Day Two of the "Lady Luck System" 14-7 Year to Date

Hey guys, so today is the second day that I am going to run games through this new system. Yesterday proved to be pretty good and the system went on a 14-7. Just in case you didn't look at my post yesterday, this is how my system is working right now:

What I do is use an output of predicted scores for games that has been over 70% accurate this season so far. I then look at Vegas' lines and find games that have some point discrepancies. Then what I do is list them by starting time (I am on Western Pacific Time -3 hours) and state the team that the system likes with the chosen team's spread and predicted overall score for the game, and lastly how many points they would cover by if the system was working properly. If a play has an astrix* by it that means that it caught my attention and I see something that I might jump on, but this does not mean that games without astrixs are to be ignored, in fact those are the plays that killed the books for the system yesterday. The more astrix's the better I personally like the pick. It is a little too early for me this morning to make my final picks for today, so I will update this post when I make any solid decisions or find any new information.

Feel free to pick and choose whatever you want from the system's output. I ran all of the games that I saw as redeemable today, however with bigger card days like tomorrow, I won't do every game, so you guys can just ask me to run a game if you don't see it already posted. Remember, this is just a trial, so feel free to leave some input or suggestions if you have any! Also, I will list a couple injuries that may affect the lines at the end of my picks as well as some trends or other interesting things that I happen to like or dislike. Best of luck tonight, lets hope the system operates like it should, and remember, don't book too early, the systems choices were based on the spreads that I listed!

The Lady Luck System's Picks for 1/4/13:

• 4:00 – George Washington +5 – George Washington 63 Georgia 66 – GW Covers by 2

• 4:00 – Brown +9 ½ -- Brown 64 Rhode Island 71 – Brown Covers by 2 ½

• 4:00 – Valparaiso -13 ½ -- Valparaiso 76 Cleveland State 59 – Valparaiso Covers by 3 ½ *

• 4:00 – St. Peter’s -3 – St. Peter’s 68 Manhattan 63 – St. Peter’s Covers by 2 **

• 4:00 – Siena +13 – Siena 69 IONA 74 – Siena Covers by 8 *

• 4:30 – Loyola-Maryland -7 ½ -- Loyola-Maryland 71 Rider 57 – Loyola-Maryland Covers by 6 ½ *

• 5:00 – Tulane -7 ½ -- Tulane 68 Wofford 58 – Tulane Covers by 2 ½ (Might like the other side on this one, I'll post later)

• 5:00 – Tennessee -2 – Tennessee 68 Memphis 63 – Tennessee Covers by 3 **

• 6:00 – Mississippi -19 -- Mississippi 83 Fordham 60 – Mississippi Covers by 4

Injuries:

• Georgia Bulldogs guard Marcus Thornton (3.8 points per game, 4.4 rebounds per game, and 8 blocks per game) is out for tonight’s game.

• Cleveland States forward Anton Grady (13.7 points per game, 5.5 rebounds per game, 13 steals per game, and 8 blocks per game) is still rehabbing from surgery and will not be playing in tonight’s game)

• Manhattan’s guard Michael Alvarado (8.4 points per game, 2.3 rebounds per game, and 15 steals per game) is dealing with an ankle injury and is currently listed as questionable for tonight’s game. Manhattan’s other guard George Beamon (16.8 points per game, 6.3 rebounds per game, and 9 steals per game) is still out with an ankle injury.

• Tennessee’s guard Trae Golden (12.5 points per game, 3.4 rebounds per game, and 3 steals per game) is dealing with an injury with his non-shooting shoulder, but is expected to play in tonight’s game. Forward Dwight Miller has missed the last six games due to a knee injury but may return tonight. Guard Derek Reese (7 points per game and 2 steals per game) has been out since November 7^th and will miss tonight’s game.

• Memphis forward Tarik Black (10.9 points per game, 5 rebounds per game, 7 steals per game, and 8 blocks per game) is expected to miss tonight’s game with a groin injury.

• Mississippi center Demarco Cox is listed as questionable for tonight’s game against Fordham.

Other Notes:

• Valparaiso is 7-1 at home while Cleveland State is only 1-5 on the road.

• Manhattan is only 1-6 on the road.

• Siena is 0-5 at home and IONA is 2-3 on the road.

• Tennessee is 6-0 at home while this is Memphis’ first home game.

• Mississippi is a perfect 7-0 at home while Fordham is 0-7 on the road.

Also:

• I kind of like the over for Tennessee and Memphis at 126.

• Tennessee is 6-0 at home while this is Memphis’ first AWAY game.

Oops.

This is amazing... your score projections are the same as www.sportsline.com expert picks section.

I never said I made the score projections haha. You obviously didn't read the post yesterday.

They are the same projections from multiple places. Its all run through a computer regression. I am not really sure what you're getting at? I even said I used an output of scores that has an accuracy of over 73% in my opening paragraph of this post.

It's all good lady. Some people don't read  Keep up the great work!

Great job yesterday Lady....67%   

Thanks xsebishop!

I like what your doing here. Thanks for for all your work.

Thanks for the positive feedback guys! Best of luck to everyone!

Good luck Lady.  The one i disagree with is Siena.  Iona is going to run them out of the gym, just like La Salle did.

I am kind of sitting back on Siena for that reason too Naz. Siena has yet to win a single home game, and that worries me. IONA is a stronger team, that is without a doubt. I don't think that I will play that game personally. Thank you for your input!

Right now I am leaning towards:

Valparaiso
St. Peter’s
Loyola-Maryland
IONA (Fading the system on this one)
Wofford (Fading the system on this one)

--I have not officially taken any of these yet. I am still watching the lines. What do you guys think?

ladyluck, Just post what you are going to play. No project score or any such thing. The less information the better. GL

Nice work and thanks for the information!! 

Thanks for the hard work and information.  Please dont listen to the "Captain Negatives"!!  I followed 5 of your system plays yesterday and hit 4.  Troy was the only loser for me.  Thanks again and keep the winners coming!!

You use CBS sports projected scores. The over 70% accuracy they are hitting at are on the outright winner and not the projected score. Correct?

OKKID - Correct, then I combine that with the spreads and line shifts. Which is why I leave all of the information out there for people to choose individuals. Yesterday it seemed to be extremely accurate with the exception of two games.

Thanks Gamecock, I am glad that you made some money! I appreciate you letting me know the system worked for you.

Iona beat up St. Bonnie in Bonnie's house......Siena doesn't impress me as a team that can keep up with Iona

Delta - I am going to take Iona for the first half as soon as my book opens it up.

First play locked in:

Loyola-Maryland -7 1/2. (System approved)