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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: CALY POLY (+3) vs. Long Beach State --- LETS CAP THIS!
zzitoo75 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#1
Posted: 3/5/2009 4:51:22 PM
98 % takin LBS -3, i dont know much about these teams...but i love takin home dog, and with 98% with LBS, makes this home dog even LOUDER!
 
CALY POLY (+3)
 
 
...what does everyone think? im really tryin to get a feel for this game with other bettors
 
thanks
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#2
Posted: 3/5/2009 4:55:46 PM
sounds good to me
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#3
Posted: 3/5/2009 4:57:36 PM
Where ya seeing 98%?
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#4
Posted: 3/5/2009 4:58:42 PM
I completely agree 98% on LBC you just got to go with Cal Poly.. Plus the line only went up ahalf point.
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#5
Posted: 3/5/2009 5:00:27 PM
Actually it started at 1.5 so the extra 1.5 is a fairly significant move for such a small spread!!!
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#6
Posted: 3/5/2009 5:00:27 PM
10:00P Long Beach State
730 Cal Poly S.L.O.
2630 92%
8%
91%
9%


When there is 90%+ on both the spread and ML on these small time games.. the public is usually right

ex) Citadel and Weber State this week


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#7
Posted: 3/5/2009 6:49:00 PM
nbafan - so your saying this isnt a trap game? you think long beach state is winning?
 
anybody else with any thoughts on this game
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#8
Posted: 3/5/2009 6:51:06 PM
03/05/09 729 Long Beach St. -2 -2.5-110 3676 97% 94% 25% 91%
10:00PM 730 Cal Poly 139 +2.5-110 3% 6% 75% 9%
 
up the second line movements
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#9
Posted: 3/5/2009 6:55:19 PM
its at -4 now at my book so there has been very significant line movement which leans me towards lbs even at -4! my theory is that even though the public is on em so are the sharps, which is y were seeing massive line movement....just my take on it
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#10
Posted: 3/5/2009 6:57:38 PM
i dont think this is a trap
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#11
Posted: 3/5/2009 6:58:19 PM
Im on Long Beach St
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#12
Posted: 3/5/2009 7:01:42 PM
skirby015 - good point, well its a 10 pm game...im gona see if anyone else comes up with any good reasoning on this game
 
??????
 
 
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#13
Posted: 3/5/2009 7:02:42 PM
The one thing that i do not do is tell someone that they should not play a game they like if you really like cal-poly then i say play it......But just alittle info long beach needs this win to finish tied for 2nd in the conference while the game means nothing for cal-poly....Just a heads up that is all!!!
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#14
Posted: 3/5/2009 7:06:01 PM
Long Beach looks to good to be true. So you could be on to something. That being said I would never bet on Poly even against a High school team. Probably rolling with beach on this one if any.
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#15
Posted: 3/5/2009 7:06:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by zzitoo75:

98 % takin LBS -3, i dont know much about these teams...but i love takin home dog, and with 98% with LBS, makes this home dog even LOUDER!
 
CALY POLY (+3)
 
 
...what does everyone think? im really tryin to get a feel for this game with other bettor   i make poly the favorite by 4 l.b.st is the wrong fav
 
thanks
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#16
Posted: 3/5/2009 7:07:34 PM
but cmon 90+ %? you kno what i mean...just looks shady thats all im sayin
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#17
Posted: 3/5/2009 7:07:55 PM
i make poly the favorite by 4 lb.st is the wrong fav good luck
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#18
Posted: 3/5/2009 7:11:41 PM
you cant make your bets based on percentages, vegas doesnt get every line right, what they do however is get the big name schools/games on tv pretty damn close because they know thats where all the money will be coming in from
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#19
Posted: 3/5/2009 7:22:56 PM
Cal-Poly lost in LB earlier in year, revenge plays a big factor in Big West games. Refs too....Check the box score last game....It is almost the same for both teams except for Assists. LB had 10 more assists on their home floor than Poly and that was the difference. I do not think that will happen tonight.
 
I would play Cal Poly First Half On This game.
 
Good Luck All....I go to many of these Big West games as it is local to me. It is a different type of basketball...
 
I am playing Riverside tonight.
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#20
Posted: 3/5/2009 7:36:47 PM
10:00pm Long Beach St vs Cal Poly Slo Cal Poly Slo 3.18%
Long Beach St 96.82%
1508 Bets

 

 I've NEVER seen that...

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#21
Posted: 3/5/2009 7:38:42 PM
Will someone LAYDOWN--knowing they have no chance at the top 4 spots in the Conferene Tourney?
 
Is CAL POLY on the take?
 
 
My suspicions are brewing
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#22
Posted: 3/5/2009 8:49:00 PM
alrite fellas...a little more then an hour left before the game starts! this is how we're looking..
 
03/05/09 729 Long Beach St. -2 -2.5-110 5971 95% 94% 21% 87%
10:00PM 730 Cal Poly 139 +2.5-110 5% 6% 79% 13
 
95% on long beach state on the road still!!!!
 
im leaning on caly poly at home with that 5%
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#23
Posted: 3/5/2009 9:17:56 PM
Loved poly for a while...the reverse line movement scares me....i cant play a road team that 90% of public is on though...if anything itll be a small poly play....
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#24
Posted: 3/5/2009 9:20:34 PM
I think wichita state is the line error of the day

moved to 4 but they cant move it much more because of the middle opportunity
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#25
Posted: 3/5/2009 9:22:21 PM
updated percentages

10:00P Long Beach State
730 Cal Poly S.L.O.
5586 92%
8%
76%
24%

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