Euro 2012....

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Author: [Soccer] Topic: Euro 2012....
Crashdavis565 PM Crashdavis565
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quote#1551
Posted: 6/29/2012 5:58:56 PM
good luck
great euro
TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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quote#1552
Posted: 6/29/2012 6:36:48 PM

Are there any reverse lines out there? Can you get Spain +.5 in regulation? Any thoughts of parlaying Spain ML with a big tennis fav?

Just brainstorming.

Huss PM Huss
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quote#1553
Posted: 6/29/2012 7:55:54 PM
good luck Van
jahpoker PM jahpoker
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quote#1554
Posted: 6/29/2012 10:10:09 PM
I have 1/2 unit at 1275
2 units at +1525
and 2 units at 1175

Will also be my biggest win if it hits (have hit longer odd futures, but not for for this amount).

As much as I want to lock in a 'win', i just dont see how i can hedge this. Current line on Spain does not offer much value in my opinion.
If anything, I am tempted to add another unit on Italy.

Van, thanks as always for your posts.

Good luck to all
Malachiwhy PM Malachiwhy
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quote#1555
Posted: 6/30/2012 2:43:57 AM
superb write up Van.  Seriously, a pleasure to read.  Good luck on Sunday
pinballwizard PM pinballwizard
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quote#1556
Posted: 6/30/2012 3:58:02 AM
Factor: Going up against arguably the world's best goalkeeper in soccer. 
Paulidhino PM Paulidhino
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quote#1557
Posted: 6/30/2012 4:36:20 AM
Italy to win the euro for +1500!
catmur9 PM catmur9
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quote#1558
Posted: 6/30/2012 6:38:33 AM

You are a pleasure to follow and read. Thank you for all you do.

 

I too have Italy +1485, will be my third largest win!

 

This was as classy of a thread as you will ever see.

 

vandjinc PM vandjinc
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quote#1559
Posted: 6/30/2012 7:09:38 AM
first off, great job vz. this thread is a must read if for nothing else to show how it's done. i appreciate the insight and i must admit, my account has been helped because of it. having said that, this is my take on the hedging theory. i personally always lock in profit when available. at the very least, i will hedge off enough to get my original bet back. obviously, you are in the catbird seat with this wager. good luck with whatever you choose and thinks again for all the help.
MWdePro PM MWdePro
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quote#1560
Posted: 6/30/2012 8:54:46 PM

In my opinion,

 

you must hedge enough to take a trip and drown your sorrows in alcohol and ugly women. Atleast hedge enough to help ease your pain. Good luck. And congrats on the guaranteed winner , if you hedge.

vanzack PM vanzack
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quote#1561
Posted: 6/30/2012 9:36:32 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Zacreth:

Hi Vanzack,

I'm new to forum but I just recently found this forum and after a few days I'm happy to meet someone with similar methods to analysis.

I like your outcome but I was wondering... From what I've seen I found Spain lacking in finishers. Superb defense though. I'm curious to know if Spain is to start Torres, xavi, and Fabregas they might have enough firepower to stop Buffon. I've seen too many mistakes the past two games by Buffon to scare me away from Italy. But if Italy is able to a greater amount of possession then Italy should have enough attempts to score goals...

Also what are your opinions on the under/over?

Thanks for your through view of the game.

I do have an opinion on the O/U - based on the way Spain plays - I think the 1st half under is a good bet.  Their strategy is to go in to HT scoreless - and let the passing tire out the other team.  Spain have scored only 2 in first halves compared to 6 in second. 

I think the under for the 90 if anything, but would lean to the under in the first half more.  Im not betting it - but that is my thoughts on it.

vanzack PM vanzack
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quote#1562
Posted: 6/30/2012 9:37:50 PM

Thanks everyone for posting in here.  It was a fun month.

Im not hedging.  It will all be riding tomorrow on the Azurri.  Im still not exactly sure how I will be able to watch it.

superbri PM superbri
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quote#1563
Posted: 6/30/2012 10:40:18 PM
I think you are saying that you are not sure whether to hedge your 14-1 bet on Italy winning .......
If so, first of all CONGRATULATIONS on that wager ......

YES to Hedge
TheSource2Win PM TheSource2Win
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quote#1564
Posted: 6/30/2012 10:47:42 PM

Van... tremendous posts and insight.  I am with you on Italy. 

Best to you! 

Professional1 PM Professional1
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quote#1565
Posted: 6/30/2012 10:55:21 PM
yeah van i will be betting 0-0 at half
TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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quote#1566
Posted: 7/1/2012 12:45:18 AM
No goalscorer +600 or half time/ full time draw-draw +375 interest you at all?
Mamba_24 PM Mamba_24
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quote#1567
Posted: 7/1/2012 7:55:10 AM

I have a future on Italy too Van and gonna let it ride aswell. Maybe ill do the same bet Prof did, betting on Spain and Italy to win with penalties. Just so that if Spain wins with PKs it wouldnt tilt the darn out of me... Think its a great spot for Italy aswell though.

GOPHERNATION12 PM GOPHERNATION12
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quote#1568
Posted: 7/1/2012 8:05:11 AM
Van

Thank you for a well written post. I enjoyed reading it. Good luck! 
Bluefin PM Bluefin
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quote#1569
Posted: 7/1/2012 8:15:10 AM
Van what a fun month Van great job with your posts

I have tailed most of your plays throughout the month and am also in a position to hedge but I'm not either..... Let what will be ..be.

I will play 00at 1/2, U 2 1/2 fg



BVP wins the AT&T today if Tiger does not come out of the box screaming
thedegenerate PM thedegenerate
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quote#1570
Posted: 7/1/2012 10:48:13 AM
ovacs PM ovacs
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quote#1571
Posted: 7/1/2012 10:50:36 AM
Good luck man. Indeed has been a really fun month and a lot of that has to do with your reliable insights that made me some cash
jmw59 PM jmw59
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quote#1572
Posted: 7/1/2012 11:24:14 AM
gl van 
Kaka123 PM Kaka123
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quote#1573
Posted: 7/1/2012 11:44:27 AM
Should of waited before I locked in on Italy pk, the odds have gotten better. Take Italy pk +200 and thank me later. Spanish midgets are going to be frustrated tonight.
Michfan15 PM Michfan15
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quote#1574
Posted: 7/1/2012 1:12:37 PM
I think Italy is the perfect contrarian play.  Seems like everyone I speak to is infatuated with Spain just because they are Spain.  I also think Italy will play much looser as the pressure will be on Spain. This game  reminds me of this years Superbowl with Spain as the Patriots and Italy as the hot underdogs that nobody expects to win. 

Bol  been a great tournament thus far  
TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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quote#1575
Posted: 7/1/2012 1:20:46 PM
First half draw -110 for a little more action Van?


Regardless, nice run.
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