University of South Dakota Coyotes @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits... Thursday, January 31, 2013

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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: University of South Dakota Coyotes @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits... Thursday, January 31, 2013
alwaylose PM alwaylose
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Posted: 1/31/2013 11:55:32 AM
GL
jesron1269 PM jesron1269
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Posted: 1/31/2013 11:57:54 AM

SDSU is 69th in the country when it comes to scoring per game; 205th in rebounds; 78th in assists; 53rd when it comes to field goal percentage; USD is 54th when it comes to scoring; 298th in rebounding; 169th in assists; and 96th when it comes to field goal percentage.  There is no question neither one of these teams like to play defense.  SDSU has been playing far better defense of late and will be an emphasis in this game.  However, remember what I always say about Summit League games with an emphasis on defense give me the double digit dog.  If SDSU is trying to play lock down defense they will be focusing on their half court offense, deflating the clock and playing defense on the other end.  I assure you USD is going to score as they have too many good offensive players not but the with SDSU spending so much energy on the defensive side I don't see 30 point blow out so if Coach Nagy sticks to his game plan I am loving that stragity.

If I have any more angles I will post them but that is all I got for now.  Sorry for all the posts I just didn't want to lose it all again like last week so I posted more frequently instead of one really long post.  BOL!

jesron1269 PM jesron1269
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Posted: 1/31/2013 12:00:29 PM
Oh one more thing... this place will be packed as SDSU canceled school today due to how cold it is (-12 as I type this with up to -40 windchill) so these students will be in force, drunk and loud.  They are giving out white t-shirts for the first 10,000 people despite Frost only having capacity for 8,500 so again this place will be packed and no doubt have tons of SDSU students/fans but I do expect USD to travel better than NDSU did.  BOL!
jesron1269 PM jesron1269
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Posted: 1/31/2013 12:06:10 PM

On to other Summit League games... I lean all dogs today.  Obviously I like USD +16 or better.  UNO is starting to play a lot better and now they are catching approaching 4 points against a team who has not won ATS in a conference game since playing this same UNO team at home the 4th day of January.  Whereas UNO is 6-1 ATS their last six games with four straight up wins (all as dogs) in conference play.  I might actually make this a play.

I loved seeing UMKC +20 against NDSU who without Braun (hell I am not even sure with Braun) should never be laying this kind of line.  However, I missed that ship as the line is down to 17.5.  I might play it in a teaser but I cannot lay it straight up.

Illwildcats PM Illwildcats
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Posted: 1/31/2013 12:13:37 PM
Mine just moved to 17....keep going!
kaponofor3 PM kaponofor3
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Posted: 1/31/2013 12:15:03 PM
Fantastic stuff jesron, love your analysis on these Dakota related games. My book is giving me USD +17, going to probably lock it in now


jesron1269 PM jesron1269
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Posted: 1/31/2013 12:25:42 PM
If you can get 17 lock it in now.  My book just went from 16.5 to 16.  My local will not be available yet and I see it is moving down to 16 across the board.  If it drops to 15.5 is am locking it in.  But if you can get 17 buy now.
jesron1269 PM jesron1269
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Posted: 1/31/2013 12:26:24 PM
Thanks Kap!  BOL!
kaponofor3 PM kaponofor3
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Posted: 1/31/2013 12:26:56 PM
Damnit down to 16 in the blink of an eye!
jesron1269 PM jesron1269
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Posted: 1/31/2013 12:28:08 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

Damnit down to 16 in the blink of an eye!

I knew I was not the only one eyeing this game.  It moved so quickly.  Lets hope it moves back up again.  BOL!

weimar74 PM weimar74
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Posted: 1/31/2013 12:32:27 PM
my book still had 18
jesron1269 PM jesron1269
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Posted: 1/31/2013 12:37:24 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by weimar74:

my book still had 18

You mean UMKC/NDSU game right?  NDSU beat UMKC by 19 last matchup but that was with Braun.  I would still lean taking the 18 for at leat letting NDSU beat down UMKC in the 1H and then taking them second half.  Of course if it is a close game 1H then let the game go altogether unless you already have UMKC for the game.  BOL!

jesron1269 PM jesron1269
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Posted: 1/31/2013 12:38:45 PM

Alright guys I better get some real work done now.  After my short appearance this morning I have done nothing but look at this game.  As Kap would understand now I got to figure out who to bill for my time that I just wasted.   (I kid of course!)

pdizzlesizzle PM pdizzlesizzle
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Posted: 1/31/2013 12:53:38 PM
Thanks for write up hoping it is at 16 or better latet
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ysaelee87 PM ysaelee87
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Posted: 1/31/2013 12:57:17 PM
Glad I.got the half point..line back down to -16..never showed 17 for my line
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Rocafella PM Rocafella
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Posted: 1/31/2013 1:01:49 PM
jsab PM jsab
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Posted: 1/31/2013 1:05:37 PM
BOL Jesron .You are one of the nicer guys on this site I see.
jsab PM jsab
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Posted: 1/31/2013 1:06:30 PM
I say that because I don't see any attacks being thrown at your opinion inmost cases,which is a good thing.
Vituperate PM Vituperate
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Posted: 1/31/2013 1:08:18 PM
I found 17 and took it...can't push my luck
Illwildcats PM Illwildcats
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Posted: 1/31/2013 1:14:08 PM
Yup, dropped down to 16.

Good luck
jesron1269 PM jesron1269
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Posted: 1/31/2013 1:34:04 PM
Down to 15.5 at my book.  I hate doing this but I am going to gamble and just see where it ends up in the next couple hours.
CoverLane PM CoverLane
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Posted: 1/31/2013 2:21:46 PM

I had to take 16 jerson, I got 15.5 on one and 16 on the other....

 

Best of luck tonight

jesron1269 PM jesron1269
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Posted: 1/31/2013 3:27:41 PM

The line has stayed steady at 16 for a while now.  So I am going to play now as I missed my opportunity for 17 and I think it could go down to 15.5 before tip but I doubt we ever see 17 or better again.  While I can still get 16 I am playing...

USD +17 -130 for 2 units (I bought a full point due to the fact that the Jacks high water (other than IUPUI who was without Hart) mark for beating conference foes at home is 16).  Personally I think the Jacks win by 12 points or less.

As I mentioned I might have a 2H play if the Jacks are covering the game at halftime.  BOL!

jesron1269 PM jesron1269
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Posted: 1/31/2013 3:30:38 PM

pdizzlesizzle... thanks & BOL!

ysealee87... good work and BOL!

Rockafella...  to you too and BOL!

jsab... thanks and BOL!

Vituperate... nice line and BOL!

Illwildcats... thanks and BOL!

CoverLane... lets both cash and BOL!

jesron1269 PM jesron1269
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Posted: 1/31/2013 3:37:26 PM

Updated record:

13-6  +14.5 units on Jacks games

37-19-1  +26.22 units on NCAAB games overall

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