Get Loose Friday

Forum: Soccer
Author: [Soccer] Topic: Get Loose Friday
LooseNotLose PM LooseNotLose
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Posted: 4/21/2017 7:31:07 AM
Rough outing yesterday - really been waiting for it because no one sustains 65% +

Overall:  49 - 30.5 - 5.5    +28.88Units*

From yesterday:

Brighton ml +208 1U

1st place team with 5 wins in a row, 18 gf and 6 against in their last 8 vs a Norwich team that is playing terribly on the road and at 10 points back of Fulham pretty much nothing to play for.  With o/u set at 3 I doubt it's because the book thinks Norwich is going to score 2 with only 9 in their last eight games.

NaciremaDream PM NaciremaDream
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Posted: 4/21/2017 9:47:08 AM
Isn't Norwich at home?
XIaggie PM XIaggie
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Posted: 4/21/2017 9:50:16 AM
Norwich has scored 11 in their last 3.
XIaggie PM XIaggie
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Posted: 4/21/2017 9:51:46 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by NaciremaDream:

Isn't Norwich at home?


yes
LooseNotLose PM LooseNotLose
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Posted: 4/21/2017 10:02:26 AM
Not sure what I was looking at, but the original write up was at 2am, I thought the game was yesterday and I have a 3 1/2 month old at the house...gonna have to look at that again.   Aside from that though, I think the pick was spot on ;)

PeterBlack PM PeterBlack
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Posted: 4/21/2017 10:15:31 AM
Loosehave a fine one today!

Like the play, Seagulls have surely been celebrating this week, but there is still a title to clinch, and they should be ready to roll today
LooseNotLose PM LooseNotLose
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Posted: 4/21/2017 10:56:28 AM
Thanks Peter 

Ya, Norwich is feast or famine - 7 goals two games ago, 1 goal last time out vs. a good defense. They lost to Newcastle at home back in February and I'm sure that title is something they'd love to have. 

Norwich only has 3 wins in their last 12 matches, and concede a bunch -19 in their last 10 - while it's Brighton's defense that secured their promotion.

Historically, it does not look good for Brighton - the last time they beat Norwich twice in one season was in the 1950s, BUT, they haven't been in the top flight for 34 years either AND Brighton's coach Chris Hughton was fired by Norwich a few years back and this is his first return since then.  

Actually talked myself into upping the bet - at +197 now - maybe I'll regret it but the sure thing has been a loser for me lately.  Pretty much why I'm staying away from the total even if I think it will hit.

Brighton ml +197

BOL to all 
Dogberto PM Dogberto
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Posted: 4/21/2017 11:56:19 AM
Loose am I correct that it seems both teams don't have much to play for?  Norwich is 10 points out and Brighton leads by 7 so no way Newcastle can catch them.  So Brighton Hove won the English League?  I'm also on Brighton but Norwich is good at home and now worried that Brighton doesn't care much about game.   
LooseNotLose PM LooseNotLose
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Posted: 4/21/2017 12:09:55 PM
Maybe not  - There's no doubt I'm playing this a bit contrarian.  Coach can't make the players care, but I think he probably does.


LooseNotLose PM LooseNotLose
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Posted: 4/21/2017 12:48:15 PM
Been looking at this Marseille game and I just don't see their not winning this.  Nancy has lost 5 of 6 and 1-1-9 in their last 11.  Marseille may not be that great this year, but they usually get it done against those they should.

Marseille ML +101 2U

-----
Köln has been shut out just twice at home this year and once was to Bayern.  See Hoffenheim winning 2-1

Hoffenheim ML +142
Köln/Hoffenheim o2.5 -124 2U
Twentysixblack PM Twentysixblack
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Posted: 4/21/2017 12:55:52 PM
Im max bet marseille team total over 1.5 goals.
should be golden
LooseNotLose PM LooseNotLose
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Posted: 4/21/2017 1:04:41 PM
GL 26


The more I look at that Brighton game, sometimes plays are just too good to pass up.  Sports will sport, but this game is going over.

o2.75 -120 2U
o3 +108 2U
franz555 PM franz555
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Posted: 4/21/2017 2:34:34 PM
Loose      Im on the over myself, so im cheering for Brighton 4 - 0 


BOL     
LooseNotLose PM LooseNotLose
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Posted: 4/21/2017 2:41:22 PM
Franz let's go! 
LooseNotLose PM LooseNotLose
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Posted: 4/21/2017 10:51:33 PM
I think that's called a reverse sweep, but I'm not a scientist.

-11.88U

Overall:  49 - 37.5 - 5.5    +17Units*

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