The chances of Brazil advancing by Chile

Question

I have never layed odds like this.  1,000 to win 167.   Should I be the least bit nervous?

Lambsbread · Answer

I have never layed odds like this.  1,000 to win 167.   Should I be the least bit nervous?

MoneyHungry89 · Answer

if i was u i would have nervous breakdown during the game.i mean Chile has been the "Cinderella" team in my eyes. and this world cup has been a strange one so you never know...

dudesenior · Answer

of course......you are risking to much money

dudesenior · Answer

i was kidding ..stay chill......its not impossible to lose ....but the chances are to little

Slobbasaurus · Answer

Yes.  &#xD;&#xA;Chile is down 2 starters though.  Working in your favor.&#xD;&#xA;Best of luck to you

Lambsbread · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by XhuegoX]  &#xD;&#xA;5dimes has -420 Brazil to advance  [/Quote]damn.  If I had a 5 dimes account with a balance, all of it would be on that bet.  Coming off a lackluster tie, with Kaka and Robinho back.. if it comes to PK&#x27;s I like Julio Cesar protecting my money.  I am a little uneasy risking this much though.

raems · Answer

Lambsbread I think the pick is bad considering the odds. Check on vanzack's thread for his writeup about the history between these two teams. Based on that history, there's no reason Brazil shouldn't totally coast tomorrow. That said, that ridiculous price is not worthwhile. Chile DOMINATED honduras and only won 1-0 because of first game jitters keeping some guys from finishing on should-be goals. They managed to score on a Swiss team that never gets scored on (yes, they were playing with 10 men, but they got that goal when the Swiss defense was going all in for a 0-0 draw). Although it did not show in the score, Chile really outplayed Spain in the first half of their game last week. The goalie made a horrible mistake that cost them the first goal, and 1 more sloppy defensive spell cost them the second goal. Those two mistakes over a combined 30 seconds were the only 30 seconds Chile played poorly and they paid, but the rest of that half was not dictated by Spain.

These guys rarely advance so far in the tournament and are just playing with house money at this point. They don't seem to be intimidated by the moment.

I've got Brazil and Fabiano futures pending so I'm just playing devil's advocate here, but Chile will probably put up a fight tomorrow.

PolishNavy · Answer

chile

rangerz2478 · Answer

This is an awful, awful bet. Not because you are laying -600, but because you are laying -600 when the true value of this bet is under -400. (-375 on pinnacle and -360 on matchbook)I know you are going to say "well I don&#x27;t have those books" but that isn&#x27;t the pt. You CAN&#x27;T lay -600 on a bet that should be 200 cents lower and expect to win in the long run. You are giving the bookie a tremendous edge. Even if you win tomorrow, it&#x27;s an awful bet because you should be getting a better return on your money. So win or lose, you gotta be smarter.

nc1capper · Answer

way to much juice, but the Samba Boys do indeed get it done,,much smaller play for me at - 1 priced at -130,,BRAZIL to win the cup at &#x2B; 375 for a wee bit more--kimmie from the grass courts and the mets &amp; braves from the diamond round out my monday card--BOL to ya today there buddy,,lets go BRAZIL

rangerz2478 · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by XhuegoX]  &#xD;&#xA;damn dude you always seem to mention matchbook...i really need to sign up at that place before football starts. &#xD;&#xA;   [/Quote]Yea you will be saving 5-15 cents ATS on every bet and even more on ML&#x27;s. Instead of a -200 &#x2B;170, you will be seeing -185 &#x2B;184. Huge difference.

CrazyMilkMan · Answer

You&#x27;d earn more if you place your bets around other plays

Lambsbread · Answer

I know I wouldn&#x27;t be offering under -400, or even -500, if I were a bookie.  but yeah I really need to sign up at Matchbook to get such favorable prices I see mentioned on here.  I feel like I tried to join once and they wouldn&#x27;t let me because I&#x27;m in USA.

I-Got-5-On-It · Answer

1000 to win 167

xxx777 · Answer

Brazil -1 is better for the MONEY!!!

Place $300 & you still have $700 if you lose!!!!

Then Place $300 Argentina -1, next game, you still have $400 to bet if you lose again.

......

It your money. $1000 to win 167!!! not worth it.

xxx777 · Answer

Why worry if you have so much confident in the game Brazil going to win....-1 goal for 90 minutes.? I am on Brazil -1....good luck

PatsDyNASTY · Answer

I agree with xx777...&#xD;&#xA; take the -1 for a nickle or so and enjoy the game

Lambsbread · Answer

but if they win by 1 you don&#x27;t win anything

mr_bollox · Answer

you need a new book son

sharpstick · Answer

Don&#x27;t make such a foolish bet....

Lambsbread · Answer

If Brazil wins I will take the money to a new book

Lambsbread · Answer

what about this one?3 Team Parlay&#xD;&#xA;Brazil -200 Mon@2:30pSpain Pick (-250) Tue@2:30pArgentina &#x2B;120 Sat@10:00aRisk US$&#xD;&#xA; 134.12 to win US$ 485.51

drose1 · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;yeah i&#x27;m on matchbook too, it&#x27;s my only book, but the only problem with it is that it hasn&#x27;t been offering o/u 2, only 2.5, and also you dont have the advantage of being able to parlay&#xD;&#xA;-- on a side note: I submitted a request for PK&#x27;s to be added to the soccer market on the 3rd? day of the WC and later that day the market was added ... so that was sweet!

PropBettor · Answer

bodog has brazil at -200 .. how did u get such bad odds

The chances of Brazil advancing by Chile

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