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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: Slim's Sharp Predict (Public Sheep to Slaughter)
Slim-Daddy send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: MGM Grand |
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#1
Posted: 2/2/2013 1:59:38 PM
I gave you guys a winner in Pitt. I'll be posting my 4pm play at 3:30.
It's a winner.
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Slim-Daddy send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: MGM Grand |
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#2
Posted: 2/2/2013 3:14:53 PM
Okay boys I've handicapped the hell outta URI +16 vs Butler. There are some interesting items:
The Hurleys coach URI (Bobby and Dad)
URI has lost last 4 gms by a combined 10pts.
URI has a dynamic scorer in Xavier Mumford he has scored 20 pts in 8 gms and his avg is 17.4.
The URI defense isn't bad either they have size and length.
Butler has to be questioning itself after the rammage they got vs SLU. Rotnei Clarke isn't the same post injury.
Bottom line is I think 16 points is to many. The public is on Butler at a 78% clip and there probably is relatively heavy money on the game. I see the public getting smacked again.
I feel comfortable laying 2 units here. Pitt was a 5 unit for me.
What do you think??
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#3
Posted: 2/2/2013 3:30:29 PM
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#4
Posted: 2/2/2013 3:35:20 PM
I like the logic, I'll tail for 1 unit, having +5 unit day so far.  Good Luck!
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#5
Posted: 2/2/2013 3:37:09 PM
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#6
Posted: 2/2/2013 3:38:02 PM
I see RI beat SLU on the road so they have to be decent right.
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#7
Posted: 2/2/2013 3:38:58 PM
on it with you slim. good karma all day. here we go!!!
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#8
Posted: 2/2/2013 3:42:19 PM
URI has actually been pretty competitive in conference play though their record might not reflect it (1-5).  Lost those 5 games by an average margin of 4 pts, though you could always argue the strength of prior conference opponents.  Nevertheless, catching 15- pts with a relatively low total is certainly intriguing.

I'm also considering N. Iowa as that line, on its face, doesn't make a great deal of sense.  98.8% of the Streak players on WichSt which screams for another contrarian play...thoughts?
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#9
Posted: 2/2/2013 3:51:41 PM
I'll bite.  URI +16
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#10
Posted: 2/2/2013 3:53:51 PM
I love Northern Iowa. Road Favs are getting crushed. I think Witchita peaked vs Creighton and now are resting on laurels a lil bit.
My public fade came down to these two plays. I picked URI b/c of the reasons you mentioned and now there should be a blue print on how to beat them. I just don't know much about N. Iowa but based on theories (Road Favs) and the line it's a fantastic play. I may hop on for 1 unit.
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#11
Posted: 2/2/2013 3:54:18 PM
Looks like its worth a shot.  GL 
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#12
Posted: 2/2/2013 4:17:29 PM
Good start
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#13
Posted: 2/2/2013 5:31:14 PM
Aiight--
We have a game. I can't imagine URI not beginning to score field goals.
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#14
Posted: 2/2/2013 5:39:30 PM
Any thoughts on Temple vs St Joes?
It's pretty much a must win for Temple and they are getting 3pts. I see a close game it's also a Big 5 intra city rivalry. Those games are generally close.
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#15
Posted: 2/2/2013 6:09:44 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Slim-Daddy:

I love Northern Iowa. Road Favs are getting crushed. I think Witchita peaked vs Creighton and now are resting on laurels a lil bit.
My public fade came down to these two plays. I picked URI b/c of the reasons you mentioned and now there should be a blue print on how to beat them. I just don't know much about N. Iowa but based on theories (Road Favs) and the line it's a fantastic play. I may hop on for 1 unit.


N. Iowa 

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#16
Posted: 2/2/2013 6:13:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Slim-Daddy:

Okay boys I've handicapped the hell outta URI +16 vs Butler. There are some interesting items:
The Hurleys coach URI (Bobby and Dad)
URI has lost last 4 gms by a combined 10pts.
URI has a dynamic scorer in Xavier Mumford he has scored 20 pts in 8 gms and his avg is 17.4.
The URI defense isn't bad either they have size and length.
Butler has to be questioning itself after the rammage they got vs SLU. Rotnei Clarke isn't the same post injury.
Bottom line is I think 16 points is to many. The public is on Butler at a 78% clip and there probably is relatively heavy money on the game. I see the public getting smacked again.
I feel comfortable laying 2 units here. Pitt was a 5 unit for me.
What do you think??


URI 
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#17
Posted: 2/2/2013 6:14:18 PM
GREAT CALL!! great karma today burdduh. whats next???!! up $3,500 today
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#18
Posted: 2/2/2013 6:15:05 PM
Coach were on fire. Anything else?

Those N. Iowa and URI plays are the ones that seperate the 50% wagerer and the 60% wagerer.
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#19
Posted: 2/2/2013 6:17:01 PM
Get that slim
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#20
Posted: 2/2/2013 6:17:47 PM
That's huge Brooklyn I'm not that high but pretty happy.
I don't see anything else CBB.
I'm gonna look into NBA now. Do you guys play NBA too? Any thoughts?
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#21
Posted: 2/2/2013 6:23:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Slim-Daddy:

Coach were on fire. Anything else?

Those N. Iowa and URI plays are the ones that seperate the 50% wagerer and the 60% wagerer.


Yeah, Slim...I like the way you think willing to step outside the box.  If there's one thing I've learned, it's those plays that don't feel all comfy and cozy are usually the winners...with exceptions, of course.  I'm still liking Indiana St. and looking at the Mich/Ind over tonight...thoughts? 
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#22
Posted: 2/2/2013 6:45:22 PM
Any other plays for the day?
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#23
Posted: 2/2/2013 6:51:11 PM
Only game I'm looking at is Florida. There has been RLM the public is with missisippi +16.5 at almost 60% but the line increased to 17.5. They're looking for more Mississippi money. I hate laying that many points but may play small 1-2 units. Plus I think Fla is the best team in the country and aren't getting the respect. They may open a can of whup azz tonite.
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Slim-Daddy send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: MGM Grand |
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#24
Posted: 2/2/2013 7:04:25 PM
I'm laying the chalk with Fla for the reasons above.
Small play 10% of todays profit.
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#25
Posted: 2/2/2013 7:09:21 PM
goodluck slim. so many points i hate laying that amount of points. situation favors you bigtime public loves those points. get itttttt. im on kansas st +2.5 for 2h. really like the way they look
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