We're experimenting with our forums. Check it out for yourself.

Parlay chase series time

Forum: Soccer Page 9 of 15 «  7 8 9 10 11   »
Author: [Soccer] Topic: Parlay chase series time
Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1807
 
Mr_Blonde
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#201
Posted: 2/10/2012 10:42:06 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DiamondJack:


DJ 
Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1807
 
Mr_Blonde
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#202
Posted: 2/10/2012 1:46:15 PM
Bored as garbage, so decided to figure out my record. 30-101-1. Some of those wins involve one or more of the bets placed ending up in a push, so not too sure if those really count as a win. Either way, the record kinda stinks (which a 9 and 8 parlay losing streak maybe kinda had something to do with that). 
lion_kinggg PM lion_kinggg
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 1069
 
lion_kinggg
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#203
Posted: 2/10/2012 4:44:39 PM
If you want my opinion stop playing parlays.Your edge when you play 3+ games and you expect to win them all is negative.If i had your starting bankroll i would have bet 10-15$ per game and only in the games i feel confident
Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1807
 
Mr_Blonde
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#204
Posted: 2/10/2012 5:10:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by lion_kinggg:

If you want my opinion stop playing parlays.Your edge when you play 3+ games and you expect to win them all is negative.If i had your starting bankroll i would have bet 10-15$ per game and only in the games i feel confident

I know parlays are not the best idea in the world (my record proves that, haha), but this gives me something to do for a hobby longer than playing a few games at 10% of bankroll would be considering I am about as sharp as a padded watermelon with my plays. 

Do appreciate the insight, though  

First tonight:
Brown/Columbia Under 125
Yale/Cornell Under 135

.86 to win 2.27
lion_kinggg PM lion_kinggg
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 1069
 
lion_kinggg
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#205
Posted: 2/10/2012 5:29:56 PM
BOL
Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1807
 
Mr_Blonde
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#206
Posted: 2/10/2012 10:23:28 PM
Thank you LK 

Jazz ML
Jazz/Thunder Over 202

1.19 to win 3.15
lion_kinggg PM lion_kinggg
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 1069
 
lion_kinggg
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#207
Posted: 2/10/2012 10:45:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Mr_Blonde:

Thank you LK 

Jazz ML
Jazz/Thunder Over 202

1.19 to win 3.15

I think all good covers cappers are on Jazz.The funny thing is that i saw today (in other forum) a guy saying he is on tilt and he will push much money on OKC and i wrote: play Jazz 
Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1807
 
Mr_Blonde
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#208
Posted: 2/11/2012 9:20:36 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by lion_kinggg:


I think all good covers cappers are on Jazz.The funny thing is that i saw today (in other forum) a guy saying he is on tilt and he will push much money on OKC and i wrote: play Jazz 

I read some of those writeups folks had, and they all sounded pretty dang good. Guess the Jazz just didn't show up to play :doh:

Hull City ML
Reading ML
Celtic ML
Bayern Munchen ML

1.36 to win 4.36
Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1807
 
Mr_Blonde
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#209
Posted: 2/11/2012 12:01:04 PM
Winner there.... account to 172.45

First play on new chase:

West Virginia -3.5
Manhattan -8.5

.65 to win 1.72
Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1807
 
Mr_Blonde
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#210
Posted: 2/11/2012 2:12:06 PM
South Alabama -5.5
Florida -12.5
Kansas ML

.87 to win 2.38
Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1807
 
Mr_Blonde
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#211
Posted: 2/11/2012 5:04:00 PM
I went ahead and got one in for later...

LSU +1.5
Boise State +2

1.23 to win 3.25
Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1807
 
Mr_Blonde
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#212
Posted: 2/12/2012 9:03:20 AM
Winner last night, account at 174.18

Paris SG ML
Genoa/Catania Over 2.5

.65 to win 1.74


Snafu68 PM Snafu68
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 4627
 
Snafu68
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#213
Posted: 2/12/2012 10:01:25 AM

it's true that lion_kingg said, but not necessarily in all cases  (but 97,3% of cases yes).

years ago i tried to figure out correct result based parlay system: you pick 12-15 matches with low scoring expectation and choose a one score /match. Then parlay games in pair system = a,b,c,d,e... a x b, a x c, a x d and so on. If you have 10 matches you will have 45 bets. Average odd is 7 x 7½ = 52½.

If you can keep your average rate to 1.6 correct scores from 10 you would be cashing out nicely.

This was years ago but numbers should be about correct. i played that system to one booker and after a few months they changed their system to max 6 matches... very few booker offer correct score parlays.

Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1807
 
Mr_Blonde
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#214
Posted: 2/12/2012 1:13:54 PM
Lakers -6
Lakers/Raptors Over 174

.91 to win 2.41

Snafu, is what you would do basically a round robin parlay with correct scores being used as the picks?
Snafu68 PM Snafu68
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 4627
 
Snafu68
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#215
Posted: 2/12/2012 1:19:03 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Mr_Blonde:

Snafu, is what you would do basically a round robin parlay with correct scores being used as the picks?

Yes

Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1807
 
Mr_Blonde
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#216
Posted: 2/12/2012 3:42:57 PM
Pretty cool idea there.... too bad they had to change the max.

Next parlay:

Loyola Marymount -3.5
Stanford ML
Penguins (NHL) ML

1.19 to win 3.34
Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1807
 
Mr_Blonde
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#217
Posted: 2/12/2012 5:48:33 PM
LM didn't show up today :doh:

Stanford ML
Penguins ML
Northwestern/Purdue Over 135

1.58 to win 4.53
Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1807
 
Mr_Blonde
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#218
Posted: 2/13/2012 10:59:11 AM
Winner last night, on to new chase...

Current balance now at 175.96

Jokipojat (Finland hockey) +2.5
Aris/Ermis Over 2 (Cyprus)

.64 to win 1.77
mikeyfitz PM mikeyfitz
Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 1470
 
mikeyfitz
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#219
Posted: 2/13/2012 12:22:05 PM
Blonde  First goal at  the 6 minute mark in Cyprus. 

I love keeping track of this thread. I do similar things when I parlay as well. VERY small amounts so I can actually enjoy a handful of games instead of sweating over each and ebvery one to come out on top for the day.

You're showing a consistent increase in profit, which is great. Just another piece of evidence that money management works if you can do simple mathematics.

Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1807
 
Mr_Blonde
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#220
Posted: 2/13/2012 1:40:32 PM
Thanks for the kind words, Mikey. Glad you're enjoying the thread 

Napoli TT Over .5
Siena/Roma any result other than 0-0
Southend/Gillingham Over 2.5
Bastia/Monoco Over 2

.92 to win 2.41
GambleForProfit PM GambleForProfit
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 10875
 
GambleForProfit
Participation Meter
All-Star
quote#221
Posted: 2/13/2012 2:03:25 PM
BOL today Blonde 
Liking the play today except French game I just personally don't see 3 goals here but it wouldn't be the first time I've been wrong 
Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1807
 
Mr_Blonde
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#222
Posted: 2/13/2012 4:40:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GambleForProfit:

BOL today Blonde 
Liking the play today except French game I just personally don't see 3 goals here but it wouldn't be the first time I've been wrong 

It's bad when I spent most of that game hoping for a miracle push that didn't come. Oh well!

Magic 1st Quarter -1.5
Kansas -4

1.26 to win 3.33
Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1807
 
Mr_Blonde
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#223
Posted: 2/14/2012 11:21:46 AM
Winner last night... account to 177.73

Throwing something together real quick before I have to leave for the day (not a good day to be missing)...

Cardiff ML
Apoel/Lyon Under 2.5
Cowdenbeath ML

.58 to win 1.79


GambleForProfit PM GambleForProfit
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 10875
 
GambleForProfit
Participation Meter
All-Star
quote#224
Posted: 2/14/2012 11:56:44 AM
BOL today  I like following this thread kinda make me wanna play along 
Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1807
 
Mr_Blonde
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#225
Posted: 2/15/2012 11:30:28 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GambleForProfit:

BOL today  I like following this thread kinda make me wanna play along 

Thanks GFP 

179.52 in account after yesterday. Today:

Atalanta ML
Benfica/Zenit Over 2

.63 to win 1.79
Forum: Soccer Page 9 of 15 «  7 8 9 10 11   »
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.
Desktop View: Switch to Mobile View