Richmond is getting a lot of attention, being picked to finish 4th in the A10 this season and returning some talented players. The Richmond Spiders will enter the contest tonight at 2-0 and are currently a 5 1/2 point favorite, opened by most shops at 4. The public obviously has been reading up them too, betting the Spiders at almost an 80% clip thus far.
Meanwhile, William & Mary is 0-2 on the season and tonight will be their first game at home. It wont be their first time playing in-front of the home fans this year however. The college hosted a "Tribal Tip-Off” pep rally in Kaplan Arena Friday (W&M Home Arena) on November 19th that was very well attended. There is a true belief this year that W&M can win the Colonial Conference, which doesn't sound to impressive, but the conference does include the likes Geroge Mason and VCU. Despite the 0-2 record, I think that W&M may be capable of doing just that.
Tonight, the SU record of both teams really creates an illusion. Richmond's 2 wins have come against a combined schedule strength of (289 of 347). Both at home.
On the other hand, W&M has played a schedule strength much better (59 of 347.) Both on the road. In-fact, W&M opened the season on the road against UCONN in-front of 9,719 at the Harry A. Gampel Pavilion. W&M managed to only lose by 9 in the game and provided a solid effort never quitting until the final buzzer. In the last contest, it literally took an ESPN play of the day for 2-0 Harvard to knock-off W&M in triple OT. Thier are 4 W&M starters averaging double figures in scoring.
Richmond will be playing their first road game tonight and it will be a major step-up in class. William & Mary will have a ton of fan support in a menacing college gym where the students are right on the floor.
In the last 5 meetings between the schools, regardless of the venue, W&M has lost by more then 3 or more only 1 time. Considering their current form, of not quitting until the buzzer (like the Harvard and UConn games,) I will definitely grab the 5 1/2 points tonight.
Play W&M tonight +5.5 as they will get it outright!
GL!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Richmond is getting a lot of attention, being picked to finish 4th in the A10 this season and returning some talented players. The Richmond Spiders will enter the contest tonight at 2-0 and are currently a 5 1/2 point favorite, opened by most shops at 4. The public obviously has been reading up them too, betting the Spiders at almost an 80% clip thus far.
Meanwhile, William & Mary is 0-2 on the season and tonight will be their first game at home. It wont be their first time playing in-front of the home fans this year however. The college hosted a "Tribal Tip-Off” pep rally in Kaplan Arena Friday (W&M Home Arena) on November 19th that was very well attended. There is a true belief this year that W&M can win the Colonial Conference, which doesn't sound to impressive, but the conference does include the likes Geroge Mason and VCU. Despite the 0-2 record, I think that W&M may be capable of doing just that.
Tonight, the SU record of both teams really creates an illusion. Richmond's 2 wins have come against a combined schedule strength of (289 of 347). Both at home.
On the other hand, W&M has played a schedule strength much better (59 of 347.) Both on the road. In-fact, W&M opened the season on the road against UCONN in-front of 9,719 at the Harry A. Gampel Pavilion. W&M managed to only lose by 9 in the game and provided a solid effort never quitting until the final buzzer. In the last contest, it literally took an ESPN play of the day for 2-0 Harvard to knock-off W&M in triple OT. Thier are 4 W&M starters averaging double figures in scoring.
Richmond will be playing their first road game tonight and it will be a major step-up in class. William & Mary will have a ton of fan support in a menacing college gym where the students are right on the floor.
In the last 5 meetings between the schools, regardless of the venue, W&M has lost by more then 3 or more only 1 time. Considering their current form, of not quitting until the buzzer (like the Harvard and UConn games,) I will definitely grab the 5 1/2 points tonight.
Play W&M tonight +5.5 as they will get it outright!
I didn't think that I would end up reading up on Richmond and William and Mary when I rolled out of bed this morning. Thats exactly what I'm doing now though...
Thanks again for taking the time to post/share these writeups M! As always - SOLID!
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I didn't think that I would end up reading up on Richmond and William and Mary when I rolled out of bed this morning. Thats exactly what I'm doing now though...
Thanks again for taking the time to post/share these writeups M! As always - SOLID!
Richmond is getting a lot of attention, being picked to finish 4th in the A10 this season and returning some talented players. The Richmond Spiders will enter the contest tonight at 2-0 and are currently a 5 1/2 point favorite, opened by most shops at 4. The public obviously has been reading up them too, betting the Spiders at almost an 80% clip thus far.
Meanwhile, William & Mary is 0-2 on the season and tonight will be their first game at home. It wont be their first time playing in-front of the home fans this year however. The college hosted a "Tribal Tip-Off” pep rally in Kaplan Arena Friday (W&M Home Arena) on November 19th that was very well attended. There is a true belief this year that W&M can win the Colonial Conference, which doesn't sound to impressive, but the conference does include the likes Geroge Mason and VCU. Despite the 0-2 record, I think that W&M may be capable of doing just that.
Tonight, the SU record of both teams really creates an illusion. Richmond's 2 wins have come against a combined schedule strength of (289 of 347). Both at home.
On the other hand, W&M has played a schedule strength much better (59 of 347.) Both on the road. In-fact, W&M opened the season on the road against UCONN in-front of 9,719 at the Harry A. Gampel Pavilion. W&M managed to only lose by 9 in the game and provided a solid effort never quitting until the final buzzer. In the last contest, it literally took an ESPN play of the day for 2-0 Harvard to knock-off W&M in triple OT. Thier are 4 W&M starters averaging double figures in scoring.
Richmond will be playing their first road game tonight and it will be a major step-up in class. William & Mary will have a ton of fan support in a menacing college gym where the students are right on the floor.
In the last 5 meetings between the schools, regardless of the venue, W&M has lost by more then 3 or more only 1 time. Considering their current form, of not quitting until the buzzer (like the Harvard and UConn games,) I will definitely grab the 5 1/2 points tonight.
Play W&M tonight +5.5 as they will get it outright!
GL!
iknowsmth; that you are a good capper. most respectful capper in this whole forum. i like how you explain in each of your write up.
any thoughts on tonight's nfl, ncaaf/b &nba?
again, thanks M
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Quote Originally Posted by m15525:
Richmond is getting a lot of attention, being picked to finish 4th in the A10 this season and returning some talented players. The Richmond Spiders will enter the contest tonight at 2-0 and are currently a 5 1/2 point favorite, opened by most shops at 4. The public obviously has been reading up them too, betting the Spiders at almost an 80% clip thus far.
Meanwhile, William & Mary is 0-2 on the season and tonight will be their first game at home. It wont be their first time playing in-front of the home fans this year however. The college hosted a "Tribal Tip-Off” pep rally in Kaplan Arena Friday (W&M Home Arena) on November 19th that was very well attended. There is a true belief this year that W&M can win the Colonial Conference, which doesn't sound to impressive, but the conference does include the likes Geroge Mason and VCU. Despite the 0-2 record, I think that W&M may be capable of doing just that.
Tonight, the SU record of both teams really creates an illusion. Richmond's 2 wins have come against a combined schedule strength of (289 of 347). Both at home.
On the other hand, W&M has played a schedule strength much better (59 of 347.) Both on the road. In-fact, W&M opened the season on the road against UCONN in-front of 9,719 at the Harry A. Gampel Pavilion. W&M managed to only lose by 9 in the game and provided a solid effort never quitting until the final buzzer. In the last contest, it literally took an ESPN play of the day for 2-0 Harvard to knock-off W&M in triple OT. Thier are 4 W&M starters averaging double figures in scoring.
Richmond will be playing their first road game tonight and it will be a major step-up in class. William & Mary will have a ton of fan support in a menacing college gym where the students are right on the floor.
In the last 5 meetings between the schools, regardless of the venue, W&M has lost by more then 3 or more only 1 time. Considering their current form, of not quitting until the buzzer (like the Harvard and UConn games,) I will definitely grab the 5 1/2 points tonight.
Play W&M tonight +5.5 as they will get it outright!
GL!
iknowsmth; that you are a good capper. most respectful capper in this whole forum. i like how you explain in each of your write up.
As far as football I am not really able to get any traction on the college game...to many variables.. (1) is Colorado done for the year? (2) Will Oklahoma State look by this one to their.. next vs. Oklahoma (3) the odds makers are obviously very confused...in the last 5 game Colorado has been an underdog by a combined total of 23 points (that is all 5 games added up) On the other hand, they don't love OKST because I think they have been more then a TD favorite only 1 time in the last 5 (not very impressive for a top 25 team)
In Pro Ball I am also confused by the odds makers read.... Consider this.... The last 5 times Miami played Carolina (including pre-season) The O/U at close was never higher the 38 points. (33, 33.5, 35.5, 36, 38) In 3 of those games the total never went over 29.
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I have an NBA post up on the NBA board.
As far as football I am not really able to get any traction on the college game...to many variables.. (1) is Colorado done for the year? (2) Will Oklahoma State look by this one to their.. next vs. Oklahoma (3) the odds makers are obviously very confused...in the last 5 game Colorado has been an underdog by a combined total of 23 points (that is all 5 games added up) On the other hand, they don't love OKST because I think they have been more then a TD favorite only 1 time in the last 5 (not very impressive for a top 25 team)
In Pro Ball I am also confused by the odds makers read.... Consider this.... The last 5 times Miami played Carolina (including pre-season) The O/U at close was never higher the 38 points. (33, 33.5, 35.5, 36, 38) In 3 of those games the total never went over 29.
As far as football I am not really able to get any traction on the college game...to many variables.. (1) is Colorado done for the year? (2) Will Oklahoma State look by this one to their.. next vs. Oklahoma (3) the odds makers are obviously very confused...in the last 5 game Colorado has been an underdog by a combined total of 23 points (that is all 5 games added up) On the other hand, they don't love OKST because I think they have been more then a TD favorite only 1 time in the last 5 (not very impressive for a top 25 team)
In Pro Ball I am also confused by the odds makers read.... Consider this.... The last 5 times Miami played Carolina (including pre-season) The O/U at close was never higher the 38 points. (33, 33.5, 35.5, 36, 38) In 3 of those games the total never went over 29.
My point in the College game...is that I believe the odds makers just fired a number out there and preyed...literally....and that's why both the total and spread are bouncing all over.
My point on the pro game is that it is VERY UNUSUAL for the odds makers to make a move to 43 from 38 VERY VERY UNUSUAL.
I know all the talk about the prime time games go over...but ask any odds consultant out there... one of the cardinal sins in setting odds is over reacting to trends recent outcomes.
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Quote Originally Posted by m15525:
I have an NBA post up on the NBA board.
As far as football I am not really able to get any traction on the college game...to many variables.. (1) is Colorado done for the year? (2) Will Oklahoma State look by this one to their.. next vs. Oklahoma (3) the odds makers are obviously very confused...in the last 5 game Colorado has been an underdog by a combined total of 23 points (that is all 5 games added up) On the other hand, they don't love OKST because I think they have been more then a TD favorite only 1 time in the last 5 (not very impressive for a top 25 team)
In Pro Ball I am also confused by the odds makers read.... Consider this.... The last 5 times Miami played Carolina (including pre-season) The O/U at close was never higher the 38 points. (33, 33.5, 35.5, 36, 38) In 3 of those games the total never went over 29.
My point in the College game...is that I believe the odds makers just fired a number out there and preyed...literally....and that's why both the total and spread are bouncing all over.
My point on the pro game is that it is VERY UNUSUAL for the odds makers to make a move to 43 from 38 VERY VERY UNUSUAL.
I know all the talk about the prime time games go over...but ask any odds consultant out there... one of the cardinal sins in setting odds is over reacting to trends recent outcomes.
My point in the College game...is that I believe the odds makers just fired a number out there and preyed...literally....and that's why both the total and spread are bouncing all over.
My point on the pro game is that it is VERY UNUSUAL for the odds makers to make a move to 43 from 38 VERY VERY UNUSUAL.
I know all the talk about the prime time games go over...but ask any odds consultant out there... one of the cardinal sins in setting odds is over reacting to trends recent outcomes.
Again, thanks M
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Quote Originally Posted by m15525:
My point in the College game...is that I believe the odds makers just fired a number out there and preyed...literally....and that's why both the total and spread are bouncing all over.
My point on the pro game is that it is VERY UNUSUAL for the odds makers to make a move to 43 from 38 VERY VERY UNUSUAL.
I know all the talk about the prime time games go over...but ask any odds consultant out there... one of the cardinal sins in setting odds is over reacting to trends recent outcomes.
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