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Author: [Soccer] Topic: Wednesday
Lucky7th send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
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#1
Posted: 12/20/2011 10:10:41 PM

# Arsenal Win (-143) at A. Villa $3571,43 to win $2500,00
Well, it's a boring play, but how can you not play them here...
In Villas last 6 home matches, their 2-0-4 with the only teams they've beaten beeing Norwich and Wigan.
In their last 6 their 2-1-3, with the wins coming against Bolton and Norwich while getting a draw in Swansea.
As their getting players healty, Arsenal have been looking stronger and stronger and before last weekends loss, they had won 3 in a row on the road with a 5-3 win vs Chelsea, 2-1 vs Norwich and 4-0 vs Wigan.
Villa have struggled vs stronger opponents all year and with Given still out (who have won this team a lot of points so far..) I can't see Villa even competing vs a Arsenal team that is playing some great soccer at the moment...
Villa 0  Arsenal 3

# Man City -2.0 vs Stoke (+108) $2500,00 to win $2687,50

What can I say that people don't know by now...
As I've said a ton of times this year, this City team have show their weaknessed vs stronger teams in CL as their defense is realy just so-and-so, but their buildt to run up the score when the opponent don't manage to put pressure on the team, something they've shown vs weaker teams all season and Stoke fits that category.
Against 7th placed or lower teams at home, City have won by 2 or more agains all 7 of them with 4 of those beeing by 3 or more..
In their only match facing a top 5 team on the road this year, Stoke lost 1-3 to Arsenal..
Also, to make things worse for Stoke, they have to do without their captain Shawcross for this one..
A push at worst...
Man City 4  Stoke 0

# Man City vs Stoke o3.0 (-118) $2352,94 to win $2000,00
Realy the same as over -- City always get goals against weaker teams as the 3 home matches before the meeting with Arsenal shows as all of those went over 3 (4, 4 and 5 goals).
At home vs teams placed 7th or lower at home, City have had at least 3 goals in 6 of the 7 played with 5 of those having more than 3..
Also Stoke have had entertaining matches lately, having at least 3 goals in 3 of their last 4 in the league and 3 of the last 4 on the road.
Man City 4  Stoke 0

# Everton vs Swansea u2.5 (-125) $1875,00 to win $1500,00

This might be mostly a gut play, but Everton is off a dissapointing 1-1 draw vs Norwich and is now up against a more solid defense in Swansea..
I don't think Swansea will get a goal here and I also think Everton will have a hard time getting goals here against a good organized team. A scoreless draw or 1-0 Everton here..
Everton 0  Swansea 0

# Fulham vs Man Utd u2.5 (-114) $1142,86 to win $1000,00
Here im going with another low scoring match when Man Utd is on the road.
In their last 4 on the road in PL, Utd have gone under in all of them with 3 of those ending with a 1-0 Utd win.
Fulham have been mixed in totals, but I think Utd is the stronger team here so it will be up to them getting the goals.
The thing is though that they've struggled recently, but ended up finding a way to get the winning goal... Think this one will end with another 1 goal win for Utd..
Fulham 0  Man Utd 1

# Liverpool -1.0 (+105) at Wigan $1000,00 to win $1050,00
# QPR Win (+150) vs Sunderland $500,00 to win $750,00
# Man City to win 4-0 (+1000) $500,00 to win $5000,00
# Man Utd to win 1-0 (+600) $500,00 to win $3000,00


BOL to all
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Lucky7th send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
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#2
Posted: 12/20/2011 10:13:09 PM
Soccer: 84-61-3, +$28520.66
Bases:  6-2-0, +$1922.00
CFB: 12-11-1, +$458.34
NFL: 2-2, +$562.50
NHL: 7-12-1, -$3612.50
Winter Sport: 2-0, +$2030,20
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#3
Posted: 12/20/2011 10:17:09 PM
 Lucky BOL wednesday! 

poor NHL probably feels so left out on that record 
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#4
Posted: 12/20/2011 10:32:26 PM
# Man City -1.5/Arsenal Win (+180) $1750,00 to win $3150,00
# Lazio vs Chievo o2.5 (+105) $750,00 to win $787,50
# Cesena NTL (+105) at Atalanta $500,00 to win $525,00
# Bologna vs Roma o2.5 (+108) $500,00 to win $540,00
# Novara vs Palermo u2.0/2.5 (-105) $526,32 to win $500,00
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#5
Posted: 12/20/2011 10:38:52 PM
Colts yeah been struggling both posting and un-posting the last 2-3 weeks, but just can't stay away.. Soccer and NFL saving my behind (went 7-0 for +$12222.3 on the 49ers match yesterday -- under 1Q, 1H and game, SF 1Q, 1H and game + 6pt teaser SF + under..)

Don't like that my card is so big as it's usualy then I have a bad day while winning when I have only 2-5 plays on the day...
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#6
Posted: 12/20/2011 11:01:52 PM
any thoughts on newcastle, surely they can turn their form around against west brom?
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#7
Posted: 12/20/2011 11:49:03 PM

I like your style of betting.  When you are on winning streak, press your bet up and pound the BOOKIE!

Good Luck and get lucky!!!

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#8
Posted: 12/20/2011 11:59:30 PM
You made a great call on 0-0 draw on the italian game yesterday. Should have tailed it. GL!
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#9
Posted: 12/21/2011 12:20:42 AM
Lucky7th, I just want to say thanks for all the work that you put into your posts. I'm still pretty new to soccer, so I really find your extra information helpful when I'm trying to make a decision on a play. I'm definitley adding you to the very short list of cappers on here that I always look for. Good luck tomorrow.
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#10
Posted: 12/21/2011 12:21:50 AM
great write-ups Lucky, you're going to have a great day 
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BET_TO_WIN
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#11
Posted: 12/21/2011 1:22:35 AM
tailing you on your plays. lets get that 
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#12
Posted: 12/21/2011 2:06:26 AM

outstanding work

do the injury/suspension situation for Arsenal concern you, combined with AV getting back several players?

I like the Everton and novara unders

QPR have the injury bug and are 1-4-3 at home this year.

 

Have a great wednesday

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#13
Posted: 12/21/2011 3:12:29 AM
Luck Lucky.
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#14
Posted: 12/21/2011 8:02:49 AM
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#15
Posted: 12/21/2011 8:47:29 AM
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#16
Posted: 12/21/2011 9:23:25 AM
7th- Great write-up,   What are your thoughts on Under in the Udinese/Juventus matchup?  
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#17
Posted: 12/21/2011 9:26:50 AM
BOL today
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#18
Posted: 12/21/2011 12:23:04 PM
Fantasy -- was leaning over there, but with Newcastle injuries and that they didn't manage to score on 20 shots during the weekend makes me belive we might see another scoreless draw from them.. With a gun to my head I would have taken Newcastle, but a no play imo..

Parlazy -- glad I can help out... My write-ups is realy the reason for me posting so others can get other takes on matches and some times additional info that they didn't know abot/over looked and not that anybody blindly tail (sometimes I get lazy or don't have time for writeups though, but I try to write them when I can..)
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#19
Posted: 12/21/2011 12:24:46 PM
Good Lucky7th You're killing it
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#20
Posted: 12/21/2011 12:37:16 PM
Bake -- Gunners have had ton of injuries all year and is now actualy at their more healtiest point and they can field close to the same 11 that deserved a point vs City during the weekend, so im not realy concerned by that.. Villa won't get much better even with players coming back and they still got their clearly best player in Given out (top 3 goali in PL imo..) so I won't lay to much ino that either..
I've liked what arsenal have shown in recen week and as long as RVP plays (PL's best player atm imo..) Arsenal should do fine here..
I got no solid stats to back my QPR play, its's just a gut feeling..

Cgizzle -- I have no idea about the total in that match as I could see this one ending with everything from a 0-0 to a 2-2 score, sry... Was leaning Juve win though, possibly the NTL in a two-teamer, but I drpped it with an already huge card..
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#21
Posted: 12/21/2011 12:44:17 PM
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#22
Posted: 12/21/2011 2:42:09 PM
Great post Lucky. I really enjoy reading all your posts as you thoroughly explain your main picks, and on top of that you hit pretty consistently as well. I'll be following you on this and all your future posts. BOL to you and everyone else. Lets do this!

 
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#23
Posted: 12/21/2011 3:49:27 PM
thanks for your responses 7
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#24
Posted: 12/21/2011 6:33:09 PM
Arsenal Win (-143) at A. Villa $3571,43 to win $2500,00
# Man City -2.0 vs Stoke (+108) $2500,00 to win $2687,50
# Man City vs Stoke o3.0 (-118) $2352,94 to win $2000,00
# Everton vs Swansea u2.5 (-125) $1875,00 to win $1500,00
# Fulham vs Man Utd u2.5 (-114) $1142,86 to win $1000,00
# Liverpool -1.0 (+105) at Wigan $1000,00 to win $1050,00
# QPR Win (+150) vs Sunderland $500,00 to win $750,00
# Man City to win 4-0 (+1000) $500,00 to win $5000,00
# Man Utd to win 1-0 (+600) $500,00 to win $3000,00
# Man City -1.5/Arsenal Win (+180) $1750,00 to win $3150,00
# Lazio vs Chievo o2.5 (+105) $750,00 to win $787,50
# Cesena NTL (+105) at Atalanta $500,00 to win $525,00
# Bologna vs Roma o2.5 (+108) $500,00 to win $540,00
# Novara vs Palermo u2.0/2.5 (-105) $526,32 to win $500,00

4-9-1, $5918.32
Soccer: 88-70-4, +$34438.98

The record isn't exacly something to brag about, but as I hit my big plays it was still a nice payout, a payout that would have been better if it weren't form my last minute f'n Italy plays (my two overs where the only two late matches that went under.. )
Was also realy close to hit Man City over and the 3k payout on City to win 4-0 with a great chance for City some seconds before FT, but it hit right on Sørensen...


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#25
Posted: 12/21/2011 6:38:27 PM
Hope NHL treats me better today than last night...

# TB@SJ o5.5 (-110) $2200,00 to win $2000,00
# Canes ML (-110) $1100,00 to win $1000,00
# MON@CHI o5.5 (-105) $1050,00 to win $1000,00
# Flyers Reg (+110) $750,00 to win $825,00
# Avalanche ML (+120) $500,00 to win $600,00
# Red Wings ML (+110) $500,00 to win $550,00
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