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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: Wednesday's Hump day Atlantic-10 Hoops --BIG PLAY--
CrusCrnshw send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 2/16/2011 12:57:09 PM

YTD Total 70-49-4 (+23.81 units)
Big Plays (5-2) (2+ units)

Sides: 47-31-2
Totals: 23-18-2
ML dogs: 1-1
Parlays: 2-2

Hit a Big play the other day, went 1-1 and finished up a shade over .5 units...not bad. It was luck box central that I even got there. I certainly have had my share of good ones after some tough ones earlier in the year to help even out etc.

one game I like very much today is St. Bona -3. I dont see why this game isnt -4 or even -5? STL is now without Cody Ellis for the whole year and Bona is coming off 2 impressive wins (Duquesne and La Salle). Nicholson is cementing himself towards first team A-10 honors and the Bonnies are attempting to make a push for a home game in the 1st round of the conference tournament. STL has been pretty bad and they just have issues scoring. They do not defend the 3 well, so that gives a below average 3pt shooting team a prayer here. Their depth takes a hit with Ellis out, and after watching them struggle so hard against Richmond offensively, Im not sure they can just change face in a very difficult place in Olean. Many players were in foul trouble last game, and without the efforts of Evans, this team looked lost on the offensive end.

The Bonnies are clicking right now. I will take them -3 in a heartbeat....STL should get killed on the glass tonight....and good luck to Loe guarding Nicholson....

St. Bonaventure -3 (2 units)

couple other leans:
Xavier -7 and Duq -7. Riley is most likely out for Mass, Carter is questionable. UMass' size scares me, but if both these guys dont play, I might get on, maybe not. X is roooolling. ST. Joes is going to need Hawk Hill to awake from the dead. X has had their poor effort road game alrady this year @ Charlotte. Granted, it still is 7 pts. I will see.

Still need to check out some totals etc...

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#2
Posted: 2/16/2011 1:05:54 PM

This game should 100 percent be atleast 5. Think they are inviting St Bonaventure action here at home.. goodluck

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JFen31
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#3
Posted: 2/16/2011 1:10:11 PM
Crus, major crowd expected at Hagan tonight for the Xavier/SJU game. I'm hearing that it'll be sold out by game time. I'm about to do a pretty detailed writeup but the game plan according to one of the SJU guards involves a combination of a 2-3 zone and a box-and-1 on Holloway. The under is most definitely worth a look as the Hawks do not want to run with X
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CrusCrnshw send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#4
Posted: 2/16/2011 1:17:55 PM
correction
YTD Total 70-49-4 (+24.44 units)
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CrusCrnshw send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#5
Posted: 2/16/2011 1:19:21 PM
Jfen...I do believe you are right...take a look at the Charlotte game...128 pts...controlled....slow down....thats what ST. Joes needs...I just dont have a total yet so I dont always look at them as early as I do on spreads which I have early...

good info...I do see a game 69-60 type X
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#6
Posted: 2/16/2011 1:19:52 PM
Good luck Crus. 
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#7
Posted: 2/16/2011 1:28:46 PM
crus,that line opened at 4- at cris,its been bet down to 3.
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#8
Posted: 2/16/2011 1:45:31 PM
On this one as well, that may be bad for you ......GL tonight Crus
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#9
Posted: 2/16/2011 1:48:22 PM
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#10
Posted: 2/16/2011 1:56:09 PM
GL, following your play, nice writeup
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#11
Posted: 2/16/2011 2:00:05 PM
wayne..most places opened at 3. Lots of people buy into line movement. I am not huge on that...this doesnt mean I win my bet, I just dont see why this is -3...and I like the Bonnies to win by 5-8 pts
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#12
Posted: 2/16/2011 3:29:52 PM
still looking at both spreads. Wont be a play til late if I make it.

other leans:
Xavier UNDER 135.5

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#13
Posted: 2/16/2011 3:44:53 PM
Crush...like this one as well, but a little nervous about the short number..GL
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#14
Posted: 2/16/2011 3:46:20 PM
Looks like another successful campaign , Crus.   Best of Luck the rest of the way
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#15
Posted: 2/16/2011 3:54:49 PM
Hey Crus,

I like the st. bonnies pick a lot, and you already touched on how you thought the line would be a few points higher...On the surface st.louis is 1-8 on the road, lost their last 5 out of 6, yet the line is only 3? 
Does the lower than expected line make you nervous at all? such as the lines-makers made it low for some reason we don't know about ha.
Keep up the nice work
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#16
Posted: 2/16/2011 4:09:58 PM
Don't like that line movement in the SLU/SBU game.    I'll leave it alone and root for you.  Xavier should school the young Hawks. 
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kammer55
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#17
Posted: 2/16/2011 4:28:05 PM
Sounds good CRUS I like your insight on the games been following you for 2 years now sent a friend request
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#18
Posted: 2/16/2011 4:37:00 PM
Its now 2.5,cant figure out why they are jumping on St Louis?
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CrusCrnshw send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#19
Posted: 2/16/2011 4:54:20 PM
I dont know what to say about line movements. People have tons of reasons for why they bet what they bet. I dont really ever like line movement against me, but it doesnt change my confidence...

as far as I know everyone is healthy
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#20
Posted: 2/16/2011 4:54:48 PM
2/16
7:00P
Saint Louis
730 St Bonaventure
2286 25%
75%
28%
72%

there is reverse line movement but don't let that be the reason you make your play
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#21
Posted: 2/16/2011 5:33:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CrusCrnshw:

wayne..most places opened at 3. Lots of people buy into line movement. I am not huge on that...this doesnt mean I win my bet, I just dont see why this is -3...and I like the Bonnies to win by 5-8 pts
like you my brother,could care less about a line movement,my attitude is we are getting a better line so bet more-IF YOU TELL ME WE ARE GOING IN A FOXHOLE AFTER CHARLIE,I WILL GRAB PISTOLA IN ONE HAND,KNIVE IN MY TEETH,AND FLASHLIGHT IN THE OTHER-LETS GET THAT BASTAGE !!!!
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#22
Posted: 2/16/2011 5:35:44 PM
GL my friend 
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#23
Posted: 2/16/2011 5:50:22 PM
GL crus.
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#24
Posted: 2/16/2011 5:51:08 PM
.gl tonight Crus.........
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#25
Posted: 2/16/2011 5:57:45 PM
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