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*****Week 5 NCAAF Selections*****

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All-Star
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Posted: #1
2006 Posted Season Record: 45-23 66%
 
2007 Posted Season Record: 22-15 59%
 
3-4 last week for my first down week in a loooong time, should have stuck with my initial lean on michigan Looking to bounce back this week
 
This week im leaning towards the following:
 
WVU -7
CLEM -3
PSU -3
MD +14.5
WISKY -7
LOUIS -7
ORE -4
HAW -26
West Mich -1
Houston -9.5
Arizona St -14.5
 
Will post plays as I add them myself..GL 2 ALL
 
 
Captain
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Posted: #2
Best of luck, I looked at all the games you're leaning towards and I stayed away, it's a tough week this week.
 
 
Veteran
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Posted: #3
You'll pick it up this week. Indiana screwed me big time.....
 
Rookie
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Posted: #4
Sport..your larger than normal picks are not winning..I always respect your picks esp. on basketball..wats up now?
 
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Posted: #5
Locked these up yesterday before the line movement begins.
 
Included this week is one of my biggest plays this season...
 
WEST VIRGINIA -6.5 ***Larger Than Normal Wager***
 
 
Others:
 
Penn State -3
 
Oregon -4
 
Clemson -3
 
Wisconsin -7
 
Houston -10
 
 
Still looking at: AirForce, Purdue, MD, HAW, louis
 
 
 
 
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West Virginia having the schedule they have need to make statements when they have the chance. On the national stage this Friday night they will have that chance. Not that USF is a top rated team but are in the top 25 and gaining some respect this year by beating auburn on the road. Last year Pat White was banged up in this matchup and threw 2 picks. Trust me revenge is on the mind of the ones who played in that game! Another angle is Noel Devine who I knew would be a superstar, he is just another weapon which they didnt have last year how is from the state of florida and will want to impress. This is exactly where I thought this line would be set. Anytime I can get WVU offense for a touchdown or less I will bite. WVU 31 USF 14
 
 
 
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Posted: #7
 
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Posted: #8
chalk
 
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Posted: #9
Im always on chalk BD
 
 
 
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Air force Navy game:
 
The Air Force defense is ranked 44th nationally in total defense, allowing 333.5 yards per game and 17th in points allowed at just 15.8 per game. The Falcons are 28th in the nation against the run, allowing 97.75 yards per game and just 2.7 yards per carry. Air Force has held three of its four opponents below 100 yards rushing and allowed just two rushing touchdowns. Their nine takeaways ranks second and six interceptions rank third in the conference.
 
Navy has won the last 4 meetings **Revenge Factor**
 

Navy ranks 22nd nationally in total offense with 448.5 yards per game. Air Force ranks 44th nationally in total defense with 333.5 yards per game.

Navy leads the nation in rushing with a 360.0 per-game average. Air Force ranks 28th nationally in rushing defense, allowing just 97.8 yards per game.

Air Force ranks 16th nationally in turnover margin with a +1.25 average per game. Navy ranks 77th nationally in turnover margin with a -0.50 average per game.

. Air Force ranks 17th nationally in scoring defense with a 15.8 average per game. Navy ranks 38th in scoring offense with a 32.75 per game average.

Navy ranks 96th nationally in scoring defense with a 34.3 average per game. Air Force ranks 98th nationally in scoring offense with a 20.0 average per game.

Running game important to both Air Force and Navy - Air Force and Navy are traditionally amongst the top rushing teams in all of college football. The Midshipmen lead the nation with a 360.0 per-game average. The Falcons rank 21st with a 223.0 average. Conversely, Navy ranks 119th out of 119 Div. I teams in passing, averaging 103.3 yards per game. Air Force ranks 114th in passing, averaging 130.75 yards through the air.

 

Really like Air force in this game to win SU waiting to get the best line.

 
Prospect
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Posted: #11
Penn St -3 seams like a trap game?
 
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I dont believe in the word trap sorry dude
 
Captain
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Posted: #13
Like Air Force. Like Penn State too, just based on value alone. I can see Illinois hanging close, possibly winning, but a ranked team, let alone a good defense only laying -3 in champaign, hasn't been see in a long time.
 
GL SF
 
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Posted: #14
I'm with you on AFA and Houston.
 
I already took USF and ILL. 
 
I also like RU to cover the number, but probably wont play it.  I expect RU to try and score last, despite the score of the game.
 
 
 
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Posted: #15
GL
 
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Posted: #16
since 1997, teams are 2-15 ATS after losing a game outright as a favorite of 20 or more points....Louisville fits this number this week.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #17
Sport, i am surprised you don't at least have a lean on tulsa. The line is getting a little ridiculous now, but just curious on yoru thoughts, we are on much of the same this weekend.
 
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Posted: #18
sorry ferrari no real opinion on that game
 
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Posted: #19
  Good Luck 
 
Captain
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by SportFanatic71:

since 1997, teams are 2-15 ATS after losing a game outright as a favorite of 20 or more points....Louisville fits this number this week.

Awesome stat, thanks.  betED has NC State +10.5 currently now.  That's probably about as good as you can get.
 
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Posted: #21
yea they also have SFU +8.5
 
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Posted: #22
Who is SFU?  South Florida is USF. THANKS Any lean on Alabama?
 
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Posted: #23
OOOPS!! USF...sorry about that
 
 
Not playing but would take FSU if I had to pick
 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #24
Good Luck, with ya on Penn State and Clemson, don't know about the rest yet.  For some reason I'm in love with U Dub this weekend at +21 at home, any thoughts on that game?
 
 
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Posted: #25
I'm on the other side of the Oregon/Cal game.  Cal has something too prove, and more talent than Oregon, if Cal can make it past the 1st quarter wave of emotion from Oregon they will be just fine.
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