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Author: [Tennis] Topic: heather watson vs anabel
BurningPlanet26 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#26
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:27:05 AM
watson def giving me better action than Jie did

come on break back to get to 5-5 pleaaaase
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#27
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:27:53 AM
29 points dog 26 us at 5-5, but got to like our momentum
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#28
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:28:21 AM
She actually broke back ...maybe she can,use this momentum And take roll with it
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#29
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:28:34 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BurningPlanet26:

hmmm i like matric on indoor hard and think she is underrated, just cashed a +120 for me in two sets vs cirstea. I do not know of the dog though, from what I read she hardly even has any main draw wta wins. where did you see her play and who did you see her against that you like her so much? what are her strengths? thanks if you can fill it in. i respect your opinion but those stats i glanced at on the dog made it look like she is barely a pro, please expain where that is wrong, maybe i read wrong


patricia mayr has been around for a couple years now she is basically a clay courter reminds me of a poor version of  Carla Suarez Navarro she will stand behind the baseline and hit the ball back all day and play defense. I've seen a couple of her matches none this year she has been suffering from a shoulder injury and said she is now healthy. Anyway this play is more of a motivational type of play of course Martic is the better player hence the line but Mayr is home and this quote from Patricia before the Sabine match caused me to play her spread in the last match and will cause me to do the same in this match while I sprinkle the moneyline some.

http://www.generali-ladies.at/presse/news5_391.php

I'm probably wrong don't pay me no mind just throwing a dart in the dark
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#30
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:28:52 AM
 "I am delighted with the wildcard, it is now time to end the negative run, "said Mayr-Achleitner, who could train in the last few days at home in Seefeld on hard court. Now she is hoping for a turnaround: "Even though the tournament is open uncommonly strong, I will usher in Linz a successful season finish. I would then play five more tournaments and I will do everything to ensure that the year 2012 at the end but still satisfying ending. "
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#31
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:29:14 AM
i think if she holds we get it 7-5,   1/3 chance of breaking back again and to breaker
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#32
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:30:37 AM
worm has turned for both my bets, yay
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#33
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:31:40 AM
That puchkova disaster last night was a heart attack stress inducer ..gosh that girl sucked a big cock last night ...how the hell are u almost 6 ft tall amf lose to that Japanese turd who might be posing as a woman
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#34
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:32:13 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by konabear23:

Wta and favs do not go hand in hand ...blindly betting underdogs apparently is the way to go in Wta

This is a very accurate statement. However, most people (Atleast the ones on forums like theses) are recreational gamblers or simply new to tennis betting. It's in our DNA as gamblers/sports bettors (whatever you consider yourself) to want to win every single wager weevert place. This engrained thought goes against the betting requirements to take majority women's dogs, because the long term wins/loss record will undoubtedly be much lower than you'd like to see. Yet, it's not about wins or losses in the end, it's all about long term units won, and catching the frequent +500 or better dog happens more in women's tennis than any other sport out there. Clearly, it's a long term investment which isn't for everyone. 

Food for thought... Can you spare loose change betting blindly against players like sharapova/azarenka/Serena/radwanska etc when you know a player comes into a match with an existing injury? Of course no one would expect the +3000 random dog to win on their own, but if somehow they take the first set 76 or a squeaker like that, there's always a chance the -5000 fav retires to save face and just blame their poor effort on an injury. Most books need just one set completed to be official. 

In non-majors, this also works for the men's side too, but doesn't happen nearly as often. 
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#35
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:34:39 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Unpredictable:



patricia mayr has been around for a couple years now she is basically a clay courter reminds me of a poor version of  Carla Suarez Navarro she will stand behind the baseline and hit the ball back all day and play defense. I've seen a couple of her matches none this year she has been suffering from a shoulder injury and said she is now healthy. Anyway this play is more of a motivational type of play of course Martic is the better player hence the line but Mayr is home and this quote from Patricia before the Sabine match caused me to play her spread in the last match and will cause me to do the same in this match while I sprinkle the moneyline some.

http://www.generali-ladies.at/presse/news5_391.php

I'm probably wrong don't pay me no mind just throwing a dart in the dark


thanks a ton for this information. much respect that you research this in cepth. sometimes i skimp that area

I agree on your last linea bit and think you might be getting sentimental after your big cash vs brainless-could-lose-to-anyone lisicki who had her worst match of year from what ive read. MAtric can have bad days too. ill see if my parlays go live with her and might hedge a bit if line movement bacs you up, thanks a lot for a complete answer, youre leagues ahead of most posters who dont research garbage or put thought into their plays at all
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#36
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:41:13 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by packersbackers:


This is a very accurate statement. However, most people (Atleast the ones on forums like theses) are recreational gamblers or simply new to tennis betting. It's in our DNA as gamblers/sports bettors (whatever you consider yourself) to want to win every single wager weevert place. This engrained thought goes against the betting requirements to take majority women's dogs, because the long term wins/loss record will undoubtedly be much lower than you'd like to see. Yet, it's not about wins or losses in the end, it's all about long term units won, and catching the frequent +500 or better dog happens more in women's tennis than any other sport out there. Clearly, it's a long term investment which isn't for everyone. 



well i totally disagree with the idea of blindly betting dogs. that is something people post around here when they miss a bunch of faves and get mad but when people have actua;lly tried the system, which many hee havem, with tracking, none of them ever did antyhing but go bust and get even more pissed

but other than first lie i do like your thoughts here. The WTA right now is a goldimine for big dogs. it is not cuz its WTA so much as this era, this is literally the dark ages of womens tennis other than Serena. I think on the mens side there are tons of dogs too but yeah, it aint like this. really, nothing is: what other sport has cashd a 50-1 dog this year? razanno did vs serena at the french, then rosol vs nadal at wimbledon, both this same year! amazing sport.
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#37
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:42:05 AM
3-4 watson got minibreak back

come on fight

roller coas
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#38
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:43:26 AM
long delay must be epic grinder point--and our girl! 4-4 what a fighter come on one more pt and its all rpessure on her--
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#39
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:44:50 AM
we suck this all sucks
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#40
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:44:52 AM
s busting her serve up but watson in comparison is getting run over by it making her look like isner compared to last round
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#41
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:46:30 AM
Not playing well
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#42
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:46:32 AM
nice start unpredictable you def thought this out better than me looks like, shocked watson is not getting into her serve more, but since line is so tight i cant say good pick till you offficially beat us
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#43
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:49:02 AM
She choked it away ...Watson is weak like u said not very strong
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#44
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:50:58 AM


i wouldnt get too down guys we have the younger player and only paid 45 extra, got to the breaker, maybe can wear her down, she did choke serving for it, maybe she would choke even worse if she got a chance to actually win it

better than jie where it was 70-110 juice points and a rape whole way tthrough. watson could win this
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#45
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:53:29 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by konabear23:

She choked it away ...Watson is weak like u said not very strong
yeah i bet on two powder puffs in her and Jie. this is why i usually like bigger power players, or even smaller onenes, but they have to have sting on their shots

i just really dont like PP and  AMG is a clay courter so didnt expect much on this surface
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#46
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:55:35 AM
A's with a comeback I can believe it
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#47
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:55:59 AM
if AMG played Parameter who do you think would win? thats tough to figure, PP has more power AMG way more experience, if you guys give me a hot angle on it id like that cuz i wanna chase these two losses.... darn it whichever one gets through ill fade the next round as long as it is vs a top 40 player


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#48
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:58:05 AM
AMG winnin 67% of first serve

89% of second serve

79% first serves

6 aces

um... wtf? these stats feel kinda flukey i cant even figure it, watson is at least an ok returrner and AMG is weak on serve avg at best!
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#49
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:59:26 AM
i tried puttin a happy face on this garbage

but its like pullin teeth
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#50
Posted: 10/11/2012 1:06:19 AM
you know it aint your night when weak servin amg aces your girl 3 times in first two games, been serving about the same since too, jeez
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