Week 7 Units: -5.00
Season Units: -14.20
For those of you keeping score at home, I have lost my last 13. As I sit here and think about it, that seems nearly impossible. Especially with the success I have had the last three years of doing this exact approach. Its not like I am going with heavy favorites or 50-50 sides/totals and shit so some losses are definitely expected and maybe even a cold streak is no surprise. 8 or 9 in a row I could stomach, but 13? WTF? Some bad capping, some bad luck. But there is something else too...the value is a joke this year. And not having Pinnacle is absolutely brutal.
By my count 15 dogs got it done outright last week and only 5 of them closed at 2:1 or better. I mean how the fuck is anyone supposed to play NM at 145? Are you kidding me, having to win Laramie at altitude for a puny number? That opened at like 160 and dropped from there, no wonder I'm not liking what I'm seeing. ECU at 110? GT at 115, a mere pittance? Air Force is playing a team that hasn't won since early October of 06 and they're offering about 150? You can't be serious. The only large dog that won was OSU and their QB had thrown 3 picks in each of his previous two road performances so congrats to anyone with the balls or stupidity to make that play. Temple was the other semi-big one at 4:1, but they were lucky to win. No wonder I can't make money, the only tickets cashing are less than 2:1 or require a substantial amount of good fortune, which I am sorely short on right now.
Anyway, I am going to go a little bit more instinctual this week and not spend as much time looking over stats, and see what happens. If I get blanked again, I may mail it in and come back stronger and meaner next August. If have a + week, we'll take it from there.