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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: Friday 11/9 Plays
JFen31
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#1
Posted: 11/8/2012 3:09:12 PM
2010-2011: 154-127
2011-2012: 301-256

Finally. It has arrived. Months of waiting and we have arrived at one of the best days of the year.

Not much difference for me in terms of approach. I'll try and be slightly more selective while utilizing a more aggressive unit structure. Flat-betting will still be the norm, but I need to be a little less hesitant to bump up a bit on stronger plays.

Let's get to it...

Unfortunately, my favorite play on the card (Cal Poly-TCU under) opened at 133 and has taken a major nosedive to 126.5. I'll leave it alone for now and hope it climbs back towards the 130 vicinity.

Some other leans:
Tulane +6, Fresno-Texas Under 130 (Kabongo?), Mason +2, North Dakota +21, LSU -8, Creighton -6.5/SDakota St +13 (tease)


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#2
Posted: 11/8/2012 3:12:45 PM
LETS GET THE $$ BUD. BOL
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#3
Posted: 11/8/2012 3:13:10 PM
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JFen31
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#4
Posted: 11/8/2012 3:19:11 PM
Kabongo out for game, per the school.

Fresno State @ Texas Under 130 (1 unit)
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#5
Posted: 11/8/2012 4:11:41 PM

Happy New Year, J. 

Like Tulane.  Looking at the Peacocks. 

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#6
Posted: 11/8/2012 4:26:27 PM
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#7
Posted: 11/8/2012 5:01:10 PM

 

gl bgk

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#8
Posted: 11/8/2012 5:10:14 PM
glad you're back - need to send you pm probably tom am - gl this year friend - let's hit im hard - clem1  
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JFen31
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#9
Posted: 11/8/2012 5:47:33 PM
Adding another to Fresno-Texas @ 129. This will be the only two-unit play of the night.

Fresno State @ Texas Under 130/129 (2 units)
I started researching this one a few weeks ago when the Kabongo stuff began leaking. His absence will be a major factor for a Texas team looking to replace the scoring void left by J'Covan Brown and devoid of another facilitator/playmaker remotely close to the caliber of Kabongo. The turnovers are a concern, but his speed, playmaking ability, and passing acumen (#61 nation in assist rate) will not be duplicated. I'm not sure who will pick up the point guard role in his absence. Additionally, Texas will be without Jaylen Bond, its best offensive rebounder and an absolute animal on the glass. For Fresno, it's all about defense. Rodney Terry came in last season and changed the identity and style of the program. The Bulldogs went from #167 in tempo in 2010-11, to #314 in 2011-2012. This is a team built on grinding out games with solid halfcourt defense. The offense was supposed to receive a major jolt with the addition of 7'0 freshman Robert Upshaw, a top 100 recruit, but he will be sidelined for the time being due to injuries. In his absence, the offense will look much like it did last year - that is, the Kevin Olekaibe show. I highly doubt Barnes will let Olekaibe beat him, and the other Fresno options are unlikely to fill it up. The Horns' defense improved steadily throughout last season as it took awhile for the freshmen to buy into Barnes' philosophies. That should not be an issue this season. It's also worth nothing that Terry is a former Barnes assistant. We should see a whole lot of halfcourt offense on both sides.

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#10
Posted: 11/8/2012 5:53:16 PM
GL This season JFen31! So pumped for the CU game tomorrow.
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#11
Posted: 11/8/2012 5:58:33 PM
Good luck man, it's like Christmas morning 
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#12
Posted: 11/8/2012 7:12:26 PM
Excited for your picks this yearBOL
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#13
Posted: 11/8/2012 9:30:14 PM
Good luck this season, J.
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#14
Posted: 11/8/2012 9:58:00 PM
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JFen31
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#15
Posted: 11/8/2012 10:08:12 PM
Thanks guys.

Bucknell +12/Creighton -4.5 -120 (1 unit)
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#16
Posted: 11/8/2012 11:24:56 PM
Got my Popcorn ready for tommorrow...Cant Wait!!
Any insight on the TCU @ home vs Cal Poly....My gut says TCU....But would love your take....Good luck this season....
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#17
Posted: 11/8/2012 11:56:12 PM
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#18
Posted: 11/9/2012 1:09:16 AM
Love it, Go Jfen 
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#19
Posted: 11/9/2012 1:32:35 AM
BOL
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#20
Posted: 11/9/2012 1:41:37 AM
You have any futures?

Bol this season
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#21
Posted: 11/9/2012 2:03:51 AM
Gl jfen 
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#22
Posted: 11/9/2012 5:11:32 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JFen31:

2010-2011: 154-127
2011-2012: 301-256

Finally. It has arrived. Months of waiting and we have arrived at one of the best days of the year.

Not much difference for me in terms of approach. I'll try and be slightly more selective while utilizing a more aggressive unit structure. Flat-betting will still be the norm, but I need to be a little less hesitant to bump up a bit on stronger plays.

Let's get to it...

Unfortunately, my favorite play on the card (Cal Poly-TCU under) opened at 133 and has taken a major nosedive to 126.5. I'll leave it alone for now and hope it climbs back towards the 130 vicinity.

Some other leans:
Tulane +6, Fresno-Texas Under 130 (Kabongo?), Mason +2, North Dakota +21, LSU -8, Creighton -6.5/SDakota St +13 (tease)



Michigan St-1.5 /SDakota St +13.5 is a better tease play.
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#23
Posted: 11/9/2012 11:09:00 AM

 JFen  - BOL to you this season

Looking forward to your posts

 

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#24
Posted: 11/9/2012 11:10:51 AM
like those teasers, GL today and season JFen
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#25
Posted: 11/9/2012 11:19:06 AM
Agree Va/GMU line makes no sense.

GL
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