|Tuesday's marathon thoughts:
Posted: 11/14/2011 5:15:23 PM
-WVU down a little with the loss of glue guy PG and my HS classmate Joe Mazzulla, also lost a good defender in John Flowers. Return plenty inside and they will kill the glass, which should be a good matchup for Kent State who is good inside as well. WVU better and at home, but this could be a good-sized spread
-Baylor's zone should make it really hard for a depleted SDSU team to score if the BU offense cooperates, also an early start for a West Coast team at noon local time
-Baby Longhorns will play at pace and they have some shooters along with defensive bigs. URI has a shooter of their own, a lengthy defender and not much else
-Thug U without DeQuan Jones due to suspension and then Reggie Johnson with the injury and same for Julian Gamble. Rutgers with a solid coach but new PG and ? in the entire backcourt. Miami has two awesome guards
-Dayton new coach but they have a 3pt shooter, new PGs and depth inside. MIAoh with a solid C and some solid perimeter players minus a 3pt shooter
-Villanova isn't great but La Salle is terrible
-Charlotte with speed on perimeter and post scorer, CMU with a good wing in the coach's son but not much outside in terms of shooting and not much inside either
-Duke with the guards to score and the bigs to rebound, Sparty doesn't have the talent in the backcourt and their frontcourt won't be able to push the Plumlee's around like they did with UNC's softees
-Mizz State looked fantastic vs. Nevada with a shooter playing the 5, a baller at the 3 and some new guards that can spell each other at the point. Ark State was great at home LY with great FG% defense, but they have a new PG and that's always scary.
-Ohio State one of the most complete teams in the country with shooting, a big guy and solid D. Florida with nothing inside to the point where Sullinger should do whatever he wants inside with Patrick Young. Florida is going to play uptempo with the small lineup, but they're never the same on the road and will have to get easy buckets in transition or make perimeter shots. I'm not sure how deep tOSU is on the perimeter, though
-Saint Louis is supposed to be great this season returning a lot and playing their slow pace. SoILL has a good big but two big guys are gone and D is a question. Backcourt looks okay, while SLU has some guys blocking shots ranging from 6'5" to 6'8" to 6'11"
-Iowa State too hard to predict at this point
-Arizona State isn't good, but Pepperdine has a new PG an JUCO players and lost their top scorer.
-Kentucky is 1A to UNC's #1, which looks in doubt after playing so poorly on the ship. As for UK, they are young but extremely talented while Kansas has experience but nowhere near the talent nor depth because of some ineligible players going to phony prep schools. I have serious questions about KU and they won't have the HCA for them which is a huge difference just being away from the Phog while Rupp will add it to the home team
-No clue on Santa Clara-UCSB but Kevin Foster vs. Orlando Johnson should be fun to watch
-MTSU has a big disadvantage inside although Dendy is good, Ucla should be angry after the loss to LMU who MTSU beat on Sunday
-Drexel with great defense and rebounding plus a top scorer returning heading to Rider off a close loss @Pitt. Rider with size and shooters, but still not sure their offense is as fluid as it was after losing two big scorers to graduation
-Belmont should be cheap @Memphis considering they were cheap @Duke and almost won. Belmont with the full-court press and a bunch of 3pt shots. Memphis returns a ton with scoring in the BC and a similar 3pt talent despite youth. They are at home and they will shoot better plus they have a very good incoming freshman big and depth to counter the press.
-Cal with a short turnaround with only a day off before Austin Peay comes in, who returns the OVC leading scorer and then the team's top scorer in 2009 who returns from injury. A good defender is back with very little lost. Cal with Cobbs at the point looked good the other night, then a good defender and shooter in Gutierrez plus a scorer in Allen Crabbe. Kamp in the post is scary but AP has a solid 6'8" center.
Ark State 2