Posted: 12/23/2012 12:06:15 PM
Been following you for a couple of years now. Love your insight. You really help me to decide whether to give a play a longer look or not.
As you've said, most of your plays seem to be not the "marquee" matchups, but value-based in conferences that the linesmakers may not have a good read on.
In trying to determine the relative strength of a team, what statistics guide you that "yeah team A is great", or "team B is 8-1 but they really aren't as good as their record suggests"..... like these smaller conferences are hard to find on tv, and while when I see a team I can determine if their good, bad, ugly, etc... but stats-wise, I have a hard time determining what are the most important factors to focus on.... I know KenPom has the beast of all stats....
Would love to hear your insight on which stats help determine which team has value between Team A and Team B.... and if it's one of those obscure stats, what it actually tells us...
Thanks for all your work, my friend! Good Luck