 61% of the time. The only other Sire i can think of that produces offspring at that rate is Birdstone who is siring off track runners at a 27% win clip. Oh wait that was Mine that birds daddy. I like Super saver on an off track as well but he could get absolutely hammered at the window.
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standard rule is that speed plays better on a wet track. Lionheart and smart jones ran 1-2 all the way around. MTB closed on the rail last year like a train. I think its more about saving ground. The horse who I think will run big is Noble's promise at a price. He is a smaller horse who should skim over the slop because churchill is a deep track. Some of the bigger horses dig in pretty deep when it gets wet depending on the conditions. Noble's promise comes from a sire who has put out 111 starters on an offtrack winning at a 29% clip. They have been in the money 61% of the time. The only other Sire i can think of that produces offspring at that rate is Birdstone who is siring off track runners at a 27% win clip. Oh wait that was Mine that birds daddy. I like Super saver on an off track as well but he could get absolutely hammered at the window.
figure out track bias before the derby starts! thats how calvin borel and mind that bird was able to win the KD. the horse that races on the hardest part of the track early on will have something left for the stretch.
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figure out track bias before the derby starts! thats how calvin borel and mind that bird was able to win the KD. the horse that races on the hardest part of the track early on will have something left for the stretch.
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