no reason to limit yourself to 0-0 when 1-1 and 2-2 are viable outcomes
The problem I have with the draw bet is trying to understand why a draw bet is more probable than the expressed odds. When you bet a team to win, you think they'll score more goals than their opposition.
There's no team called "draw" that tries to get an equal number of goals.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Michfan15:
no reason to limit yourself to 0-0 when 1-1 and 2-2 are viable outcomes
The problem I have with the draw bet is trying to understand why a draw bet is more probable than the expressed odds. When you bet a team to win, you think they'll score more goals than their opposition.
There's no team called "draw" that tries to get an equal number of goals.
Composite--- the Draw bet has VALUE because hardly anyone bets it, only a pro/capper will bet a draw knowing the math involved in a matchup. Everyone wants to take a side that books juice and the pulp is the draw.....if you care about a team cheer for them don't bet on them, otherwise look for VALUE.
I like your angle pro
I just think its a tad early yet for me to cap this game..but BOL
0
Composite--- the Draw bet has VALUE because hardly anyone bets it, only a pro/capper will bet a draw knowing the math involved in a matchup. Everyone wants to take a side that books juice and the pulp is the draw.....if you care about a team cheer for them don't bet on them, otherwise look for VALUE.
I like your angle pro
I just think its a tad early yet for me to cap this game..but BOL
DJ - I only bet on value. I don't care if I betting for or against my team. I always look for value.
But *how* do you look for value on a draw bet? If the favorite is undervalued, you'd bet the favorite. If the dog is undervalued, you'd bet the dog. When is a draw undervalued (in a way that the fav and dog are overvalued), and how would you even detect it? Other than the obvious - as if the CL Finals had a draw line of +400 or something.
0
DJ - I only bet on value. I don't care if I betting for or against my team. I always look for value.
But *how* do you look for value on a draw bet? If the favorite is undervalued, you'd bet the favorite. If the dog is undervalued, you'd bet the dog. When is a draw undervalued (in a way that the fav and dog are overvalued), and how would you even detect it? Other than the obvious - as if the CL Finals had a draw line of +400 or something.
DJ - I only bet on value. I don't care if I betting for or against my team. I always look for value.
But *how* do you look for value on a draw bet? If the favorite is undervalued, you'd bet the favorite. If the dog is undervalued, you'd bet the dog. When is a draw undervalued (in a way that the fav and dog are overvalued), and how would you even detect it? Other than the obvious - as if the CL Finals had a draw line of +400 or something.
Aren't there stats on how probable a draw? Then you just compare the probability to the price...same as betting on the favorite or underdog.
The only reason not to bet a draw is it's tough to cheer for, but as far as making money goes (which is obviously the goal for most) there's no reason to avoid it.
0
Quote Originally Posted by composite:
DJ - I only bet on value. I don't care if I betting for or against my team. I always look for value.
But *how* do you look for value on a draw bet? If the favorite is undervalued, you'd bet the favorite. If the dog is undervalued, you'd bet the dog. When is a draw undervalued (in a way that the fav and dog are overvalued), and how would you even detect it? Other than the obvious - as if the CL Finals had a draw line of +400 or something.
Aren't there stats on how probable a draw? Then you just compare the probability to the price...same as betting on the favorite or underdog.
The only reason not to bet a draw is it's tough to cheer for, but as far as making money goes (which is obviously the goal for most) there's no reason to avoid it.
The problem I have with the draw bet is trying to understand why a draw bet is more probable than the expressed odds. When you bet a team to win, you think they'll score more goals than their opposition.
There's no team called "draw" that tries to get an equal number of goals.
Here is my take on betting the draw. Many times as you mentioned one team goes up say 1-0, now only if that first team to score is far superior then you expect them to keep it going. Many championship matches pit somewhat even team & I see the following happen way to much... Again, one team goes up 1-0, then see they have the lead and for whatever reason their coach shifts the regular game plan to a defensive plan which in a sense takes away from them scoring again, yet it is possible on break aways. Now what does the team that is down 1-0 do? They also change their game plan; they make adjustments to push more people forward and try and get the equalizer. That's why many times you see a team which had a lead thru most of the game end up tied in the last 10 mins. Now Bayern & Dortmund are teams that normally stick to their game plan, they score & want to keep scoring. Both teams have scoring power and it's hard to say that both won score, nevertheless a draw isn't a bad bet here. In some finals some teams more than others also do look towards penalties if they think that levels the competition.
0
Quote Originally Posted by composite:
The problem I have with the draw bet is trying to understand why a draw bet is more probable than the expressed odds. When you bet a team to win, you think they'll score more goals than their opposition.
There's no team called "draw" that tries to get an equal number of goals.
Here is my take on betting the draw. Many times as you mentioned one team goes up say 1-0, now only if that first team to score is far superior then you expect them to keep it going. Many championship matches pit somewhat even team & I see the following happen way to much... Again, one team goes up 1-0, then see they have the lead and for whatever reason their coach shifts the regular game plan to a defensive plan which in a sense takes away from them scoring again, yet it is possible on break aways. Now what does the team that is down 1-0 do? They also change their game plan; they make adjustments to push more people forward and try and get the equalizer. That's why many times you see a team which had a lead thru most of the game end up tied in the last 10 mins. Now Bayern & Dortmund are teams that normally stick to their game plan, they score & want to keep scoring. Both teams have scoring power and it's hard to say that both won score, nevertheless a draw isn't a bad bet here. In some finals some teams more than others also do look towards penalties if they think that levels the competition.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
Hot Forum Topics
