My condolences to Louisville's tourney run

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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: My condolences to Louisville's tourney run
LawsonJames PM LawsonJames
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Posted: 3/23/2012 11:50:03 PM
It was nice while it lasted 

Gators ml -120

OBI PM OBI
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Posted: 3/23/2012 11:56:06 PM

Patino

utfootball4 PM utfootball4
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:02:08 AM
ville wins
LawsonJames PM LawsonJames
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:04:31 AM
Nah guys, Donovan's boys get it done. Don't fall for the public dog here.
robbypark PM robbypark
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:07:51 AM
Louisville will take them out.  They are the far superior team.
LawsonJames PM LawsonJames
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:10:09 AM
Nah, final four will be Kentucky, Cuse, UNC, and Gators.
cgduch01 PM cgduch01
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:10:42 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by OBI:

Patino

PITINO gets in done to play UK for one of the greatest hype/rivarly/matchup final 4 games of all time.  the state of kentucky really might just spontaneously combust.  I'll start the over/under for basketball related murders that week at 22.5

smokeman42 PM smokeman42
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:11:48 AM
i agree it has been nice but finally time for it to end.
gribbs44 PM gribbs44
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:13:53 AM
cards win big tomm defense wins championships men.
SiuLungBao PM SiuLungBao
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:23:28 AM
how does gators handle the press or zone?
cgduch01 PM cgduch01
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:27:08 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by SiuLungBao:

how does gators handle the press or zone?

Louisville will play their press very similar to the way they did against MSU.  Not going to trap, just going to pick up full court, apply some pressure and make them work for their possessions.  Pitino knows their guards would shred any kind of trapping pressure that Marquette struggled against in the BE tourney.  This game really comes down to Florida hitting the 3.  If they hit at a high rate they win the game.  If louisville can limit open looks and force contested 3's, they win, and probably handily.

LawsonJames PM LawsonJames
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:27:40 AM
Gators have the quick guards that can handle the ball and break the press. Gators will beat the Cards tomorrow and nearly everyone on covers will complain about how the cards cant score and Siva is garbage.
cgduch01 PM cgduch01
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:32:55 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by LawsonJames:

Gators have the quick guards that can handle the ball and break the press. Gators will beat the Cards tomorrow and nearly everyone on covers will complain about how the cards cant score and Siva is garbage.

Again, they will pick up full court essentially to slow down florida's fast break, not to trap and speed them up like other games.  And as far as your 2nd statement, people have been posting that same statement since the matchup against Davidson was released.  There arent many trends I bet with, but KenPom Def Eff and how that stat relates to final 4 appearances is one of them.  Florida would be the worst Def Eff team to make the final 4 since kenpom started, and that is enough for me to take the Louisville ML.

LawsonJames PM LawsonJames
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:38:02 AM
good luck, I am not a trend guy. I don't see Louisville winning tomorrow. But we'll see. I'll be on Gators ml -120 large.
RemiRem PM RemiRem
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:40:15 AM
No rest, im going with the veteran backcourt & FLORIDA. No emotions, put your cash on the damn Gators. They are just making buckets. 
SiuLungBao PM SiuLungBao
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:41:38 AM
LJ, i like the under more

i think cards struggle to score....

i think we will see a lot of half court plays
SiuLungBao PM SiuLungBao
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:42:48 AM
i think gators have the advantage honestly

gators love to take jumpshots

which is perfect against a zone...
SiuLungBao PM SiuLungBao
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:47:55 AM
i like how peyton siva has improved but i dont think he can beat the backcourt of gators
cgduch01 PM cgduch01
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:51:38 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by SiuLungBao:

i think gators have the advantage honestly

gators love to take jumpshots

which is perfect against a zone...

i don't know the exact number but teams are shooting around 20% from 3 against louisville since the start of the BE tourney.  for a team dependent on the 3 ball, that number scares me a lot.  the louisville zone isn't played the same way as cuse or other teams.  it's a zone with man concepts, and in their 2 biggest games so far this year (BE 'ship, sweet 16) both teams scored 44 points.  I just can't see how florida would be favored here.  IMO playing the spread in this game is pointless, ML or nothing, no matter what side you are on.

SiuLungBao PM SiuLungBao
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:54:08 AM
i actually like the under 133 more than anything

but if i had to pick a team

its gotta be gators...
shark_apreza PM shark_apreza
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:57:26 AM
Ville only chance is to keep this ugly and low scoring--if they get i to Fla type of game they will get crushed---so---i think the under is a better play here
jwheels86 PM jwheels86
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:58:29 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cgduch01:

i don't know the exact number but teams are shooting around 20% from 3 against louisville since the start of the BE tourney.  for a team dependent on the 3 ball, that number scares me a lot.  the louisville zone isn't played the same way as cuse or other teams.  it's a zone with man concepts, and in their 2 biggest games so far this year (BE 'ship, sweet 16) both teams scored 44 points.  I just can't see how florida would be favored here.  IMO playing the spread in this game is pointless, ML or nothing, no matter what side you are on.



They have been playing teams that are horrible shooting the ball.
cgduch01 PM cgduch01
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:58:42 AM

If Fla wins more power to you, but you have 4 posts saying nothing other then you like florida.  I come here for conversation and to talk about bets, so other then "the gators have the advantage", why do you really like them?  I've layed out my POV...

jwheels86 PM jwheels86
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:58:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LawsonJames:

Gators have the quick guards that can handle the ball and break the press. Gators will beat the Cards tomorrow and nearly everyone on covers will complain about how the cards cant score and Siva is garbage.



You are right on
jwheels86 PM jwheels86
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Posted: 3/24/2012 12:59:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by robbypark:

Louisville will take them out.  They are the far superior team.


No they aren't, I was far more worried about the matchup issues with Marquette than I am with Louisville. This is Billy Donovans game to lose.
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