The danger in gambling is in falling in love with one particular team and riding them. I believe you have to take each game as a single event and weigh both sides evenly. This way you never end up talking yourself into making a bet. That is probably the worst thing you can do. If the pick isn't there on its own merits then trying to justify or rationalize a pick will only lead to trouble and lighter pockets.
In my last pick I took Kent State +5 1/2 against Fairfield. A lot of my criteria was based on the fact that you could have made a better case for Kent to make the big dance than Fairfield. Kent was on the road but they came from a better overall conference in my opinion. Today I go against Kent for some of the same reasons.
You have no idea how much it pains me to take a big favorite and lay that many points. But Colorado is that much superior to Kent. Their conference is superior. Their team is superior. Colorado makes fewer mistakes. They have more firepower. And not the least of all, Colorado is at home where they went 17-2 this year. One loss was by 4 points and the other a 3 point loss in OT.
On the other side you are asking a Kent State team in one week to travel out west to play St Mary's then back east to play Fairfield and now back on the plane out west again to play Colorado. I know these are kids but that's a tall task.
Final points are that Kent had trouble rebounding against Fairfield and that's not something you want to take to Colorado. Kent also turns the ball over too much. Throw in that Colorado averages 84 points at home while Kent averages 66 points on the road and that 18 point difference could surface tonight in Boulder. It could get even uglier than that as I think Kent flat runs out of steam and gets handled big time. GL
The danger in gambling is in falling in love with one particular team and riding them. I believe you have to take each game as a single event and weigh both sides evenly. This way you never end up talking yourself into making a bet. That is probably the worst thing you can do. If the pick isn't there on its own merits then trying to justify or rationalize a pick will only lead to trouble and lighter pockets.
In my last pick I took Kent State +5 1/2 against Fairfield. A lot of my criteria was based on the fact that you could have made a better case for Kent to make the big dance than Fairfield. Kent was on the road but they came from a better overall conference in my opinion. Today I go against Kent for some of the same reasons.
You have no idea how much it pains me to take a big favorite and lay that many points. But Colorado is that much superior to Kent. Their conference is superior. Their team is superior. Colorado makes fewer mistakes. They have more firepower. And not the least of all, Colorado is at home where they went 17-2 this year. One loss was by 4 points and the other a 3 point loss in OT.
On the other side you are asking a Kent State team in one week to travel out west to play St Mary's then back east to play Fairfield and now back on the plane out west again to play Colorado. I know these are kids but that's a tall task.
Final points are that Kent had trouble rebounding against Fairfield and that's not something you want to take to Colorado. Kent also turns the ball over too much. Throw in that Colorado averages 84 points at home while Kent averages 66 points on the road and that 18 point difference could surface tonight in Boulder. It could get even uglier than that as I think Kent flat runs out of steam and gets handled big time. GL
You too. I may still join you on Colorado. They are pretty damn good at home. Kent St has been an ATS covering machine the last couple of games. I see an eight to 12 point win.
You too. I may still join you on Colorado. They are pretty damn good at home. Kent St has been an ATS covering machine the last couple of games. I see an eight to 12 point win.
wmi, Kent State is 10 miles from my house. They are as you say a very good covering team and many would kick my butt if they knew what I am playing but we can't always pick the team we like when we bet. GL
wmi, Kent State is 10 miles from my house. They are as you say a very good covering team and many would kick my butt if they knew what I am playing but we can't always pick the team we like when we bet. GL
another great angle to look at is the Air here. When I first moved out here, I was losing breath very quickly. I of course adjusted, but it took a few weeks.
I believe conditioning will come into play for Kent St and they will be far more winded than the Buffs at home tonight.
another great angle to look at is the Air here. When I first moved out here, I was losing breath very quickly. I of course adjusted, but it took a few weeks.
I believe conditioning will come into play for Kent St and they will be far more winded than the Buffs at home tonight.
Geez Vegas, I hope it wins for both of us. You know if someone one day tells me their avatar is actually their picture I think I'll have a heart attack. GL
Geez Vegas, I hope it wins for both of us. You know if someone one day tells me their avatar is actually their picture I think I'll have a heart attack. GL
I am one who loves this Kent State team I also see the travel issue(8000 Miles) and the injuries to Sherman(ankle and rebuilt knee) and Porrini( Concussion against Fairfield) and the fact that their starting five will most likely be playing shorter for speed and to guard these BUFFS.
Fairfield di well in the rebounding against Kent State and that will be the big advantage here for the BUFFS. Not to mention they are at home,well rested, and have the superior talent to blow this Flash team out.
I see Kent keeping it close for awhile then the rebounding and fatigue factor will provide the BUFFS with at least a 15 point win here tonight.
I am one who loves this Kent State team I also see the travel issue(8000 Miles) and the injuries to Sherman(ankle and rebuilt knee) and Porrini( Concussion against Fairfield) and the fact that their starting five will most likely be playing shorter for speed and to guard these BUFFS.
Fairfield di well in the rebounding against Kent State and that will be the big advantage here for the BUFFS. Not to mention they are at home,well rested, and have the superior talent to blow this Flash team out.
I see Kent keeping it close for awhile then the rebounding and fatigue factor will provide the BUFFS with at least a 15 point win here tonight.
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