Birmingham City v Manchester United Draw +330
Manchester United do not deserve to be laying nearly 1/2 odds away from home when they travel to a tough place to play (I had this capped as Man U -150). BC don't lose at home very often and play even better there against the big boys. Can't see them winning (although they did beat Chelsea so 13/2 could be a winner) so I play the draw here.
Stoke City v Fulham Draw +243
Stoke City shouldn't be laying juice to win at home because of their lack of ability to score (I had this game capped as Stoke +120). Stoke is where they are at the table not because they win games, but because they don't lose them. Similarly, Fulham is so low not because they lose games, but because they don't win them. Thus, I'm on the draw.
Another favorite that is laying too much juice in my opinion is Man City. I won't be betting against them as I'm baby blue to my core, but that line is a MAJOR over reaction to their 3-1 win at Newcastle. At home, they are not as good and don't deserve to be laying 1/2 to a formidable but underachieving Villa side.
Beest bets (scorer bets I'd think about if I had access to betting them):
Joey Barton to score +700
Ryan Nelson to score +1400
Somen Tchoyi to score +230







