NCAAB picks, Thursday, November 26

Question

YTD: 23-9-1, &#x2B;27.84 unitsPac-10 YTD:  4-2, &#x2B;5.24 unitsUCLA YTD: 1-1, &#x2B;1.00 unitsChecking out Thursday&#x27;s card, leans only:1. Michigan -6 -- the 1-3-1 Beilein zone is so tough to game plan for in early out of conference games, it could cause serious problems for Creighton tomorrow. I think Michigan is gonna be underrated a bit this year.2. Portland &#x2B;5 -- UCLA is still young and inconsistent with shoddy PG play. Getting Dragovic back should help a little bit might make UCLA actually a little worse defensively (Keefe is much better defensively than Drago but doesn&#x27;t have Drago&#x27;s offensive skills). I might wait and see if this line gets pushed up by UCLA money to see if we could catch Portland at 6.5 or something. There is definite clear value in the moneyline here as well, Portland is no joke. That&#x27;s it for now, BOL to all

kaponofor3 · Answer

YTD: 23-9-1, &#x2B;27.84 unitsPac-10 YTD:  4-2, &#x2B;5.24 unitsUCLA YTD: 1-1, &#x2B;1.00 unitsChecking out Thursday&#x27;s card, leans only:1. Michigan -6 -- the 1-3-1 Beilein zone is so tough to game plan for in early out of conference games, it could cause serious problems for Creighton tomorrow. I think Michigan is gonna be underrated a bit this year.2. Portland &#x2B;5 -- UCLA is still young and inconsistent with shoddy PG play. Getting Dragovic back should help a little bit might make UCLA actually a little worse defensively (Keefe is much better defensively than Drago but doesn&#x27;t have Drago&#x27;s offensive skills). I might wait and see if this line gets pushed up by UCLA money to see if we could catch Portland at 6.5 or something. There is definite clear value in the moneyline here as well, Portland is no joke. That&#x27;s it for now, BOL to all

hoopsprof · Answer

kap..thinking portland too..what about Long Beach catching 15?

bracks · Answer

You got the inside info on this Port team

The_Outlaw · Answer

Portland already up to 5.5 at The Greek.

kaponofor3 · Answer

Hoops -- LB State seems to be hit or miss for me, I can't really predict them too well. What do you think?

bracks -- no inside info, I just know they are a good squad. That, and UCLA is young and inexperienced. Tough matchup for them in this spot, Portland is the type of team that should be able to match up with or beat the Bruins in an early round tourney game.

outlaw -- maybe I wait till the morning to take Portland then

The_Outlaw · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;I will probably take them myself. Hoping to get six but it may not matter. Portland could take that one outright. Good luck to you.

bracks · Answer

you saying my info is not "inside" anymore?

Jwillgetspaper · Answer

love the mich play

hoopsprof · Answer

UNLV had trouble with LB in their scrimmage this year, outrebounded them I believe, but UNLVs bigs are garbage so that does not surprise me. Huggys teams are grind it out type teams like Krugers, and those teams usually dont start clicking until later on in the season. LB is supposed to contend in the Big West, and being in Anaheim, I think that 15 points is alot to spot them.

Kentucky

nbafan88 · Answer

bracks u are hilariousim waiting til tip off for this onealso like minny and creighton

HotRoute · Answer

gl Kap

bjratings · Answer

I&#x27;m thinking parlay:  Mich / Clemson???   &#xD;&#xA;it would be a nice "dressing" to the bird today.. happy thanksgiving all...

Pingi3plus · Answer

I michigan, but will be a small play.....also liking clemson...

kaponofor3 · Answer

Locking in:

1. Michigan -6 (-110), 1.1 to win 1 -- Maybe I have a little too much faith in the 1-3-1 zone, but I've seen it flummox teams that don't see it frequently too many times.

2. Portland +5.5 (-114), 3.42 to win 3 -- Portland is all business and I think that getting Drago back will actually hurt UCLA (as set forth above). I've had this game circled on my calendar for a while. I think that Portland beating Oregon is what prevented this line from being what I hoped it would be, which was 7.5 or 8 or so. Even at 5.5, I'm willing to eat the extra juice that I don't usually eat because I feel like this is a tough spot for UCLA. Portland is by FAR the best team that they will have played this season. Portland is the type of disciplined team that could give a young, turnover prone UCLA team lacking true PG strength (a staple of Howland's UCLA teams) serious problems. Don't be surprised to see Portland throw a zone out.

LaDaddy · Answer

..........gl today K.............Happy Thanksgiving

bense197969 · Answer

Sup kapono?&#xD;&#xA;You really like Portland huh?  &#xD;&#xA;The thing that scares me about Michigan is that this unchartered water for them.  To open the season in the Top 20 and actually have expectations put on them?  Wow, never thought I&#x27;d see the day.  And this Michigan team will live and die by the "3" this season, meaning they can probably beat any team in the country on a good day, downside: they can probably lose to about 290 teams on any given day.  Creighton is always tough.  They&#x27;ve had a "Korver" on their team for about two decades now and those guys can all shoot.  Michigan should win, and "gun to my head" I lay the points, but Creighton may be able to exploit Michigan down low, &#x27;cuz Sims plays on the perimeter 90% of the game.  Sorry to ramble on!!!!&#xD;&#xA;Good luck and Happy Holiday!!!

Ools · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by kaponofor3] Locking in:

1. Michigan -6 (-110), 1.1 to win 1 -- Maybe I have a little too much faith in the 1-3-1 zone, but I've seen it flummox teams that don't see it frequently too many times.

2. Portland +5.5 (-114), 3.42 to win 3 -- Portland is all business and I think that getting Drago back will actually hurt UCLA (as set forth above). I've had this game circled on my calendar for a while. I think that Portland beating Oregon is what prevented this line from being what I hoped it would be, which was 7.5 or 8 or so. Even at 5.5, I'm willing to eat the extra juice that I don't usually eat because I feel like this is a tough spot for UCLA. Portland is by FAR the best team that they will have played this season. Portland is the type of disciplined team that could give a young, turnover prone UCLA team lacking true PG strength (a staple of Howland's UCLA teams) serious problems. Don't be surprised to see Portland throw a zone out.
[/Quote

Portland at +4 on my book - made a big move in last hour

nap12 · Answer

how about over 140 in mich game?

jeepnjake · Answer

Good luck Kap.

kaponofor3 · Answer

bense -- you aren&#x27;t rambling, your thoughts and insights are always welcome here in my thread. It&#x27;s pretty clear that you know your basketball, and I want to hear from people like that all day any day.Ools -- what book? If that is the case I&#x27;m really happy I picked up the extra half point even if it cost me in juice. nap -- I&#x27;d lean under just cause of the 1-3-1 zone, it can take a team an entire half to adjust to it.

Ools · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;It&#x27;s one of those "bookie" record keeper books -- BetEagle

nbafan88 · Answer

yea portland line made a big move on eagle

09ultra · Answer

kinda surprised your not on ucla.i hit them when the lines opened

LBCWeasie · Answer

BOL Kapono eat lots today buddy

NCAAB picks, Thursday, November 26

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