Now, Liverpool has surrendered all 3 points only 6 times this year, but look at the opponents: Crystal Palace #16 & Swansea City #18 both at home + Leicester City #11, Hull City #17, AFC Bournemouth #10, & Burnley #14 away.
Here's my take on this game. Klopp like many other managers, was hit with an injury bug this year and has had to switch his style based on the players available. Back when Liverpool crushed Watford 6-1 in Anfield, they were atop the BPL and looked like a strong candidate to fight for the title. Eventhough they sit in the 3rd spot, you haven't gotten the feeling from this squad that they can compete vs Chelsea & Tottenham. As a matter of fact, neither has Man City, Man Utd, Arsenal, of Everton. There is one goal for this year for Klopp and that's to secure a top-4 position for UCL qualification.
Watford is safe from relegation and all they're playing for is a top half finish. They have shown a different style of play in April, concentrating more in possession in the attacking half rather than a defense-first mentality, and they've gone 3-0-0 at home 4GF/0GA +4GD vs Swansea City (1-0), West Brom (2-0), Sunderland (1-0). Granted, you can't compare Liverpool to any of those sides, but Watford has found confidence at home where they boast a 8-4-5 25GF/23GA +2GD record this year.
Liverpool has allowed 24 of their 42 GA on the road and they too, have been a bit more aggressive in the attacking half lately, which has seen them go unbeaten in 7 straight games before falling to Crystal Palace and former striker Benteke. Make no mistake about it though, they were on top and really dominated the game, but they have some issues in the back lines and Benteke took advantage of that.
I believe Watford has what it takes to score a goal at Vicarage Road vs this Liverpool defense. Even more so if Liverpool is going to come out and attack which is what Klopp always does. If for some reason, this game is tied in the second half, I'm not ruling out a Watford W here for the nice +ML hit.
Watford vs Liverpool 1st Half OV 1 -140: 5.60 / 4.00 Units
Watford +460 vs Liverpool: 2.00 / 9.20 Units
BOL Mates!!