Posted: 5/14/2012 4:22:51 AM
Really Like this fight from a betting angle. I think Chisora is a live dog @+175 but I am not really interested in taking that price. I think there are only two realistic outcomes to this fight. Haye by points (could be conterversial) or Chisora by KO.
Haye is not knocking this guy out. Chisora has one of the best chins since Ray Mercer in his hayday. If Haye comes trying to blast this guy out I can see this being a very similar fight to Tommy Morrison v Ray Mercer back in the 90's where Tommy puts a beatdown on Ray for 6 rounds only for Ray to KO a clearly gassed Morrison.
Haye's biggest problem is stamina. The guy can't fight for 3 minutes of every round. Wlad controlled the fight and was happy to dictate the pace and not take chances. Chisora will be pressuring Haye from the opening bell. Haye in the meantime will be fighting off the back foot all night looking to outbox Chisora.
I think Haye could be very vulberable after round 8. Especially if he lands bombs and see's Chisora still coming after him. For Haye to win this fight he has to fight at his pace and dictate the tempo not wasting valuable energy. I can see him having some success doing this and also a fair hairy moments. Haye is the better boxer. I have no doubt about that and if he can stay out of trouble should cruise to a points win @+120. That will be my play but I will straddle it with a Chisora KO @+500.
1) Haye on Points @ +120
2) Chisora by KO @ +500