Posted: 1/16/2013 7:40:14 AM
13-13 on Terp games this season
I contemplated not posting for a couple of Terp games since we are so bi-polar right now and it's tough to add value when it's so unpredicatable as to what will show up for the Terps. I decided to go ahead as I'm not posting this for the guys that bust your balls if you lose, I do it for the guys that understand this isn't an exact science and no matter how good I have been on Terps games for 5+ years, sometimes you lose alot of games by a point or two but it doesn't mean you haven't added value. There, my therapy session is done.
Terps -1.5 Total: 149
Terps get home tonight after an ugly, ugly road performance against a Miami team that was very beatable if we had just played decent. Really, they made it ugly but in the end we were two possessions from winning. Young teams like the Terps have are prone to games like that, especially on the road. That being said, we have three losses by 13 total points. NCSU comes in tonight on about a big a high as they've seen in 10+ years. The knocked off Dook Saturday in what was a pretty complete game. I think the Pack team is very talanted but their D is a pretty big concern. You're going to have to score 70+ to beat them as they are very balanced scoring-wise.
This Terps team plays very good defense and rebounds very well. They are also very deep. Those are easily my Terps three finest attributes. The bad side is guard play, lack of offensive efficiency for long stretches and a lack of true leadership with the team so young.
Here's what I think you see tonight (but hell, I only watch every minute of every game so WTF do I know?):
1) Faust to play the 1. The time has come and he can't do any worse than Pe'shon and freshman Seth Allen have. I think this will allow Turge to move Allen to the 2 where he can shoot without having to handle the ball as much. Faust played the 1 last year to let Stogs shoot more and it worked pretty well, He's not the optimal PG but he is big and athletic so I think this will help the offense run more effieciently.
2) Pack in some foul trouble with our depth. They don't play great D anyway and we have alot of bodies to throw at them. Something like 6-7 guys over 6'8? The Pack is like the little kid that wants to be playing offense the entire game and F defense. Their starters are big and atheltic but can they play 38+ effective minutes each like they had to against Dook?
3) A jacked up , sold out crowd. Terps will debut the Pride uniform for the first time tonight and our backs are against the wall. Big time let down angle for the Pack after the Dook win. ACC road game. Terps better than they have played the last two games. All add up as positives for the Terps.
I like the over here a little more than I like the Terps. I think the Pack's lack of willingness to play D coupled with the fact that the Terps will have 4+ guys in double figures will lend itself to a high scoring affair. Not saying the Terps will run with the Pack but we cannot shoot as poorly as we did at Miami or against FSU in the 2nd half so the total is a bit lower than it should be. The Pack is in a very unfamiliar position as their fans have endured years and years of suck to medicrity and they have reason for hope. I don't think they are there quite yet and tonight's game is a tall task for many reasons. The intensity from the Terps should be much better than what we saw on the road.
Again, tail me if you want but this is a young team so we have to deal with the schizo part.
Over 149 (double play)