THURSDAY SEPT 13TH COLLEGE FOOTBALL

THURSDAY

WV-MARYLAND

Well I can tell you that WV is going to win the game and I can tell you that they can pretty much name the NUMBER by how much …well maybe. As I type this the spread is WV-17 so the question is can WV Cover the 17?

Ok let me think……. A -17 and that is 2 touchdowns and a field goal.  Now just for the hell of it let say Maryland can hang 24 points on WV and I am being liberal here with Maryland’s offense so using that number for WV to cover the spread the score is going to have to be 42-24.  Hummmm that means WV is going to have to score 6 plus touches “IF” Maryland can put up 3 touchdowns and a field goal.    

Damn the MAN has this game right on the f**king NUMBER if you are looking at Numbers but hell we all know Numbers aren’t on the field playing Thursday night.

Last year when Maryland played WV they actually had a Senior QB in Hollenback that could pass the ball and he went 25-45 completions with 2 interceptions  but WV had hung 38-10 points on Maryland in the first half  and coasted to only a final of  42-24 but they did hold Maryland’s RB Ray Lewis brother Lattimore to 42 yards rushing on  15 attempts and he will probably be damn lucky to do much better this year since WV is going to be loading the box and with the level of completion much higher than lower level Villa. And Fla.Int . I don’t think Maryland’s Jr. QB Steffy is going to have a big night passing against WV.

WV tuned up the pass defense last week against a damn good passer with Marshall QB Morris in my opinion but Steffy damn sure is going to get the chance to sling it here.

 Now if you look at Maryland’s last two games against those two teams you can see they had Steffy slinging it  25 times in both scrimmage type games tuning up for this action. Yes that right Maryland pretty much used the two tune up games to try and get Steffy dialed in on his passing game for THIS WV GAME.  

Well how did Steffy do?  Villa. 19-24 and Fla. Int  18-25 but hell that was against basically two practice squad teams. Since we are on passing lets look at what WV did against on defending the pass in their last two  tune up games and Marshall is a real passing team. Marshall 19-29 and W. Mig 16-25.   Well you can throw out the W.Mig game as that games was blow.

Yea that last year Maryland 24 score at WV and the fact Maryland has scored 31 on Villa. and  26 on Fint. two scrimmage teams this year  is why I used the 24 Number on the Maryland  score in the above scenario. If you are going to play with NUMBERS you have to start somewhere right.

Anyway it looks like I have  keyed on all the passing Blah,Blah in this game above and the only reason for that is if you can pass the ball effectively then you can usually run the ball effectively if you have a decent O line and the only reason for that is the other teams defense cant load the box against the run every offensive play as they have to respect the offensive teams passing ability and of course that in turn allows the offensive team to pick up those 3-4 rushing yards and not get in all those  3^rd and 8 or 3^rd and 9 passing downs with low probability percentages of success.