Morehead St is better than their record, they've played a difficult schedule. Opposite is true with Eastern Washington. They haven't won against a quality opponent and I believe this line is inflated based on early season performances so far.
Morehead St is better than their record, they've played a difficult schedule. Opposite is true with Eastern Washington. They haven't won against a quality opponent and I believe this line is inflated based on early season performances so far.
although it is true morehead may be better then record indicates, the weakness of morehead falls right into the strengths of EW . first, MH is almost dead last in giving up the most free throw attempts per fg attempt. this means alot more fts for EW . a huge positive being also that EW ranks #2 in free throw % shooting at 84%, and their best player avgs almost 5 fouls per game committed on him and is shooting at over 93% ft. in a game with a close spread i can see the cover coming down to who will make the get the most fouls against them, which would be EW . morehead ranks almost dead last again on offense for the same stat, rarely getting to the line for ft attempts.
another big factor is although EW is pretty bad on defense and has played quite a few high scoring games (also 3 ot games which can skew this) , MH is dead last on defense in terms of giving up a high 3pt% and also in general fg% . EW is a team that is used to jacking up quite a bit of 3 pt shots so this could bode well for them especially at home. EW is ranked very well in blocked shots as well, and has a full 2 inches bigger avg height compared to morehead.
Moreheads only real win this year (kentucky christian doesnt count) was vs lipscomb, a very shitty rank #250 team at home, in which they got waxed by them the 2nd time they played on the road. if this was a home game for morehead i would be much more inclined to play them.
Got EW at -2.5 last night because i could def see this spread going higher by gametime
although it is true morehead may be better then record indicates, the weakness of morehead falls right into the strengths of EW . first, MH is almost dead last in giving up the most free throw attempts per fg attempt. this means alot more fts for EW . a huge positive being also that EW ranks #2 in free throw % shooting at 84%, and their best player avgs almost 5 fouls per game committed on him and is shooting at over 93% ft. in a game with a close spread i can see the cover coming down to who will make the get the most fouls against them, which would be EW . morehead ranks almost dead last again on offense for the same stat, rarely getting to the line for ft attempts.
another big factor is although EW is pretty bad on defense and has played quite a few high scoring games (also 3 ot games which can skew this) , MH is dead last on defense in terms of giving up a high 3pt% and also in general fg% . EW is a team that is used to jacking up quite a bit of 3 pt shots so this could bode well for them especially at home. EW is ranked very well in blocked shots as well, and has a full 2 inches bigger avg height compared to morehead.
Moreheads only real win this year (kentucky christian doesnt count) was vs lipscomb, a very shitty rank #250 team at home, in which they got waxed by them the 2nd time they played on the road. if this was a home game for morehead i would be much more inclined to play them.
Got EW at -2.5 last night because i could def see this spread going higher by gametime
Morehead St is better than their record, they've played a difficult schedule. Opposite is true with Eastern Washington. They haven't won against a quality opponent and I believe this line is inflated based on early season performances so far.
I'll take the points for -120 odds
Very fishy line indeed. I'm no college basketballl handicapper nor do I follow any particular team but the fact that a 7-2 team at HOME is only -2 (original starting line) against a visiting 2-6 team? Seems a little too easy.. I'll have to go against my gut and take:
Morehead State +4
BOL to all...
"Schrödinger's bet." A bet that loses when you bet it but wins when you DON'T bet it...
Morehead St is better than their record, they've played a difficult schedule. Opposite is true with Eastern Washington. They haven't won against a quality opponent and I believe this line is inflated based on early season performances so far.
I'll take the points for -120 odds
Very fishy line indeed. I'm no college basketballl handicapper nor do I follow any particular team but the fact that a 7-2 team at HOME is only -2 (original starting line) against a visiting 2-6 team? Seems a little too easy.. I'll have to go against my gut and take:
not that fishy, they are 2 very closely ranked teams at 225 vs 235. the discrepency in record is because morehead has played a harder schedule, in addition to playing almost all its games away whereas EW has played most games at home. close spread will likely come down to the better free throw shooting team which is EW by a mile.
not that fishy, they are 2 very closely ranked teams at 225 vs 235. the discrepency in record is because morehead has played a harder schedule, in addition to playing almost all its games away whereas EW has played most games at home. close spread will likely come down to the better free throw shooting team which is EW by a mile.
i ended up pushing by buying off the .5 with -2 , but extremely pissed off with the way that game ended,EW gave up a 12-1 run to end the game . and of course the meaningless 3 pt at the buzzer off of an offensive reb with 3 sec left in the corner with a man in his face. unbelievable. dont give a fuk that i pushed because that should have been a win. morehead didnt have a lead until the last minute since the first 5min of the game. absolutely horrible way to end the bet.
i ended up pushing by buying off the .5 with -2 , but extremely pissed off with the way that game ended,EW gave up a 12-1 run to end the game . and of course the meaningless 3 pt at the buzzer off of an offensive reb with 3 sec left in the corner with a man in his face. unbelievable. dont give a fuk that i pushed because that should have been a win. morehead didnt have a lead until the last minute since the first 5min of the game. absolutely horrible way to end the bet.
following on espn.com . EWash up by 5 in OT and then it appears a last second 3 pointer for the Cover !!
You should download the TuneIn radio app. It's free to listen to "meaningless" college games like this. A premium membership is required for bigger games like the NFL and NBA.
Anyway, I was on Morehead State small. Basically, just fading the public. A little luck never hurt. It's part of gambling. I still feel like it was the right side.
following on espn.com . EWash up by 5 in OT and then it appears a last second 3 pointer for the Cover !!
You should download the TuneIn radio app. It's free to listen to "meaningless" college games like this. A premium membership is required for bigger games like the NFL and NBA.
Anyway, I was on Morehead State small. Basically, just fading the public. A little luck never hurt. It's part of gambling. I still feel like it was the right side.
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