Playing an under with an Iona team involved can be a very scary proposition as they enter tonight as the 9th fastest team in the country and average 1.119 points per possession (#22). In fact, they have scored 91+ in three straight games.
But the angle tonight is all about Siena -- more specifically their tempo and ineffective offense. First the tempo. The Saints have already faced 4 teams this year ranked in the top 50 with respect to pace and none of those games approached tonight's total: Cal St - Northridge (#15): 132 pts on 59 possessions Maine (#34): 138 / 71 UMass (#2): 127 / 70 Rider (#49): 118 / 66 Secondly, their offense -- to say they struggle to score is an understatement. They come into tonight with an adjusted offensive efficiency of 0.915 (#288) and have only scored more than 1 point per possession twice this season in 13 games. And I would expect their struggles to continue tonight as this is only their third game in the last 27 days! Coach Mitch Buonaguro knows he can't get into a track meet tonight and will need to make the game ugly by slowing things down (Siena ranks #292 in pace ratings). This was the case the last two times that Iona visited the Times Union Center as we saw final totals of 127 on 66 possessions last year, and 140 on 64 possessions the year before that. This isn't to say that Iona won't get their points tonight, but as evidenced by their match-ups with other snails this year, they should struggle at times to maintain the pace required to get this game over 151. Here are the results vs the four other snails they've played this year: Denver (#344): 123 pts on 61 possessions St Peters (#265): 126 / 71 Georgia (#321): 132 (at the end of regulation) St Joes (#277): 187 / 74 Could this fly over, of course it could. But there are numerous situational statistics that point to less points than the oddsmakers are projecting with this total. Good luck if you decide to make a play
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Playing an under with an Iona team involved can be a very scary proposition as they enter tonight as the 9th fastest team in the country and average 1.119 points per possession (#22). In fact, they have scored 91+ in three straight games.
But the angle tonight is all about Siena -- more specifically their tempo and ineffective offense. First the tempo. The Saints have already faced 4 teams this year ranked in the top 50 with respect to pace and none of those games approached tonight's total: Cal St - Northridge (#15): 132 pts on 59 possessions Maine (#34): 138 / 71 UMass (#2): 127 / 70 Rider (#49): 118 / 66 Secondly, their offense -- to say they struggle to score is an understatement. They come into tonight with an adjusted offensive efficiency of 0.915 (#288) and have only scored more than 1 point per possession twice this season in 13 games. And I would expect their struggles to continue tonight as this is only their third game in the last 27 days! Coach Mitch Buonaguro knows he can't get into a track meet tonight and will need to make the game ugly by slowing things down (Siena ranks #292 in pace ratings). This was the case the last two times that Iona visited the Times Union Center as we saw final totals of 127 on 66 possessions last year, and 140 on 64 possessions the year before that. This isn't to say that Iona won't get their points tonight, but as evidenced by their match-ups with other snails this year, they should struggle at times to maintain the pace required to get this game over 151. Here are the results vs the four other snails they've played this year: Denver (#344): 123 pts on 61 possessions St Peters (#265): 126 / 71 Georgia (#321): 132 (at the end of regulation) St Joes (#277): 187 / 74 Could this fly over, of course it could. But there are numerous situational statistics that point to less points than the oddsmakers are projecting with this total. Good luck if you decide to make a play
Back to back rocking chair wins. Game flows as expected with only ~64 possessions and Iona continues to struggle in their yearly visit to the Times Union Center
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Iona / Siena Under 151
Back to back rocking chair wins. Game flows as expected with only ~64 possessions and Iona continues to struggle in their yearly visit to the Times Union Center
Back to back rocking chair wins. Game flows as expected with only ~64 possessions and Iona continues to struggle in their yearly visit to the Times Union Center
great call on the under
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Quote Originally Posted by riccio14:
Iona / Siena Under 151
Back to back rocking chair wins. Game flows as expected with only ~64 possessions and Iona continues to struggle in their yearly visit to the Times Union Center
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