Posted:
#1
I have some futures for the weekend -> https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=38&sub=101224847
I know I should just wait and see what happens with those, but Nadals form in the tournament has really surprised me. I didn't think he body would hold up for a 2 week tournament and besides the Berdych match, he hasn't really been tested.
There is only one play tomorrow. Nadal +125. The past fews years Federer's standards haven't dipped that much. The problem is his mental frailty the past 3-4 years once Nadal shattered his 'aura' of invincibility. He has had golden opportunities to beat Djocker at the US Open the past two years. Wimbledon final 2008, Aussie open final 2009, two matches Federer could have beaten Nadal but didn't. Fed's last great victory was against Djoker in Paris. He was in a great spot there. No pressure (Djoker on the win streak) and he showed he has still got amazing talent. He is favourite again tomorrow and the pressure is back on. I expect his mental frailities of the past two years, will come back to haunt him in this match.
People are focusing on Federer's form at the end of the year and the start of this year. Djoker and Nadal mentally had checked out by the time the ATP championships came in London. Federer took advantage of this. His physique means he is a tennis phenomenon. He is a perfect tennis play in terms of physique. How often is the guy injured? Think about it. He is always the strongest player at the end of a seaon. Federer is still an awesome player and that is why has has blitzed the field so far. However against the two best players in the world he is now falling behind. Especially in the mental game. Strong mentality is the key in tennis. Murray is as good as these guys talent wise, but his frailty on the mental side keeps letting him down. Berdych had Nadal on the ropes and missed an easy volley to go 2 sets up. When it comes to mental toughness Nadal/Djoker are light years ahead of the rest. Del Petro will be a major force, but it takes years to gert back to elite level when you havent played on tour. Once Del P gets that big win he is going to be tough to beat every tournament.
I mean Nadal had an awesome year last year. Winning the French and two other Grand slam finals. I think he lost 6 or 7 finals to Djoker last season. Yet Federer is the -165 fav! Based on a finish to a season after the big two mentally checked out. Nadal and Djoker were heads and shoulders above everyone last season. I have seen nothing so far this season to make me think things have changed drastically. The wrong player is favoured tomorrow. This should be a pickem or Nadal a slight favourite. It's rare you get a deal from the books. Take the mentally tougher player. Even if it loses, you know you will get value for your money with Nadal (injury free of course)..
I know I should just wait and see what happens with those, but Nadals form in the tournament has really surprised me. I didn't think he body would hold up for a 2 week tournament and besides the Berdych match, he hasn't really been tested.
There is only one play tomorrow. Nadal +125. The past fews years Federer's standards haven't dipped that much. The problem is his mental frailty the past 3-4 years once Nadal shattered his 'aura' of invincibility. He has had golden opportunities to beat Djocker at the US Open the past two years. Wimbledon final 2008, Aussie open final 2009, two matches Federer could have beaten Nadal but didn't. Fed's last great victory was against Djoker in Paris. He was in a great spot there. No pressure (Djoker on the win streak) and he showed he has still got amazing talent. He is favourite again tomorrow and the pressure is back on. I expect his mental frailities of the past two years, will come back to haunt him in this match.
People are focusing on Federer's form at the end of the year and the start of this year. Djoker and Nadal mentally had checked out by the time the ATP championships came in London. Federer took advantage of this. His physique means he is a tennis phenomenon. He is a perfect tennis play in terms of physique. How often is the guy injured? Think about it. He is always the strongest player at the end of a seaon. Federer is still an awesome player and that is why has has blitzed the field so far. However against the two best players in the world he is now falling behind. Especially in the mental game. Strong mentality is the key in tennis. Murray is as good as these guys talent wise, but his frailty on the mental side keeps letting him down. Berdych had Nadal on the ropes and missed an easy volley to go 2 sets up. When it comes to mental toughness Nadal/Djoker are light years ahead of the rest. Del Petro will be a major force, but it takes years to gert back to elite level when you havent played on tour. Once Del P gets that big win he is going to be tough to beat every tournament.
I mean Nadal had an awesome year last year. Winning the French and two other Grand slam finals. I think he lost 6 or 7 finals to Djoker last season. Yet Federer is the -165 fav! Based on a finish to a season after the big two mentally checked out. Nadal and Djoker were heads and shoulders above everyone last season. I have seen nothing so far this season to make me think things have changed drastically. The wrong player is favoured tomorrow. This should be a pickem or Nadal a slight favourite. It's rare you get a deal from the books. Take the mentally tougher player. Even if it loses, you know you will get value for your money with Nadal (injury free of course)..
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