History and tradition go along way in the World Cup. Lets go back and look at the winners since 1958..
1958 -> Brazil
1962 -> Brazil
1966 -> England
1970 -> Brazil
1974 -> Germany
1978 -> Argentina
1982 -> Italy
1986 -> Argentina
1990 -> Germany
1994 -> Brazil
1998 -> France
2002 -> Brazil
2006 -> Italy
So basically since 1958 only two teams (England and France) have won the soccer world cup besides Brazil, Germany, Italy and Argentina. And both those teams were host nations. I believe sometime in my lifetime an Africian team will win the world cup just not this year. Looking at the contenders there are flaws with nearly of all time, hence such an open betting heat.
1) Spain have always failed on the world cup stage and you know after an impressive opening they will fail when it matters.
2) England are quite frankly a disgusting price. They have a good coach but nowhere near the talent to win a world cup.
3) Holland could surprise. It looks like a quarter final against Brazil. If they could win that they may be a surprise contender in the easiest half of the draw.
4) Italy. I do not believe have enough quality, same with Portugal.
5) Germany are always tough to beat but again I can't see them going past the semi's although if any team can put a spanner in the works its them (ala 2002). Like 2002 I don;t believe they can actually win.
6) France, will be lucky to get out of the group...
Like everytime world cup there will be a surprise team. But when I look at tradition, the conditions (first world cup at altitiude since 1986) and quality only 2 teams stand out and that's Brazil and Argentina. Right now you can get Brazil at @ +450 and Argentina @ +650. I will be totallt stunned if the winner does not come from these two. I already got Aregentina +1600 (straight after they looked like they might miss out in qualification) and I have Brazil @ +600. I still feel there is enough value to back these two. Put 100 dollars on both and you should get an excellent run for your money (they are both in opposite sides of the draw)..
There you go so
1) Brazil +450
2) Argentina +650..
Good luck and enjoy the next month...I will post some regular plays. Will be playing a few dogs. Will post closer to the time