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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: *Atlantic-10 2009-10 Hoops Season Preview*
CrusCrnshw send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook
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#1
Posted: 9/23/2009 6:13:15 PM

What's up guys. It is that time of the year to make more money...Looking forward to this year for sure and hopefully another profitable one. I do soley A-10 hoops and have for the past few years on this site. For those that wonder why, well I went to URI, got a chance to follow all these teams closely, and have continued to do so since graduating a handful of years back. Lets get right to it.

Last year in the A-10, we had 3 dancers. Temple, X and Dayton. Dayton made a nice little win against WVU...but not a ton of success for the conference tourney wise. X got bounced before they should have. Anyways, this is my thread to give an insight into what to expect this year (pretty much just my opinion) of what these teams have to offer. I will give their record last year, conf play and overall, mention some graduation losses, and a few comments about what to expect this coming year. I will break down the teams in alphabetical order...so you guys will have to wait for X til the end...

Great shot to dance: Dayton, Xavier

Decent shot: LaSalle, Richmond

Outside/little shot: Everyone else sans GW and Fordham

As a whole, the conference I think will take a step down in terms of team dominance. So many big names graduated, while not quite as many big stars remain. Xmas, Brown, Nivins, Baron to name a few have all departed for greener pastures, NBA, overseas, etc. While it is POSSIBLE that Dayton lives up to the hype and X's young cast makes a run, I wouldnt bank on it. At this point, Id say we could dance 3, but 2 is more likely.

Now let me get to the teams...alphabetical order of course.                                                       

Charlotte: (5-11) (10-18)

Last year was very disappointing for Charlotte IMO. They looked to be to many, as well as myself a sleeper team with potential damage. That was not the case. I thought their rebounding and scoring would be better and I liked Coley and Mack. Now Coley and Mack are gone, and they are losing a lot of scoring and rebounding. BC transfer and big boy Shamari Spears should be a great addition to the front court for Lutz, as well as a highly touted Frosh in Braswell. Dijuan Harris is one of the best PG's in the league if not the best PURE PG. He had a ton of assists last year and I think Charlotte will continue that trend with him. Ian Anderson is back and their best 3pt threat, but he still shoots to inconsistent. Charlotte will have 3pt issues and to me is a key. Anderson needs to improve otherwise he will lose minutes to other backcourt members. Charlotte may turn into a team that lays off the 3 and just pounds it inside with their new boys (Sherrill, Sirin and Braswell). Probably depends on how good they become. This team to me is still somewhat of an enigma, as their front court is completely different. Their front court has a little bit of depth as does their backcourt. Charlotte COULD surprise, but Im not going to bank on it...

Dayton: (11-5) (27-8)

This team was typical Dayton. Good defense, poor 3pt shooting, timely scoring with flashes of brilliance. Run by London Warren, who is a little pesky fly running that court, but couldnt shoot to save his life, they really did well. I think losing Lowery late last year was a BLOW to that team. I liked him as a back up PG and he will get a lot more playing time this year. Its Chris Wright's. I dont know the record off hand but with him in the lineup their record of the last 2 years is staggeringly good. He is a potential lottery pick, who is extremely strong, quick, and aggressive on the floor. Nearly the entire team is returning and only 1 player of note is leaving, Charles Little. Fabrizius looked like a potential 3pt threat as a frosh last year and some are high on freshman Matt Kavanaugh, who is expected to share time with Huelsman. Kavanaugh is a big boy who can hit an outside jumper...pretty much fits into what Dayton is about. Im not a fan of Huelsman at all from any standpoint. I view him as more of a body than anything. 4 of the 5 starters do return and with Lowery, Searcy and Perry, they have a decent little bench. Last year they had 10 players in double digit minutes, and Kavanaugh should take Little's spot there. They rotate their share and not one player even averaged 29 mpg. I expect Wright to be over 30 this year though. They dont score particularly that much, 11th out of 14th in the conference, but that should change some. I also expect their 3pt shooting to increase, as well as their scoring. They take smart shots, attack the paint and work the ball. Their FG shooting needs to increase though. Ive seen them go on lapses big time. Dayton has a great chance to make some REAL noise this year. I like them, but not QUITE as much as everyone else. That is unless its just a down year for NCAA hoops.

Duquesne: (9-7) (21-13)

Last years cinderella. Aaron Jackson ran this team like no other. Complements from some players like Bolding, Evans, Saunders and Co. really fueled this team. Saunders is a beast inside and Evans and Bolding will be a good guard combo. He changes shots inside and keeps the Dukes defensively sound, despite being such an uptempo team. AJ is now gone, and things will change. They wont have that go to guy they did last year. Their floor general is gone. How much does this effect the team? Its tough to gauge...they have a good compliment of players, guys like Duty, a Kentucky transfer in Williams and Peggau. Peggau is a burly 6'8 guy who does all the dirty work. I remember him last year before he got hurt, diving, slicing, scoring etc. Couple backcourt frosh wont be expected to do too much. Dukes will run a 3 guard lineup probably...and their frontcourt after Saunders and Peggau IMO is nothing to die for. This is a pretty small team, and I do question their rebounding abilities. They are going to have to hit the glass HARD. Evans will need to be a team leader...I like the Dukes this year....I see a solid NIT bid for them.

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#2
Posted: 9/23/2009 6:13:46 PM

Fordham: (1-15) (3-25)

Jio Fontan is back. After a Soap Opera off season, of transfering, not transfering, then who knows what, he is here. However, some other compliments have left, mainly Trey Blue. Blue was a potential scoring threat, really their 2nd best one IMO and was a decent option from beyond the arch and someone to dish to when Jio attacked the lane. Mikey Moore is gone as well, another solid contributor. Bethel and Devine have left as well, guys who did eat up some minutes. Fordham is going to have MAJOR issues rebounding the ball. They have a pathetic frontcourt as it stands and will be suiting up 6 true freshman this year. Their entire front court will probably be first year players, outside of Green and maybe Munson. For their benefit their recruiting class was fairly solid considering, but to expect much from a freshman laden team is asking a TON. Gaston, another St. Anthony's product (Jio and Estwick) will be a leader from the fresh section. He could turn into a pretty good player and should start on this team from day 1. How bad will they be? Pretty bad...as bad as last year? I dont really know their schedule, but probably not. Jio has another year under his belt and hopefully he has realized he cant take so many stupid shots. He constantly would attack the lane, toss up an ill-advised shot and boom, fast break other team. If he can limit that, and find some help with Gaston and Estwick, this team could win 6-8 games. Yea, thats about it...especially in this league when they CANNOT rebound that well, or one would assume. If nothing else, Jio will be fun to watch. I expect this team to run against teams that run, and slow it down against teams that dont....like last year...

George Washington: (4-12) (10-18)

Things are just not going right for Karl Hobbs. A team not many years removed from a perrenial in the A-10 has taken a plunge the last few. No longer a team with guys like Carl Elliot, GW is lost. Their talent superseeds their record, but for whatever reason, they cannot get anything going. I believe 2 years now without an A-10 tourney invite has Hobbs on the hot seat. Back at URI we used to yell at him "GARY COLEMAN" whenever he came to town. Always good for a laugh. Hollis is going to be their go to guy, their inside boy. I think they have lost 4 seniors and are clearly looking to start anew. Gone are Diggs, a solid player, who averaged 13-7 last year. Along with Diggs, Wilmore, Witherspoon and Lee have departed...leaving this team searching for a leader. Nearly half their major production is gone (52% scoring, 47% rebounding and 50% assists). Now sophmore Tony Taylor looks to help lead a team in dissary. Taylor, a product from a local school near me showed some signs of becoming a solid player at the PG position. I think it's going to be a long one for GW. This could be their worst season in a long time. I dont see much depth, nor a strong recruiting class coming in to save the day. It could get ugly, real ugly...

LaSalle: (9-7) (18-13)

Aaric Murray. Rodney Green. Two names you may hear from in the NBA when the time comes. Green is a tall PG (6'5)who can shoot over his man. He can penetrate and score. Not much to dislike about this guy. Maybe if he had Harris' 3pt shooting he'd be a lottery pick. Aaric Murray, the prize Frosh for the A-10 coming in and preseason pick for A-10 frosh of the year presumably. He will anchor an inside that has really been missing a true big man over the years. Murray should being some essemblance of a low post game to LaSalle, who could really use it. LaSalle is a fairly tall team, even last year despite having no true big man inside. They are tall, with at least 8 guys 6'5 or above, hence they were a top end rebounding team because of their ability to crash the boards. They should improve this year with Murray inside. The Explorers are returning virtually everyone from last year who played any decent role, besides Johnson, a defensive guy and Partin, who came on a little bit late with some 3's. Vernon Goodridge may be granted another year of eligibility which is a plus for the Explorers. I believe I read he should get it. Guys like Jerrell Williams, who has fallen out of favor a bit, as well as Guillandeaux, Barrett, and Mbala are all quality players who should help the big time duo of Murray and Green. Id be excited if I were an explorers fan. The knock here is this. Green is not a TRUE PG. Neither is Guillandeaux. This at times can hurt this club and they tend to turn the ball over a lot. Green really would be better at the 2...as well as Ruben G, but they dont have that luxury. That will be their achilles heel this year if they run into problems. Sloppy transition play. LaSalle could make serious noise though...be careful...

Massasschusetts:(7-9) (12-18)

Here is another enigmatic team. At times they were brillant. See game at Kansas. At times they looked like a High School team. See game at home against Jacksonville St. Tony Gaffney is gone. Most underrated player IMO last year in the A-10. Guy was a shot blocking beast and rebounding, and complimented his game with some decent scoring inside. He did a lot for UMass. Chris Lowe is gone, a great PG who could drive and finish better than any PG in the league last year. Ask URI. Matt Glass and Luke Bonner are also gone, solid role players in their respects. They underachieved last year with a handful of promising fresh/transfers. Harris a great scorer returns, with Gibbs, Gurley and newcomers Vinson (top 100 national recruit), Putney and Riley to name a couple. From what Ive heard Putney needs to put on a few lbs, but who doesnt as a frosh big man. Vinson at the small forward position or even PF if they need it can shoot the jumper and bang inside...he should be an asset to this team going forward. It is hard to hype up Umass to make any REAL noise, but it is also hard to discount them. Gibbs and Gurley were highly praised and while Gurley did alright at times, Gibbs struggled a bit. Him and Correia will be doing some PG duties. I question their ability to run the show though, and that could hurt them. A lot will be resting on the shoulders of the newcomers. Its tough to pick them right now...they could finish 4th, or 11th...Id lean closer to 4...but 7 would be about right. I just dont think this team has the PG leadership to really do damage against the big guns. Especially teams like Dayton, X and LaSalle who will pressure the ball. Their rebounding and inside prescence will be their downfall in my eyes. Bonner and Gaffney are gone...tough to replace. I bought into the hype last year, and they failed. I believe I would be naive to say that they will make a big run this year.

That is 7 of the 14...I will be back later this week early next to put that part up, as it is not done yet. Ill answer any questions if anyone has any regarding the above 7.

I also plan to put my projections for conference standings as well when all 14 are done.

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#3
Posted: 10/13/2009 9:57:48 PM
Sorry for the delay to those who wanted to read it earlier. Not sure any did or do, since it's early...too much stuff going on to really put out the other half right now. Should have it out around wed/thurs of next week.
 
 
cant wait for cbb...
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#4
Posted: 10/14/2009 12:18:46 AM
I like Lasall I alot... Think they have a good chance to win the conference with Murray. He is going ot dominate that league.
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#5
Posted: 10/14/2009 11:17:47 AM
jpero...I think this is a down year in terms of sluggers for the A-10...temple is down, URI is down, an ST. joes is down. It allows for a lasalle team to make some noise, but with little success at the top...I need to see Murray take this team on his shoulders. I know Green can, I just dont know how much of a true leader he is. Leadership will keep this team from turning the ball over and making mental mistakes like they do every year.
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#6
Posted: 10/15/2009 1:30:52 PM
Solid stuff.
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#7
Posted: 10/17/2009 9:55:24 AM
Thanks man, You put a ton of time into this and I respect that.
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#8
Posted: 10/20/2009 10:43:05 PM

LK, Biased  thanks guys...much appreciated...

 

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#9
Posted: 10/20/2009 10:45:14 PM

Just wrote these 2 up. 5 left...should have it banged out by Friday.

URI one is the biggest, well because I know most about them...and its my squadron Oh and Billy Baron has committed to URI

Rhode Island: (11-5) (23-11)

Deadly 3pt shooter, one of the tops in the nation is gone. Tough one for URI. This team ran breaks down the court, shooting him out on the wing for quick 3pters. That will change. Kaheim Seawright, the well developed over the years player is now gone. Great rebounder, scorer and inside presence will be missed as well. Losing 41% of last years scoring doesnt help much, but I do believe there is help waiting in the wings. URI exceeded any expectations that most had, even mine. They had lost Will Daniels and people questioned whether they had enough on the squad. They sure did. However, another swoon late in the season cost them a possible at large bid. Who do they return? Marquis jones, the PG, not much of a shooter but has developed into a great leader. I think his shooting will improve some, hopefully enough not to leave him alone like teams do to London Warren on Dayton. Cothran is probably the best scorer left on the team. Scoring 13.2 ppg and showing some signs of life from the 3pt arch has any URI fan at least mildly optimistic about him. Again, he is no Baron. Delory James, an athletic guy who always has a knack for the ball, but has a bad habit of taking poor shots and making poor decisions with the ball. He will need to correct that this year being in the starting lineup. Lamonte Ulmer, another big time athlete who can jump out of the gym showed some scoring signs late last year as well. Not much of a shooter, but great on the boards and trying to develop an inside game. Very good defensively and can cause havoc. Little light on the weight though. Martell, the emerging 7 footer really looks impressive. He became a starter at times late last year and showed some low post moves. He had some trouble keeping up with the pace, but in the off season he has worked on that and feels more comfortable. Martell can score, dropped 20 last year I believe in one game, so I expect his numbers to increase. Orion Outerbridge looks to get some more minutes in a crowded front court with Ryan Brooks. Jamal Wilson remains and enigma, but Meija showed he can back up Jones alright....So what then for URI? I had read that they will likely try and run just as much, but that remains to be seen. Im going to find out come Midnight madness time (well when they start practicing together as a team) as I have a close mutual friend with one of the players. URI has the athleticism, but is the scoring there enough? Cothran is a big key...13ppg wont cut it...he will need 16 if URI plans to make any NIT bid. URI was a good FT shooting team and rebounding, but with Jimmy gone, (90%+), that should change the numbers a bit. They will remain a dominant rebounding team IMO, and with Jones still handling the point, things wont be as much as a turn over (no pun intended) for the team despite the losses. Akeem Richmond looks to get some minutes in the backcourt if he can impress, possibly taking some time away from Meija. Not a lights out shooter, but certainly he can produce. URI remains another enigma...what if Martell turns into a mini stud? Delroy makes smart decisions? Jones shoots better? Maybe an NIT...who knows...should be interesting to watch. I predict season totals to be lower to start out..as their scoring was not quite as high as 2 years before (if my memory serves right) and with their top 2 scorers gone, the books may keep it lower. Well, I hope so, especially if me hearing baron wants to run MORE than last year is correct...bring on the lower totals..ill be playing overs.

Richmond: (9-7) (20-16)

Returning the best proven backcourt in the A-10. Gonzalvez and Anderson. They wore down a little down the stretch, IMO due to minutes logged and constantly relying on each other for the meat of the work. Reason to be happy in the web for the Spiders this year as much impressive freshman Dan Geriot returns. He was the teams leading nearly everything 2 years ago before he blew out his knee. The team suffered on defense inside, and especially on rebounding. This quicker Princeton style offense suits Geriot well as he can shoot from outside and move well. Question is how much if any rust exists? Does he just jump right back where he left off, or is there a minor learning curve again? He has put on a few lbs of weight, which should help him big time. I did hear they will be running this year, which I think benefits them well. Gonzalvez is a good 3pt shooter and KA showed some good signs of showing 3pt ability late. Now Soph Justin Harper was a near 10ppg guy and was big in the paint, leading the team in blocked shots. Harper can shoot too, and fits this system very well. Josh Duinker, hearlded frosh last year was a bit of a disappointment, but now playing a lesser role, his stats should improve. Martell, Smith, Butler and Duinker will help this team with some of the smaller roles, but equally as important. The question mark for Richmond is their defense. Pomeroy rankings had them very low last year despite not giving up a ton of pts (mid 60's)...the pace of their games gave them this poor rating. Geriot should help, Harper more seasoned should help, and one would hope their rebounding does better, especially on the offensive end, but one can never be so sure when you run an offense that has your big men hanging around the top of the key/perimeter at times. I like Richmond a lot this year, more so than Lasalle in fact. I see a veteran backcourt, an emerging frontcourt and a good coach in Mooney. I think Richmond has a LEGIT shot at the NCAA's and has the ability to knock of anyone if playing their game. Sometimes they start off slow, in first halfs, so it will be interesting to see if there are any 1st half fades this year on them. But spider fans have something to be real excited about....

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#10
Posted: 10/21/2009 6:01:24 PM
I really like La Salle this year.  Hoping to catch some good lines with them early in the year.
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#11
Posted: 10/21/2009 10:26:49 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by TRoe15:

I really like La Salle this year.  Hoping to catch some good lines with them early in the year.

Troe, I still think they MAY have some issues with no real PG on the floor still. It caused many turnovers last year because there was no one to really run the offense like it needed, especially in fast breaks. LaSalle should be fun to watch...Jerrell williams needs to step back up to his freshman self

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#12
Posted: 10/23/2009 9:50:59 AM


I don't follow A-10 hoops, but I feel like I do thanks to Crnshw's write-ups.

Can't wait for another NCAAB season! BOL to you this year my man and here's hoping that we both finish up significant units this season


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#13
Posted: 10/24/2009 12:13:47 PM

great stuff as always brother.

I am waiting for the Joe's write up of course. Not expecting a lot, but, there will be some great games with the new arena

Almost here

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#14
Posted: 10/26/2009 11:00:02 AM

was away for the weekend.

Kap, bracks  Good to see you guys around.

Only 5 teams left...should be able to finish by Wed.

Enjoy that arena bracks...maybe ill swing  down for a game there to check it out.

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#15
Posted: 10/26/2009 11:52:26 AM

St. Bonaventure: (6-10) (15-15)

Third year coach Mark Scmidt is giving hope to Olean, NY. The Bonnies are returning a top level player in big man SOPH Andrew Nicholson. Nicholson is a prize in the making after a great freshman campaign. He won frosh of the year last year and was very impressive inside. A Canadian resident, Nicholson wasnt quite playing the talent of the lower 48, but he fell into place nicely. Putting on some musle was important for him, and supposedly he has done so, 15 lbs in factr. Developing further a low post game, continuing his medium range J's and dominanting the inside will continue this year. Other returnies include Jonathan Hall, a guy who has the ability to rebound, score and penetrate. Thomas is gone, a solid player who was a good rebounder and solid scorer (9ppg). Ray Blackburn is gone, a backup PG, but nothing major there in terms of losses from him. He had some turnover issues. Eleby is back, and is still looking to find his PG nitch. Adegboye is a JUCO transfer who could challenge Eleby for the PG spot. Chris Matthews returns as well. A VERY STREAKY 3pt shooter who had Jimmy Baron range, but he also had the "Im going to chuck disease". He forced too many shots and tried to do too much from 3, despite being lethal at times. He shot in the low 30's% last year, which is WAY too low for a guy with his 3pt ability. He should be 40+. This team struggled from 3 last year. Eleby, Matthews and the rest of the gang need to improve from the outside. Teams will key on Nicholson, and it would be beneficial for the team to work on kickouts and swing passes to improve and gain open shots. Soph Michael Davenport could be a piece of the puzzle to some Bonnie success, due to this athleticism and grit. Leonard Lewis looks to get some playing time as well. This Bonnies team is going to be fun. The team will supposedly run a little more when Adegboye runs the point, and teammates in Hall and Nicholson will provide some solid to strong low post games going forward. Nicholson will alter shots and shot selections inside. Anytime you have a talented big man like this, you have the potential to make noise. This team will rebound offensively (2nd in A-10 last year), score fairly well, but need to improve on the 3, defensive rebounding (bottom half of A-10 last year, and without Thomas someone needs to step up), turnovers, which plagued the team last year as well as FT percentage (bottom few last year). Things look bright in western NY, but they certainly have some things they need to fix. I do believe the Bonnies are better than what most sites are stating, as most have them in the id to high 100's out of 347 teams. Hold onto the ball, few smarter shot selections and we could be talking about a 6-7 seed in A-10...yep...6-7...otherwise...9-11...

St. Josephs: (9-7) (17-15)

Talented big man Ahmad Nivins will be SORELY missed. I loved to watch him play. Such a knack for the ball inside, great paint game, good FT shooter, took smart shots...he really could do everything inside they needed. Scored over 20 ppg, averaged 11 boards a game and smart shooter (61%) makes him a necessity like no other player this past year. IMO no other team had a player this important to his team as Nivins was. He was the major answer on offense, and when he was on so was the team, when he was off, they were off. There is no answer to replace him this year, and that has everyone wondering if this will be one of the worst years for the Joe's in quite some time. Tasheed Carr and Lashley are also gone. Carr provided scoring (14ppg) and was over 4 assists per game. Top 2 scorers are gone, pretty much half their scoring and rebounding is gone. Govens and Hilliard will be asked to pick up the scoring slack, as well and Williamson. Govens showed some signs last year, but I wonder how these guys will transition from role players to the go to guys. Hilliard can hit from beyond the arch at times, but he must get inside more. Without the change to be the typical swingman, he will be forced inside more. No Nivins to release the tension on him makes this year for Hilliard very important. So what does a Hawks fan have to look foward to this year? Well the new arena is in, no more Palestra home games, well not every single one of them. Carl Jones looks to be a potential bright spot at the 1. Kid isnt overly tall, under 6 feet, but can score. Word has it he is more of a 2, but they need a PG to run the show. Its going to be tough for him IMO. I have not seen him play yet, but he wont have many options to pass to or to rely on. Crosgile is another freshman who might log a few minutes, but the jury is still out. Talent is present however. Baptiste and transfer from Bucknell Obrien look to log some minutes inplace of Nivins. Last year his bench was so thin, and ran his starters more than anyone. His bench seems to be thinner...at first look at least, and you wonder if he has the ability to let these kids play and see what they are made of, instead of just running with his favorite 6 or 7 for 30 a piece. Prescott and Irwin (who looked good) will provide some viable minutes for the team, and seemingly start. Some sites have this team ranked sub 100!?!? Im sorry, I like Martelli, and I know he is a good coach. He finds the best out of players year in and year out. He maximizes their potential and gets them to believe. But, please tell me how this year, he gets them to believe? My guess is he is going to tell them to go game by game and play within themselves, and deep down knows he is trying to build for future. Just how this team is projected higher than some teams like URI, Bonnies and Charlotte baffles me. So what does this mean for betting? Well, Williamson can defend, thats for sure. I just dont know what their interior is going to look like. That remains to be seen. I do believe they will have serious troubles in scoring, unless they imploy a different style, which I am sure wont be the case. I do think St. Joes garners some Vegas respect, hence these rankings, so lets see if they are fade material early, until the books figure them out. This bench is UBER thin again so it seems, and I dont know how they can handle the long season ahead. While I think St. Joes will make an A-10 tourney appearance, they will probably be playing on the road in round 1, and should be bounced there.

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#16
Posted: 11/6/2009 1:00:43 PM

St. Louis: (8-8) (18-14)

Finally Rick Majerus can run with a team that encompasses all of his recruits. Granted, his bets player is gone, hard working, sure handed point guard Kevin Lisch. Lisch was arguably my favorite player to watch last year, due to his court wisdom, soft touch and determination. Very nice player STL had on their hands. Tommy Liddell is also gone, another starter who played well with KL all 4 years. Brett Thompson has transfered (pretty highly regarded recruit) due to many issues it seems. The team returns some quality players however, in Soph's Kwamian Mitchell and Willie Reed. Mitchell was a top level freshman and arguably could have been freshman of the year. This quick little PG showed an ability to drive to the rack, play with high energy which gave STL something they have not had in years. He is quick off the dribble and is a decent shooter. That should improve this year as teams may give him a step on D for fear of his quickness. He looks like he enjoys the spotlight late in games and should prove to be viable going forward. Willie Reed is a talented looking center who showed some signs of a low post game in and around the basket. Reed looked comfortable in the A-10 tournament and looks to improve on that this year. These are the 2 guys they are building around. Reed can hold down the middle and alter shots which seems to be a bonus for any team these days. He was a bit thin last year in his frame, to which putting on some lbs wont be a bad idea. Brian Conklin, the resident janitor comes in for the dirty work. Not an overly talented, athletic or even a great scorer, Conklin still finds a way to get good minutes. He finds the loose balls, gets down on the floor, grabs boards, does all the little things you need to win. Conklin will play a major role in the rate of success for the Billikens this year. He will need to get involved in the offense more however if the Bills look to make any noise in the conference. Majerus has a team without much in the upperclassmen department and is one of the youngest if not THE youngest team in D 1. Eckle would have seen strong minutes, but tore his knee up and probably wont suit up all year. A ton of freshman are stepping in, Ellis an Australian is a big man, but I still dont know if he is eligible to play. While I think Majerius got some decent talent, Smith, Salecich etc, I dont know how ready they will be able to play for this extremely structured team. RM works through tough defense and intelligence on the floor. Asking much from fresh will be tough. STL held opponents to under 30% from 3 last year, near the top in the nation. They will try and keep the scores low, although Mitchell can push the ball when necessary. This team though could be dangerous next year or in 2, when Mitchell and Reed are upperclassmen. The team is not tall and not really large either. Rebounds will be coming from text book box outs and the like. I dont like ST. Louis as much as CHN does, and I think they finish towards the edge of the A-10. I like STL but I just dont see much damage as they will have issues of scoring and Im not sure they have ample back up guards to spell this team...probably a tough year in the A-10 for them.

Temple: (11-5) (22-12)

Like many other teams in the Atlantic 10, this team has lost their star player. Dionte Christmas has graduated, solid big man Sergio Olmos is gone, and tough nosed guard Semaj Inge has also graduated. Lavoy Allen is arguably the lone star left from last years team. Allen has the ability to be a first team A-10 player, but I think everyone is still waiting for him to take over. This has to be the year if Temple plans on making some possible NCAA/A-10 title noise. They do however return a real X factor. Soph guard Juan Fernandez has drawn every comparison to former player Pepe Sanchez. Fernandez stepped right in mid season (graduated in NOV from HS in Argentina) and showed many signs of why the Owls are so high on him. He sees the court better than anyone in the A-10 already...his vision as a PG is so high it is sensational. Still, he is young, needs to work on his shot a bit, and show he can log 25+ minutes. Unfortunately Temple is not bringing in much of any freshman worthy according to scout reports, so it seems as if the impact will come from the players already there. Ryan Brooks is on the pecking order and has shown to be the 3pt threat they will need this year (over 40% last year) and is a pretty good defender. Craig Williams and Michael Eric are 2 other big men. Williams plays more on the perimeter than most guys their size. He can hit the outside shot, but will need to help Lavoy inside for rebounds. Eric isnt offensive minded, but should be able to provide some inside defense going forward. Randall is a soph who didnt get much time if any last year who looks to fill in as well as some of the freshman such as Bouchman (who can shoot), Jeffferson and Wyatt. I think without really knowing the freshman, this team looks thin and I think they may have a hard time scoring more so than in the past. I dont know how he plans to run with Juan, but expect some bumps along the way. This team could contend as Dunphy is a great coach and he does some some solid pieces left, however expecting is too much. Lots of question marks that need to be answered. Another some what tough OOC should set them up well...but it could be mildly bumpy...

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#17
Posted: 11/6/2009 1:01:08 PM
just xavier left..will bang that out today or tomorrow...
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#18
Posted: 11/7/2009 3:10:27 PM
Hope you kick some ass this year CC, always appreciate your thoughts
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#19
Posted: 11/10/2009 11:05:07 AM

Xavier: (12-4) (27-8)

I dont have a ton of time. At least Xavier is nationally known so I am sure people will have more ready info for this team than say St. Bona or something. I will condense this a bit...

Derrick Brown is gone for the NBA (bad move IMO, took mid 2nd round)..cost himself possibly a lottery next year, although I think he was advised poorly and mislead as to his draft status. BJ Raymond is gone, a good shooter and all around clutch guy. CJ Anderson leaves as well, another solid player who was third on the team in many categories.Brown played outside a lot and was quite athletic and posed a problem for teams trying to guard him as he was very tall, but much more athletic than the guy who guarded him. Coach Miller has departed and hire in Mack comes from within the system to help. Everyone likes him and X loves to hire from in house, see Miller. Team returns some promising talent in Frease, who i believe will have a VERY GOOD YEAR is a much needed body for Xavier. His FT shooting was below 50% last year, which needs to improve, otherwise teams will hack him more..., Redford (top tier shooter in country), Holloway (solid pg who looks to improve), Mr Dunk Jordan Crawford who has the ability to be a 1st team A-10 with ease if things go right. Dante Jackson returns, a good leader and all around. He is defensive minded and knows how to pressure. McLean a big man inside doing the dirty work and the like, as well as guard Mark Lyons look to garner some solid minutes. People were upset at times with Holloways PG play last year. They need to improve on the distribution of the ball as they were not particularly good in the assist category last year. X should rebound well again this year and Frease's low post game should continue to develop. They certainly can defend their title, and a rather young team, their inside bodies of Frease, Love and McLean will be very hard to handle for any team, especially the teams who lack size and rebounding skills. This team prides itself off defense and I dont see them missing a beat this year. Brian Walsh (red shirt transfer) as well as PF Jeff Robinson (freshman) look to add some depth to the roster. I predict good things for X...they go as far as Frease and Holloway take them, yes not Crawford. Crawford will be a solid player...Holloway if he can improve his PG skills takes X's biggest on the floor weakness to another level. Guard play wins titles in Cbb...

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#20
Posted: 11/10/2009 11:10:53 AM

Vegas and others...

My Projected order of finish (yes I know many if not all have Dayton #1).

NCAA's: Xavier, Dayton (Rich just missing out)

NIT: Richmond, LaSalle

My projected order of finish

1. Xavier

2. Dayton

3. Richmond

4. LaSalle

5. Temple

6. Duquesne

7. Rhode Island

8. St. Bona

9. Charlotte

10. Mass

11. St. Lou

12. St. Joe

13. GW

14. Fordham

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#21
Posted: 11/10/2009 11:13:09 AM

Some other thoughts...

Possible sleeper teams who could slip into top 4 or close...(Duq and Temple I dont view as sleepers)

URI, Mass, Charlotte, ST. Bona

Teams with no chance:

GW, Fordham (although Fordham wont be as bad as everyone thinks, with a solid recruiting class, mainly Gaston)

Teams I feel bad for:

St. Joes...this is the worst team on paper they have had since pre Jameer/Delonte days.

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#22
Posted: 11/10/2009 11:36:21 AM

I hear ya Crus- If you want the crown, you have to kill the King.  Until that happens, X-men still on top.

Fordham- I am hoing for some high #'s to start the yr.

joes- You mean like when I was there in the R- Bay days when I was there for a couple of yrs?

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#23
Posted: 11/10/2009 11:48:10 AM

bracks, good to see you.

Fordham should be interesting...I anticipate a solid win against a poor Maine team who lost their top scorer...Gaston is bringing some life to Fordham's team I think. Jio has estwick and him as viable options. Hey, maybe this team surprises and wins 3-4 conference games?

St. joes is bad...I dont see how some people have them projected 7-8th. You cant rely on a coach that much...

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#24
Posted: 11/10/2009 11:50:25 AM
i got lasalle higher and duquesne higher and dayton first. gl this year.
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#25
Posted: 11/10/2009 11:50:53 AM

Friday's slate

Friday, November 13

Massachusetts at Central Florida 7:00

Lehigh at Richmond 7:00

Cleveland State at St. Bonaventure 7:00

Drexel at Saint Joseph’s 7:00

UNC Asheville at Charlotte 7:30

Youngstown State at Xavier 7:30

Nicholls State at Duquesne 8:00

Maine at Fordham 8:00

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