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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: Thursday 2/21
JFen31
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JFen31
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#1
Posted: 2/21/2013 12:33:41 PM
November: 67-48 (+17.8 units)
December: 52-61 (-7.6 units)
January: 55-45 (+13.3 units)
February: 54-39 (+8.7 units)
Overall: +32.2 units


Weakest Thursday card in quite awhile, although this weekend is going to be phenomenal. 

Thursday 2/21
La Salle +7/Duke -7 (2 units)
Penn State +16 (1 unit)
Cincy PK (1 unit)

Lean:
Drexel +2

GL.






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#2
Posted: 2/21/2013 12:46:29 PM
you are an A10 guy, and do well

Lasalle is going to be my play today, but seeing if I can get 2. Not a big play but regular. I am actually surprised it opened at pk and not at 2 or 3...
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#3
Posted: 2/21/2013 12:48:38 PM
Good Luck tonight JFen31.
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#4
Posted: 2/21/2013 2:32:08 PM
Really like Cincy tonight. Think the battle on the boards will be the difference.
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#5
Posted: 2/21/2013 2:38:01 PM

Cinci

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#6
Posted: 2/21/2013 3:20:50 PM
good luck tonight jfen
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JFen31
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JFen31
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#7
Posted: 2/21/2013 4:27:28 PM
Crus - Glad to see you back. We need more knowledgeable A-10 guys around here.


Some random musings from my stream of consciousness...

-Cincy-UCONN is an interesting clash of styles and personnel. Biggest problem for the Bearcats is that the pressure won't be effective against Napier and Boatright. Those guys are tremendous against pressure and will not hesitate to attack. Outside of this issue, though, not many disadvantages for Cincy. The size of Wright, Kilpatrick, and Parker will be problematic for the halfcourt offense of UCONN. I suspect Daniels will draw a tough matchup with either Rubles or Justin Jackson. Not really sure where UCONN gets its points as the it's awfully difficult to score in the paint against the size of Cincy and the Huskies are again without the 7-footer Wolf. If Cincy brings effort, they get 15+ offensive rebounds tonight.

-I'm saying this for at least the 20th time this year: yes, Penn State is bad. But no, Penn State has not quit. Quite the contrary, in fact. Chambers is doing his best with a depleted roster and a lack of proven scoring options. Things will be exponentially better next year with Frazier's return and John Johnson (Pitt transfer) becoming eligible at mid-season. Back to tonight, though. Illinois has seemingly rediscovered its early-season worldbeating form and is squarely back in the NCAA Tournament field. Problem is, tonight is a wicked spot after four BIG wins and a trip to Ann Arbor on Sunday. Penn State's defense is focused on not allowing points in the paint. If you've ever seen Villanova play, it's the exact same scheme as Chambers comes from the Jay Wright coaching tree. Point is, Illinois is going to get plenty of looks from deep. Certainly reasonable chance they knock a bunch down, but I'm playing the spot here.

-Duke has been somewhat pedestrian without Ryan Kelly, which really shouldn't come as a surprise given how important the stretch-4 man is in Coach K's dribble-drive system. The good news for Duke is that this Virginia Tech team is ill-equipped to take advantage of Kelly's absence. As the Tony Bennett parody account on Twitter so poignantly remarked, "If you slow down Erick Green, you beat Virginia Tech. But even if you don't stop Erick Green, you will still beat Virginia Tech." I'm inclined to think the latter happens tonight with the three Duke ball-hawking guards (Suliamon, Thornton, Cook) applying constant pressure and forcing other guys to hit shots. James Johnson has made no bones about wanting to play an up-tempo style and there is little chance he goes away from it tonight. He's kinda screwed either way, though a faster pace increases the chances of Duke blowing the doors off. Gut says this one is a runaway.

I could probably put together 2000 words on La Salle-Temple but am out of time. Bottom line, this Explorers team is sneaky, sneaky good. Duren/Galloway/Garland/Mills comprise one of the 7 or 8 best backcourts in the country. Wyatt will get his, but unless TU gets multiple secondary scoring options (i.e. Pepper/O'Brien/Randall hitting threes), La Salle ultimately has too many weapons. Liacouras Center will be rocking, but La Salle is in position to win the Big 5 for the first time in 23 years. Motivation to the Explorers in a highly-entertaining game.

Out for the night.

Good luck to all.






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#8
Posted: 2/21/2013 5:14:21 PM
not new to this place,just my first post...really like your write ups on all the games jfen..def one of the best cappers here
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#9
Posted: 2/21/2013 5:23:43 PM
Thanks for the great read GL J
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#10
Posted: 2/21/2013 6:09:59 PM
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TRAIN69
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#11
Posted: 2/21/2013 6:16:12 PM
Great stuff JFen. I took PSU and the O130 for the exact reasons you listed.
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#12
Posted: 2/21/2013 6:43:14 PM
Love the insight Jfen. Very much appreciated.
Posted using a mobile device.
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Baby_BA
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#13
Posted: 2/21/2013 6:50:04 PM
GL 
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#14
Posted: 2/21/2013 7:23:33 PM
Good Luck
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MuggsyBogues
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#15
Posted: 2/21/2013 9:41:58 PM
Two extremely close games. No luck tonight.

You expecting the sheer volume of bets to be very high on Saturday, or is a 4 unit wager in the making?


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JFen31
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#16
Posted: 2/22/2013 2:37:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MuggsyBogues:

Two extremely close games. No luck tonight.

You expecting the sheer volume of bets to be very high on Saturday, or is a 4 unit wager in the making?




Nah, nothing big. I'm buried in work this weekend and have various plans, so time will be limited. Probably won't even touch the BracketBusters stuff.


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JFen31
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#17
Posted: 2/22/2013 2:39:29 PM
Friday:

SLU @ Butler Under 125 (1 unit)

Got a lot to say here, but no time. Biggest thing is Butler's struggles against on-ball pressure. Had SLU for a 2-unit play in the first meeting but Brad is amazing with revenge. Don't think either team gets out of the 50's tonight.

GL.




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#18
Posted: 2/22/2013 2:55:26 PM
Hey JFen, you're putting together another great season. In 3 seasons, I've seen you clear 30+ units in college hoops. My question is have you ever had a losing season in college hoops? Your knowledge regarding the game is second to none.
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#19
Posted: 2/23/2013 3:01:35 AM
Good luck tomorrow  JFen31
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#20
Posted: 2/23/2013 10:00:06 AM
moving on...
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syracusejoe
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#21
Posted: 2/23/2013 10:17:08 AM
please do not bump threads.  Thanks
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#22
Posted: 2/23/2013 10:51:50 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by syracusejoe:

please do not bump threads.  Thanks
you the fu#kin posting police?
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