US Open final round adjusted "to win" odds

Forum: Pro Golf
Author: [Pro Golf] Topic: US Open final round adjusted "to win" odds
LeRinkRat PM LeRinkRat
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Posted: 6/17/2017 9:40:56 PM
william-hill [w-h] / westagte [lvh] high odds
[3rd round / tourney scores]

Justin Thomas 4-1 / 7-2 >> [-9/-11]
Brooks Koepka 4-1 / 4-1 >> [-4/-11]
Brian Harman 9-2 / 11-2 >> [-5/-12]
Rickie Fowler 9-2 / 7-2 >> [-4/-10]
Tommy Fleetwood 6-1 / 15-2 >> [-4/-11]
Si Woo Kim 15-1 / 15-1 >> [-4/-9]
Patrick Reed 20-1 / 25-1 >> [-7/-8]
Russell Henley 35-1 / 40-1 >> [-5/-8]
Charlie Hoffman 35-1 / 40-1 >> [-4/-8]
Brandt Snedeker 50-1 / 60-1 >> [-2/-7]
Hiseki Matsuyama 50-1 / 60-1 >> [-1/-6]
Brendan Steele 65-1 / 80-1 >> [-3/-7]
Bill Haas 80-1 / 80-1 >> [-3/-7]
Xander Schauffele 100-1 / 150-1 >> [2/-7]
Bernd Wiesberger 125-1 / 150-1 >> [-3/-6]
JB Holmes 125-1 / 125-1 >> [even/-6]
FIELD 12-1 @ william-hill
FIELD 25-1 @ westgate
<<william-hill only>>
Sergio Garcia 200-1 >> [-1/-4]
Louis Oosthuizen 250-1 >> [-4/-4]
Paul Casey 250-1 >> [+3/-4]


Aceholes PM Aceholes
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Posted: 6/17/2017 10:06:30 PM
tough decision

might take fowler

5 dimes have him up to +435
vegasslim PM vegasslim
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Posted: 6/17/2017 10:20:46 PM
william hill had in game up most of the day on the open both westgate and william hill will have it sunday
LeRinkRat PM LeRinkRat
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Posted: 6/17/2017 11:51:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by vegasslim:

william hill had in game up most of the day on the open both westgate and william hill will have it sunday


HEY THANKS, vegasslim. did NOT know that. will follow Sunday. do they have running "to win" adjustments or just daily match plays ???

well I am about as "half azzed hedged" as I can get on my "to win" bets. here is what I have (bet/return) [3rd round/tourney scores]

US open "to win" bets pre-tourney
FIELD 50-1 (20/1020) @ South Point
Brian Harman 1st [-5/-12] Xander Schauffele T-10th [-2/-7] Chez Reavie T-17th  [even/-4] Trey Mullinax T-17th [-3/-4] and Cameron Champ T-17th [+1/-4]
Tommy Fleetwood 150-1 (7/1057)  <<< T-2nd [-4/-11] @ Westgate
Si Woo Kim 300-1 (5/1505) <<< 6th [-4/-9] @ South Point
Russell  Henley 125-1 (8/1008) <<< T-7th [-5/-8] @ William-Hill
Matthew Fitzpatrick 125-1 (8/1008) <<< T-26th [-2/-3] @ William-Hill
Kevin Chappell 150-1 (7/1057) <<< T-30th [-2/-2]

after 2nd round "to win" bets
@ Westgate
Hideki Matsuyama 9-1 (25/250) <<< T-14th [-1/-6]
Brandt Snedeker 20-1 (12/252) <<< T-10th [-2/-7]
Chez Reavie 100-1 (5/505) <<< T-17th [even/-4]
Cameron Champ 200-1 (5/1005) <<< T-17th [+1/-4]
@ William-Hill
JB Holmes 15-1 (15/240) <<< T-14th [even/-6]
Jamie Lovemark 25-1 (10/260) <<< T-17th [+2/-4]
Bill Haas 50-1 [-4/-4] (6/306) <<< T-10th [-3/-7]
Xander Schauffele 100-1 (5/505) <<< T-10th [-2/-7]

final round "to win" bets
<<William-Hill>>
Justin Thomas 4-1 (75/375) <<< T-2nd [-9/-11]
Brooks Koepka 4-1 (75/375)  <<< T-2nd [-4/-11]
Rickie Fowler 9-2 (70/385) <<< 5th [-4/-10]
JB Holmes 125-1 (4/504) <<< T-14th [even/-6]
Sergio Garcia 200-1 (5/1005) <<< T-17th[-1/-4]
Louis Oosthuizen 250-1 (4/1004) <<< T-17th [-4/-4]
Paul Casey 250-1 (4/1004) <<< T-17th [+3/-4]
<<Westgate>>
Patrick Reed  25-1 (20/520) <<< T-7th [-7/-8]
Charlie Hoffman 40-1 (10/410) <<< T-7th [-4/-8]
Hideki Matsuyama 60-1 (5/305) <<< T-14th [-1/-6]
Brendan Steele 80-1 (5/405) <<< T-10th [-3/-7]






LeRinkRat PM LeRinkRat
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Posted: 6/17/2017 11:58:43 PM
OOPS almost forgot to "tack on" Brandt Snedeker T-10th [-2/-7] final round @ 60-1 (5/300) to add to his after 2nd round bet like like with Matsuyama and Holmes "just in case"
vegasslim PM vegasslim
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Posted: 6/18/2017 12:00:29 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:



HEY THANKS, vegasslim. did NOT know that. will follow Sunday. do they have running "to win" adjustments or just daily match plays ???

well I am about as "half azzed hedged" as I can get on my "to win" bets. here is what I have (bet/return) [3rd round/tourney scores]

US open "to win" bets pre-tourney
FIELD 50-1 (20/1020) @ South Point
Brian Harman 1st [-5/-12] Xander Schauffele T-10th [-2/-7] Chez Reavie T-17th  [even/-4] Trey Mullinax T-17th [-3/-4] and Cameron Champ T-17th [+1/-4]
Tommy Fleetwood 150-1 (7/1057)  <<< T-2nd [-4/-11] @ Westgate
Si Woo Kim 300-1 (5/1505) <<< 6th [-4/-9] @ South Point
Russell  Henley 125-1 (8/1008) <<< T-7th [-5/-8] @ William-Hill
Matthew Fitzpatrick 125-1 (8/1008) <<< T-26th [-2/-3] @ William-Hill
Kevin Chappell 150-1 (7/1057) <<< T-30th [-2/-2]

after 2nd round "to win" bets
@ Westgate
Hideki Matsuyama 9-1 (25/250) <<< T-14th [-1/-6]
Brandt Snedeker 20-1 (12/252) <<< T-10th [-2/-7]
Chez Reavie 100-1 (5/505) <<< T-17th [even/-4]
Cameron Champ 200-1 (5/1005) <<< T-17th [+1/-4]
@ William-Hill
JB Holmes 15-1 (15/240) <<< T-14th [even/-6]
Jamie Lovemark 25-1 (10/260) <<< T-17th [+2/-4]
Bill Haas 50-1 [-4/-4] (6/306) <<< T-10th [-3/-7]
Xander Schauffele 100-1 (5/505) <<< T-10th [-2/-7]

final round "to win" bets
<>
Justin Thomas 4-1 (75/375) <<< T-2nd [-9/-11]
Brooks Koepka 4-1 (75/375)  <<< T-2nd [-4/-11]
Rickie Fowler 9-2 (70/385) <<< 5th [-4/-10]
JB Holmes 125-1 (4/504) <<< T-14th [even/-6]
Sergio Garcia 200-1 (5/1005) <<< T-17th[-1/-4]
Louis Oosthuizen 250-1 (4/1004) <<< T-17th [-4/-4]
Paul Casey 250-1 (4/1004) <<< T-17th [+3/-4]
<>
Patrick Reed  25-1 (20/520) <<< T-7th [-7/-8]
Charlie Hoffman 40-1 (10/410) <<< T-7th [-4/-8]
Hideki Matsuyama 60-1 (5/305) <<< T-14th [-1/-6]
Brendan Steele 80-1 (5/405) <<< T-10th [-3/-7]







it will be adjusted win odds on both apps kida fun to tell the truth
vegasslim PM vegasslim
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Posted: 6/18/2017 12:14:06 AM
and gl on your bets
LeRinkRat PM LeRinkRat
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Posted: 6/18/2017 12:41:57 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by vegasslim:

and gl on your bets


thanks, vegasslim. kind of pizzed now that I just did the Brian Harman "field" bet @ South Point and did NOT also chance him 200-1 @ Westgate. did Haotong Li @ 250-1 and Alex Levy @ 300-1 but NOT him even though he was a tourney winner this season

under the heading of IF you only KNEW, freeking Justin Thomas was 40-1 after the 2nd round @ BOTH William-Hill AND Westgate along with "Fat Pat" Reed @ 125-1 @ Westgate. I thought BOTH were "too far back" [-2] & [-1] to fool with going into the weekend

Thomas shot the round i an used to my Swede Alex Noren shooting BUT the bugger didn't even MAKE the CUT for the first time this season
LeRinkRat PM LeRinkRat
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Posted: 6/18/2017 2:25:36 AM
Hokey Smoke I forgot to check South Point before I published because I am used to them NOT having adjusted "to win" odds most tourneys. they have Tommy Fleetwood @ 10-1 going into Sunday. also Brooks Koepka @ 9-2 with is slightly higher than either William-Hill or Westgate. also Jamie Lovemark [+2] Saturday for [-4] tourney @ 200-1 just in case HE would do something silly

SkySky PM SkySky
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Posted: 6/18/2017 2:27:45 AM
Great value on FLEETWOOD at 10-1 right now.
LeRinkRat PM LeRinkRat
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Posted: 6/18/2017 7:17:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by vegasslim:


it will be adjusted win odds on both apps kida fun to tell the truth


Westgate had In Play for the final round. grabbed Brooks Koepka after he bogied #10 @ +120 when he was tied with Brian Harman @ [-13] for a "half assed hedge"

STILL hoping Tommy Fleetwood can make a move the last three holes current [-11]
LeRinkRat PM LeRinkRat
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Posted: 6/18/2017 8:34:09 PM
well I collect $705 on Brooks Koepka BUT had a total of $408 on "to win" bets out. just short of $300 profit BUT LOST every one of FIVE tourney match plays and a bunch of other prop "piddle plays". NOT a very good tourney

looking forward to the BMW International Open in Munich, Germany next week. hopefully Alex Noren,
LeRinkRat PM LeRinkRat
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Posted: 6/18/2017 8:35:30 PM
(prematue <<submit>>) Francesco Molinari, Thomas Pieters, Tyrrell Hatton, Alex Levy and rest of my favorite "Euro Trash" can bounce back from an absolute SH!T US Open
sacker17 PM sacker17
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Posted: 6/19/2017 8:10:24 AM
Rat
Very Nice hedge. 
Looked like a 2 horse race on turn. Surprised Koepka was plus odds as he had hit almost every green and fairway while Harman was scrambling his behind off just for par. 

As for me nothing figured. 
Grillo and Noren MC and both make almost every cut. Furyk played well after 6 MC in row so that was a loser  Scott sucked and MC after like 24 made cuts in row at Majors. Lost all my bigger bets and hit my smaller bets so I had a crap week. 
Yesterday played Steele against Holmes and he gets eagle last hole to beat me. Holmes has an awful Round 4 scoring average. 
I been going bad lately. 

Good to see you make a great hedge bet. I was watching with a buddy and we both said Koepka is gonna win as we watched around the turn. He was so sharp. 
LeRinkRat PM LeRinkRat
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Posted: 6/19/2017 2:39:20 PM
Ya it was a REALLY goofy tourney, sacker. ONLY MC's that my man Alex Noren has now had this season ??? the two freeking majors Masters and US Open. will see WHAT he does @ Royal Birkdale next month

that last hedge on Brooks Koepka was pure luck. vegasslim put me onto it. I am wondering IF he will go over the Europe prior to the British Open ??? probably NOT this week for Munich BUT the Open de France, Irish Open and Scottish Open are all Rolex events for big money. he also has a history in Europe prior to "making it" on the PGA tour and he obviously has the game for links golf. his early British line is 30-1 @ William-Hill
danmyman8524 PM danmyman8524
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Posted: 6/20/2017 12:10:30 PM
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